Generational Dynamics World View News

[Fullmoonn]

Lindsey Graham is a worthless POS. What a despicable and dishonorable person. He's the most disgusting and disgraceful politician besides the treasonous pedophiile who's a Trojan horse DJT. Sad days for that pathetic State Graham comes from.

[tim]

The difference between a crisis era and an awakening era:

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202603041361

Iran International has reviewed footage received directly from inside Iran in the hours following the strikes.

In one clip, explosions can be seen in the background with plumes of smoke rising over Tehran as an Iranian man says: “Thank you Mr. President, thank President Trump, we love you.”

In another video, a woman shouts “Trump!” followed by cheers, clapping and the sound of what appears to be a vuvuzela-style horn as a group of Iranians celebrate.

In a separate clip filmed inside Iran, a woman says in Farsi: “Bibi, we are happy, Netanyahu, Israel, Trump...death to Terrorist, thank you for helping us Hooray.”

Another video, recorded after the bombing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s headquarters, shows a group of young people flashing peace signs as they welcome the joint US-Israel military strikes.

[FullMoon]

The difference between a crisis era and an awakening era:

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202603041361

Iran International has reviewed footage received directly from inside Iran in the hours following the strikes.

In one clip, explosions can be seen in the background with plumes of smoke rising over Tehran as an Iranian man says: “Thank you Mr. President, thank President Trump, we love you.”

In another video, a woman shouts “Trump!” followed by cheers, clapping and the sound of what appears to be a vuvuzela-style horn as a group of Iranians celebrate.

In a separate clip filmed inside Iran, a woman says in Farsi: “Bibi, we are happy, Netanyahu, Israel, Trump...death to Terrorist, thank you for helping us Hooray.”

Another video, recorded after the bombing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s headquarters, shows a group of young people flashing peace signs as they welcome the joint US-Israel military strikes.

C'mon Tim. You did a good job in recognizing the scamdemic hoax and bioweapon genocide reality. But now you're straying from reality. Although there might be some people within that country who are happy to see it's destruction, who would doubt for even a second that our own country has MANY more people who look forward nihilistically towards our demise. Although they didn't like the crazy religious group governing them, at least they didn't know/understand/realize that they were being governed by actual Satan worshipping demons.
There's no justification for bombing a children's school unless you don't follow the norms as set forth by the greatest generation.
Outdated intel likely led US to carry out deadly strike on Iranian
https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-scho ... 31897ab0b8 elementary school, AP sources say

WASHINGTON (AP) — Outdated intelligence likely led to the United States carrying out a deadly missile strike on an elementary school in Iran that killed over 165 people, many of them children, in the opening hours of the conflict, according to a U.S. official and a second person briefed on findings of a preliminary U.S military investigation into the incident

.
It's very forgiving of them to blame our lack of sophistication and military incapability of seeing the difference between children and military targets. Sadly, they're actually probably not as stupid as incapable as people want to believe. The reasons for this attack at unclear but certainly malevolent. The bombing and indiscriminate mass murder has already proven to galvanize a population which otherwise would have continued to move towards the West and against hardliner religious fanatics.
Like Russia, we've continued to use FORCE and violence to achieve diplomatic goals. End times are not necessarily religious in nature. It's just TEOTWAWKI. Anyone who claims to be a prophet and know what will happen in the future is certainly, by nature, a charlatan. Evidence is the pedo POTUS, admitted liar, rapist and thief. He's always saying what's going to happen next. Just loves to blatantly lie to everyone and takes pleasure in seeing lots of people believing it.

[tim]

The difference between a crisis era and an awakening era:

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202603041361

Iran International has reviewed footage received directly from inside Iran in the hours following the strikes.

In one clip, explosions can be seen in the background with plumes of smoke rising over Tehran as an Iranian man says: “Thank you Mr. President, thank President Trump, we love you.”

In another video, a woman shouts “Trump!” followed by cheers, clapping and the sound of what appears to be a vuvuzela-style horn as a group of Iranians celebrate.

In a separate clip filmed inside Iran, a woman says in Farsi: “Bibi, we are happy, Netanyahu, Israel, Trump...death to Terrorist, thank you for helping us Hooray.”

Another video, recorded after the bombing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s headquarters, shows a group of young people flashing peace signs as they welcome the joint US-Israel military strikes.

C'mon Tim. You did a good job in recognizing the scamdemic hoax and bioweapon genocide reality. But now you're straying from reality. Although there might be some people within that country who are happy to see it's destruction, who would doubt for even a second that our own country has MANY more people who look forward nihilistically towards our demise

It's going to be interesting to watch this play out in real time. John posted his beliefs and what Generational Dynamics theory predicts on the Iranian issue and were going to get to see if the theory is correct.

Like I said before, I have no political agenda here. I am going to apply GD theory and comment through that perspective.

We do have to remember that the media we are seeing today is biased and may not be showing the entire story of whats happening on the ground in Iran.

[tim]

WASHINGTON (AP) — Outdated intelligence likely led to the United States carrying out a deadly missile strike on an elementary school in Iran that killed over 165 people, many of them children, in the opening hours of the conflict, according to a U.S. official and a second person briefed on findings of a preliminary U.S military investigation into the incident

.
It's very forgiving of them to blame our lack of sophistication and military incapability of seeing the difference between children and military targets. Sadly, they're actually probably not as stupid as incapable as people want to believe. The reasons for this attack at unclear but certainly malevolent. The bombing and indiscriminate mass murder has already proven to galvanize a population which otherwise would have continued to move towards the West and against hardliner religious fanatics.
Like Russia, we've continued to use FORCE and violence to achieve diplomatic goals. End times are not necessarily religious in nature. It's just TEOTWAWKI. Anyone who claims to be a prophet and know what will happen in the future is certainly, by nature, a charlatan. Evidence is the pedo POTUS, admitted liar, rapist and thief. He's always saying what's going to happen next. Just loves to blatantly lie to everyone and takes pleasure in seeing lots of people believing it.

War is horrible and innocent people are going to suffer to a point where through their suffering, the survivors of this war will be able to compromise and work together and build a society that works like after WWII.

Unfortunately, until people stop following the generational cycle these atrocities won't stop and continue to repeat every 80 - 100 years.

I'm not downplaying the human suffering of today or the deaths of civilians, but there is nothing new under the sun. See the firebombing of Tokyo, the firebombing of Dresden, etc. during WWII. Had the Axis won that war, those bombings would have been war crimes and the victors who were considered heroes after WWII might have been imprisoned or executed had the axis prevailed.

I believe that the generational cycle is due to the fallen nature of man, see my signature.

[tim]

Its possible that a "major military defeat overseas" can trigger the Regeneracy Event. The Regeneracy Event is going to be something that happens that unites all Americans together to fight the enemy.

We don't know what that event is yet, but its coming.

Right now there is no appetite for this new war with Iran in the civilian population. People at home aren't doing well for numerous reasons, the economy is getting worse, there is zero political compromise, and the legitimacy of government is falling.

It might seem unreal now, but it would be unusual for things not to be working this way from the point of view of Generational Dynamics.

If something unimaginable happens, lets say one of our aircraft carriers is attacked and destroyed or the American casualties in the Iranian War start increasing - we will see the public mood shift and the country unite to go to war.

https://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg ... htm#crisis

Crisis Era (Fourth Turning) and the Regeneracy

America and many other countries have been entering a "Crisis Era" since the early 2000s -- not because of 9/11, but because the survivors of World War II are rapidly disappearing (retiring or dying), leaving Boomers in charge of most government, business, and education organizations.

The problem with Boomers is that they have no governing or leadership skills. They only know how to argue, and they learned that during the 1960s and 1970s. In country after country around the world -- France, Britain, Israel, Japan, China, South Africa, the U.S. and elsewhere -- governments are becoming increasingly paralyzed, and leaders are getting lower and lower approval ratings.

The reason for this paralysis is that the generations that survived WW II are gone now. Those people did some great things -- they created the United Nations, World Bank, Green Revolution, World Health Organization, International Monetary Fund, and so forth. They created these organizations and managed them for decades with one purpose in mind: That their children and grandchildren would never have to go through anything so horrible as World War II. Now all those people are gone, and the people left behind have no idea what's going on or what to do. They're unable to lead or govern. All they know how to do is whine and complain, and wait until the next disaster, the next world war, forces them to do great things as well.

Right behind the Boomers are the disaffected members of Generation-X. The Gen-Xers are frustrated and furious at what they see as the incompetence of Boomers. This frustration, which is true of Nomad archetypes throughout history, leads them to become somewhat nihilistic and self-destructive.

Together, the incompetent Boomers and the nihilistic Gen-Xers form a potentially lethal combination. Motivated by fury and anger at Boomers for doing nothing, the Gen-Xers rush in to "do something", and the things they do can be disastrous -- lead to world war, lead to financial disaster. The Boomers, who are serving as senior level managers throughout government, business and education, might be expected to control these Xer impulses, but being totally blind and incompetent means that the Gen-Xers have a free hand. It's this lethal combination that's already destroyed the world financial system, and will undoubtedly do worse.

When does a Crisis ERA turn into a Crisis WAR?

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, this question has a specific answer: it's a point of time defined in generational theory and known as the "regeneracy." The regeneracy is the point in time where an event, or series of events (like the Pearl Harbor attack and the Bataan death march in World War II or the Battle of Bull Run in the Civil War) unify a country or society behind its leader, and the survival of the country and its way of life become the highest priority, higher than the value of an individual life. This change opens the door to genocidal acts, since an individual human life has little value any more.

It's impossible to predict what event will trigger the regeneracy -- possibly a major terrorist attack on American soil, or possibly a major military defeat overseas -- but this event will end the political bickering, will unify the country once more, and will send the young Millennial generation off to war.

[tim]

https://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg ... 170521.htm

As I've written many, many times, Iran is in a generational Awakening era, just one generation past the Great Islamic Revolution of 1979 and the Iran/Iraq war that climaxed in 1988 with Saddam's use of chemical weapons. A generational Awakening era is always about a "generation gap," a political conflict between the generations of traumatized survivors of the preceding generational crisis war and the generations of young people who grew up after the war, and have no personal memory of it. The older and younger generations have completely different world views, and the political conflict continues until there's an Awakening era climax that settles the disputed. America's last Awakening era was the 1960s-70s, marked by the "Summer of Love," as well as widespread political and racial riots, until the Awakening era climax occurred in 1974 with the resignation of President Richard Nixon.

Iran is also headed for some kind of Awakening era climax, pitting the younger generations, current represented by Hassan Rouhani, versus the traumatized Great Islamic Revolution survivors, currently represented by Ebrahim Raissi and Ayatollah Khamenei.

Rouhani's decisive electoral victory is not enough to be called an Awakening era climax, but it could trigger events that could lead to such a climax. During the campaign, Rouhani bitterly criticized his political opponents, including Raissi's supporters and the powerful Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) which enforces many of the hardline laws. Now that the election is over, hardliners are expected to "settle scores," and this could result in a major political battle of a kind similar to the one that led to Nixon's resignation.

In fact, there is a particularly bitter battle on the horizon. Khamenei has been Supreme Leader since 1989, but he's 77 years old, and is in poor health, so there's a succession battle approaching. This succession battle may trigger the Awakening era climax that we've been describing. Tehran Times and Reuters and The Hindu

https://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg ... 100830.htm

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, Ahmadinejad's statements are part of a larger strategy that comes from political desperation, based on the mindset of the Great Islamic Revolution of 1979, and the subsequent Iran/Iraq war that ended in 1988.

To the hardliners who survived the war, the Revolution was a miracle that the united the entire country into a powerful Islamic unit that could then expel the invading Iraqis. This was an achievement of gigantic historic proportions to the entire Muslim world, since it revived the hope that Muslims throughout the region or even the world could be united behind one government, as they'd been united behind the Turkish government before the Ottoman Empire collapsed after WW I.

As always happens in every country, the children who grow up after a crisis war don't see the world in the same way that the war survivors do. Thus, when young people started having pro-American demonstrations in the late 1990s, Iran's hardliners began to panic.

That's why a new strategy became important with the election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as president in 2005, and everything he said and did should be regarded as a part of that strategy -- to unite the country and the region behind Iran's government. Thus, Ahmadinejad has talked about pushing Israel into the sea and about denying the Holocaust; he's providing funding to terrorist groups Hizbollah and Hamas, to provoke them into a war with Israel.

To suggest that this is all the words of a bumbling fool who is unintentionally provoking Israel and the world is not credible. The purpose is to unify the nation again, even at the risk of provoking a military strike. In fact, a military strike by Israel or America might even be welcomed.

As the student and "green movement" protests have grown and spread, the hardliners have become increasingly desperate. The protests are not simply putting a few policies at risk; they're jeopardizing the country's entire foreign policy. Furthermore, as the economy falters, they're even jeopardizing domestic policy. The protests that began after last year's disputed June 12 presidential election even bring the survival of the entire government into question, leading to brutal violence by Iran's security forces, firing into crowds, mass arrests, torture and brutalizing protestors.

Last year, analysts at Stratfor, BBC, and elsewhere were comparing the protests to the Tiananmen Square protests in 1989, that were crushed within a few days. But as I wrote at the time, that's the wrong historical comparison.

What Iran is going through is called a generational awakening era. (See "Basics of Generational Dynamics.")

It occurs in every country when the youngsters who grow up after a crisis war rebel against their parents and the austere rules and institutions created by the older generation to prevent a new crisis war. The political chaos reaches a peak some 20-25 years after the end of the crisis war.

The correct historical comparison is to America's Summer of Love, in 1967, 22 years after the end of World War II. This was followed by almost a decade of protests, climaxing in the resignation of President Nixon, and a political victory by the young Boomer protestors.

In Iran, those analysts who expect the the generational chaos to end soon will be disappointed. Even if street protests have been discouraged, the underlying generational conflict is still exploding, as shown by an explosion of stories recently about splits between moderates and hardliners within the government itself.

(As an aside for those of you who hate Boomers, if you'd like to know what they were like when they were young and cute, just talk to young Iranians. They're in the same generational archetype as America's Boomers.)

In one story, for example, hundreds of officers in the Revolutionary Guard Corps had to resign recently, because they were supporters of the Green Movement, as reported by WSJ. (Access)

One of the most dramatic splits in the government goes to a fundamental theological contradiction within the Revolutionary spirit itself.

The fantasy is that Iran will unite the Muslim world behind Iran's government. The reality is that Iran is a Shia Muslim state, and the countries on the Arabian peninsula are overwhelmingly Arab Sunni Muslims, and there isn't a snowflake's chance in hell that they'll ever agree to be subordinate to a Persian Shia Iran.

To make matters worse, Ahmadinejad has claimed to be a devout believer in the Mahdaviat -- the Shia Muslim belief that the Mahdi (or "the 12'th Imam" or "the Hidden Imam") is coming to save mankind. This belief is roughly equivalent to the Christian belief in the second coming of Christ. (By the way, there's also a Buddhist belief in the Maitreya -- that a new Buddha is to appear on earth, and will achieve complete enlightenment.)

This zealous belief, which is not shared by Sunni Muslims or even all Shia Muslims, is a clear contradiction with the strategy of universal Muslim hegemony. (See "Theological split in Iran widens as opposition protests continue.")

Now this inside theological split has burst out into the open. In an analysis by RFE/RL, Ahmadinejad and his chief of staff, Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei, have infuriated hardliners by appearing to be making statements that move away from fundamentalist Shia Islam, and towards a more nationalist idea. In one controversial remark, Mashaei has said that Iran should be friendly with all people of the world, "including Israelis." According to the Asia Times, the right-wing factions in Iran's government are splintering so quickly that Ahmadinejad may be threatened with impeachment.

Every awakening era has a winner, and there are only two possibilities: the older generations that survived the war, or the youngsters who grew up after the war. The younger generation usually wins because, after all, the older generations die off. But if the older generations win, as has happened in China for example, it's very ominous for the country and will lead to a civil war in later years.

Right now, Iran is a schizophrenic nation, with a hardline government policy that's bitterly anti-American, and younger generations that are largely pro-American and pro-West, and who don't really have anything against Israel. Right now, it looks to me that the younger generation is going to win, but it may take a few years.

My expectation, as I've been saying for years, is that when Iran is finally forced to choose one side or the other in the Clash of Civilizations world war, they will be on the side of the West, including America and Israel. That's one very good reason why a military strike on Iran would be a bad idea.

[tim]

John wrote this over 20 years ago:

https://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg ... 060919.htm

Generational Dynamics predicts that there'll be a "clash of civilizations" world war, pitting the Muslim world (with China as an ally) against the Western World (with Russia and India as allies). This war was launched by events and social changes that occurred decades ago (and, some would say, centuries ago). Nothing can be done to prevent it today.

Although we can't predict the scenario leading up to that war, current events make it clear that Palestine and Israel will be the epicenter (or at least AN epicenter) of that war. This really shouldn't be surprising, since Palestine and Jerusalem have been the epicenter of many "world wars" for millennia.

However, it would be a mistake to assume that Israel is the only issue leading to a world war. America actually has signed a large number of mutual defense treaties with other countries as well. These include agreements with Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, the ANZUS agreement with Australia and New Zealand, and the NATO agreement with all of Europe, as well as with Israel.

More and more, I've been telling people lately the following: Treasure the time you have left, and use it to prepare yourself, your family, your community and your nation.

We can't predict the time frame for this war, but with the aggressiveness of Iran in its intent to eliminate Israel, with China's increasing economic instability, with Russia's increasing social instability, and with the the world population's increasing anxiety and fear over violence and terrorism, the time cannot be too far off.

[tim]

Imagine what would happen if the Korean War occurred today.

The Korean War is called The Forgotten War because of the time it occurred in the generational cycle.

If the Chinese and North Korean military was killing American soldiers on the ground today imagine what would happen with the mood of the public as it is currently.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/134 ... orean-war/

U.S. military deaths in Korea

The majority of U.S. military fatalities during the Korean War were battle deaths (63 percent), with a smaller number of deaths while missing (12 percent), deaths while captured (eight percent), or deaths from battle wounds (seven percent). In addition, around three percent of deaths were from airplane crashes which were not caused by hostile forces, with another seven percent dying of other causes unrelated to battle. In total around 36,000 U.S. military servicemembers were killed in Korea, out of a total of around 40,000 deaths for the UN forces combined. The war was the United States' second deadliest conflict of the Cold War, as well as its fifth deadliest ever, after the Vietnam War, World War I, World War II, and the Civil War.

[tim]

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... ntly-march

Pentagon Sends Marine Expeditionary Unit To Middle East, Oil Spikes On Ground War Fears

Update(1105ET): Are we really doing this (again)? The WSJ is reporting a breaking bombshell which suggests US ground forces could be introduced, or else this could also be about securing other areas of the Gulf region:

The Pentagon is moving a Marine expeditionary unit to the Middle East, as Iran steps up its attacks on the Strait of Hormuz, according to two U.S. officials. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has approved a request from U.S. Central Command, responsible for American forces in the Middle East, for the expeditionary unit, typically consisting of up to 2,500 Marines, the officials said.

A follow-up update by WSJ appears to offer confirmation:

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has approved a request from U.S. Central Command, responsible for American forces in the Middle East, for an element of an amphibious ready group and attached Marine expeditionary unit, typically consisting of several warships and 5,000 Marines, the officials said.

The Japan-based USS Tripoli and its attached Marines are now headed for the Middle East, two of the officials said. Marines are already in the Middle East supporting the Iran operation, the officials said.