Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Higgenbotham
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Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

aedens wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2026 11:37 pm Escape velocity will not be viable for the majority...Tainter and Dimond stated one day it just simply ceased.
The Roman soldiers were at Hadrian's Wall and one day walked away when they didn't get paid.
Higgenbotham wrote: Tue Jun 17, 2014 11:50 pm
In 401 or 402 Stilicho faced wars with the Visigothic king Alaric and the Ostrogothic king Radagaisus. Needing military manpower, he stripped Hadrian's Wall of troops for the final time. 402 is the last date of any Roman coinage found in large numbers in Britain, suggesting either that Stilicho also stripped the remaining troops from Britain, or that the Empire could no longer afford to pay the troops who were still there.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/End_of_Rom ... in_Britain
The scenario that virtually nobody is prepared for is one day the grocery shelves go empty never to be restocked again.
Higgenbotham wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2026 2:45 pm https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comme ... are_button

The post I'm pointing to will be highlighted in yellow.
I'm a US "government insider"...FWIW, famine in the US is not on our radar anytime soon... at least not from a food availability standpoint.
It'll be difficult enough under the slow wasting scenario.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 8161
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

Higgenbotham wrote: Sun Feb 01, 2026 6:18 pm Manipulation and fraud are the biggest businesses in America today, and waddling up to the window for a bailout is the most in-demand job skill in America today.
One way for someone to wrap their head around just how big manipulation and fraud are in this economy is to read what the Austrian economists have to say. Before moving onto other discussion about manipulation and fraud, I will find the most relevant quotes from the Austrians that I am able to.

This is from Google AI, and I really should look up the specific quotes as intended, but this summary closely matches my recollection and will allow me to proceed to other related discussion.

Austrian economists, such as Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek, argue that central bank "money printing" (artificial credit expansion) is the root cause of the business cycle, transforming an economy into a landscape of unsustainable, "fraudulent," or "malinvested" businesses that eventually must collapse.
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According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT), this process unfolds in distinct phases:

1. The Artificial Boom (Money Printing)

Artificial Lowering of Interest Rates: When central banks increase the money supply (print money) or lower interest rates without a corresponding increase in real savings, they disrupt the market's natural coordination.

False Signaling: Artificially low rates act as a false signal, tricking entrepreneurs into believing that society is willing to defer consumption and invest long-term.

Malinvestment: Capital flows into projects that are not supported by real resources or consumer demand—such as long-term housing projects, high-tech ventures, or speculative businesses—which would not be profitable at natural interest rates.

2. How Fraudulent/Unsustainable Businesses Flourish

Easy Credit Fuel: These businesses are often "fraudulent" in the sense that they are "malinvestments"—they exist only because of the artificially cheap capital, rather than demand for their products.

"Cluster of Errors": Murray Rothbard described this as a "cluster of errors" where the artificial boom lures many businessmen to make the same mistake simultaneously.

Inevitability of Participation: In an inflationary environment, businesses often must adopt reckless, debt-dependent behaviors to survive competition, relying on the influx of new money to keep their valuations high.

Neglect of Real Savings: True entrepreneurship is replaced by financial engineering, where firms prioritize financial manipulation and debt-financed expansion over real value creation.

3. The Collapse and Necessary Adjustment

The Day of Reckoning: The boom is unsustainable because the "real" resources to complete all projects do not exist. As the new money spreads, prices rise and interest rates eventually increase, exposing the malinvestments.

The Bust is a Cure: Austrians argue that the "recession" or "bust" is actually the necessary, curative process of correcting the mistakes made during the boom.

Bankruptcies and Liquidation: Fraudulent, unsustainable businesses cannot survive without the artificial credit. They go bankrupt, and resources are freed up to be reallocated toward more productive uses.

Rejection of Intervention: Austrian economists, contrary to mainstream views, argue against further stimulus or bailouts, believing these actions only prolong the "malinvestments" and cause even more severe future collapses.

In summary, for Austrian economists, printing money does not create wealth; it merely redistributes it while creating an artificial, unsustainable boom that must inevitably break when the reality of limited resources asserts itself.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 8161
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

Higgenbotham wrote: Sat Apr 11, 2026 12:13 am Malinvestment: Capital flows into projects that are not supported by real resources or consumer demand—such as long-term housing projects, high-tech ventures, or speculative businesses—which would not be profitable at natural interest rates.
If these malinvestments cited by the Austrians really are malinvestments, it would be reasonable to think that spending on lobbying would be highest for these categories of businesses. While they don't match perfectly, there is a lot of overlap.

Lobbying Client Total Spent

US Chamber of Commerce $72,140,000
National Assn of Realtors $54,361,910
Pharmaceutical Research & Manufacturers of America $38,185,000
Business Roundtable $33,500,000
American Hospital Assn $32,007,784
Blue Cross/Blue Shield $27,903,633
Meta $26,290,000
American Medical Assn $23,787,645
AARP $20,860,000
General Motors $19,720,000
American Chemistry Council $19,130,123
Amazon.com $18,865,000
CTIA $18,690,000
America's Health Insurance Plans $17,230,000
Alphabet Inc $16,540,000
Lockheed Martin $15,676,909

https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lob ... p-spenders

The preponderance of health and health insurance related lobbying has to do with the price of health care being unsustainable and the percentage of the economy devoted to health care being unsustainable. If individuals were paying their health care providers directly, health care might be 10 to 20 percent of its current cost and percentage of GDP. GDP would shrink over 10% due to that alone.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 8161
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

Higgenbotham wrote: Sat Apr 11, 2026 12:13 am One way for someone to wrap their head around just how big manipulation and fraud are in this economy is to read what the Austrian economists have to say. Before moving onto other discussion about manipulation and fraud, I will find the most relevant quotes from the Austrians that I am able to.

This is from Google AI, and I really should look up the specific quotes as intended...
"There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved." — Ludwig von Mises, Human Action (1949).
Door number 2 is where we're headed.

Looking at the archives, aeden quoted this from Mises in 2009 and 2020. Also we've discussed how the credit expansion was voluntarily abandoned in the 1930s.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aedens
Posts: 6554
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by aedens »

The lipstick period.

Sat Dec 02, 2017 6:32 pm
Random samples from the alleged deplorables as they the Alinsky, Gramsci with the Kalergi fools took you out.
The Authoritarian Personality, which was written by Adorno and appeared in 1950. It was part of a series called Studies in Prejudice, produced by the Frankfurt school, which included titles like Anti-Semitism and Emotional Disorder. The Authoritarian Personality was particularly influential because, according to Prof. MacDonald, the American Jewish Committee heavily funded its promotion and because Jewish academics took up its message so enthusiastically.
The book's purpose is to make every group affiliation sound as if it were a sign of mental disorder. Everything from patriotism to religion to family -- and race -- loyalty are signs of a dangerous and defective "authoritarian personality." Because drawing distinctions between different groups is illegitimate, all group loyalties -- even close family ties! -- are "prejudice." As Christopher Lasch has written, the book leads to the conclusion that prejudice "could be eradicated only by subjecting the American people to what amounted to collective psychotherapy -- by treating them as inmates of an insane asylum."
The first attempt was 1986 on our group. It was a graduate student from Cornell. The internalized drones fell head first.
Baudrillard was absolutely correct. “Information devours its own content.

After teaching two years at the University of Frankfurt, Adorno immigrated to England in 1934 to escape the Nazi persecution of the Jews. He taught at the University of Oxford for three years and then went to the United States (1938), where he worked at Princeton (1938–41) and then was codirector of the Research Project on Social Discrimination at the University of California, Berkeley (1941–48). Adorno and his colleague Max Horkheimer returned to the University of Frankfurt in 1949. There they rebuilt the Institute for Social Research and revived the Frankfurt school of critical theory.
Originally it was located at the Institute for Social Research (Institut für Sozialforschung), an attached institute at the Goethe University in Frankfurt, Germany. The Institute was founded in 1923 thanks to a donation by Felix Weil with the aim of developing Marxist studies in Germany.
As I checked the decades on the human toll from 1945 to 1955 the death count to facts from the 1935 to 1945 was fertile for the narratives say for instance the silent weapons of the silent war, or if so inclined the long march for those who wave banners of stupidity's.
They concluded a Marxist Communist revolution would likely not be possible in the West because of the Western culture and the Christian religion that dominated it.

They concluded both should be destroyed.

The paper of that period study was forwarded as the Keynesian Veil when the actual smart money was attacked as a liquidity pump failure.
The preservation of capital was ignored as multi faceted deprivation we listed had been pushed aside.
Numerous studies indicated this from NBER and Benn Steil and the planned democide recorded from Sean Mcmeekin.
Dr. Anthony Sutton work focused the intent and interpretation of the transitions debauchery's.
Keynes was unable and unwilling to negate Von Mises Tome of Human Action. From all intent and purposes even FDR supported the
point when and why to tap the brakes on imposition structural inflation. For those that stocked up for stagflation remember that some
are from the fact of a standard they cannot fathom and are not allowed to understand anyways.
Not saying the Fugger model is the best as it hinges on competency as forwarded 4 legs of the chair.
Bond-Metals-Real Estate-Stock.. They do not even pretend to care or even will.

“We know that they are lying, they know that they are lying, they even know that we know they are lying,
we also know that they know we know they are lying too, they of course know that we certainly know they know we know they are lying too as well, but they are still lying. In our country, the lie has become not just moral category, but the pillar industry of this country.”

Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn

Our group was allowed in after the fall. First we buried the frozen dead since we fear God first.
I can say but it matters little in the Hour since Timothy said it best and they waxed cold.
They serve darkness and no they had no plan. The resurgence of the Waffen was as real as the cold still evil night
they had no plan other than the consequences the innocent suffered.

Klingberg cycle of political deviants dated as Uniparty destroyed all and any ability to negate the criminals as
the taxpayers are financially destroyed. This Cantillon effect under way is rather clear.
Tiny bubbles was a map not ignorance.

Operation white crow won the discussion and I will link it for our collective edification also.
I was reviewing OLD53 advise on a view and he was correct
in Ferdynand Antoni Ossendowski real time study to survive policy strains released on a population.

There are times, men and events about which History alone can record the final judgments; contemporaries and individual observers must only write what they have seen and heard. The very truth demands it. Titus Livious.
Two links will cover it for know and it was a texture moment.
The pretext root of the discussion was Human Action. You can search that keyword on your query to effects.
And remember, there are some people who think the “UniParty” isn’t real.
Why is not even a thought and just when. Fri Oct 26, 2012 3:48 pm

thread: AA-1025, 270, isa55, peleg, white crow

water wheat weather
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