Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
earszup
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by earszup »

I saw some drawings and some photos of CCP landing attack vessels designed for shallow Taiwan west coast beaches. Scary.

The first vessel has an offloading ramp system.
The following vessels butt up to a preceding vessel.
War machines roll forward towards the beach.
I trust that defenses plan to target the forward vessels.

Off topic:
Years ago, I was worried that the main device of a system produced by my employer was manufactured in Taiwan. When a major redesign was launched, I lobbied for us to use a reputable German company (before German government destroyed the country). I was mortified when I found out the Germans were going to have the device made in Taiwan. There was a schedule in place to deal with Iranians messing with oil flow from the ME so my protests were rejected.

I was aware then that the CCP honchos were being replaced by younger people who had not experience the horrors of war and were cocky.

I saw that Pooh has dumped many of his staff in recent times. Maybe had them deleted?

I rarely make it to this web site and mostly read, not comment. Hoping this has not been covered before.

Hello John. I still have a pulse.
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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

When is the weather optimal for a Taiwan invasion?
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
Navigator
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Navigator »

Best times to cross over to Taiwan from China are April and October.

The CCP missed their big chance in October 2024. Biden was still president then. They could have counted on zero decisive action by the USA then.
DaKardii
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DaKardii »

DaKardii wrote: Sat Jan 31, 2026 8:07 pm
Navigator wrote: Sat Jan 31, 2026 3:53 pm Probably some one or two person outfit that they haven't (and I haven't) heard of yet.
And once they do hear of it, they will buy that off too?
Why should we presume that every anti-establishment movement in the US is aligned with the enemy?
Fullmoonn

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Fullmoonn »

DaKardii wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 1:43 am
DaKardii wrote: Sat Jan 31, 2026 8:07 pm
Navigator wrote: Sat Jan 31, 2026 3:53 pm Probably some one or two person outfit that they haven't (and I haven't) heard of yet.
And once they do hear of it, they will buy that off too?
Why should we presume that every anti-establishment movement in the US is aligned with the enemy?
The origination of the nation was by anti-establishment people, was it not? But we also have to be aware that stirring up internal division and causing internal conflict is absolutely going on for us and by us abroad.
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Bob Butler
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High Slant

Post by Bob Butler »

Fullmoonn wrote: Thu Feb 12, 2026 11:13 pm
DaKardii wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 1:43 am
DaKardii wrote: Sat Jan 31, 2026 8:07 pm

And once they do hear of it, they will buy that off too?
Why should we presume that every anti-establishment movement in the US is aligned with the enemy?
The origination of the nation was by anti-establishment people, was it not? But we also have to be aware that stirring up internal division and causing internal conflict is absolutely going on for us and by us abroad.
I actually have a little sympathy for Karl Marx. If you are revolting against kings or dictators, yes, you need an armed revolution. The American and French Revolutions were well before Marx, but the Marxist principles are there. The problem is that Communism results in dictatorships, Yes, you force out kings and dictators, but you replace them with dictators. If your revolutionary government doesn't include enlightenment values, the result of the revolution is not productive.

You need a form of government which benefits the people not the elites. Democracy does that in principle. You cannot forget entirely a loyalty to the voters. Still, it is tempting for the politicians to want to become part of the elite, to take favors and privilege.

I think Trump, MAGA and the GoP have become too obviously pro elite. Lately, they have not been serving their rural base well at all. The too few intermediate elections have been going Democratic. I can't help but think how heavy the vote swung in the last high. Congress went heavily Democratic for decades. It might happen again if the GoP stays loyal to the elites.

I think one should keep in mind whether political organizations act in the interests of the typical voter or the elites. The Trump variation of the GoP held while they really acted in the interests of MAGA. This unfortunately included a racist element, against blacks and latinos. That has faded somewhat in the second Trump term, but so has the loyalty to the rural voters. They are losing their base. They may lose Congress. The result may be similar to the shift in the last high.
Friend of Iran

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Friend of Iran »

Iranian regime tracking down wounded protesters and executing them in hospitals:
https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/14/world/vi ... sters-vrtc

I'm assuming Trump will eventually "decapitate" the current regime. But this time (unlike Venezuela), he needs to make sure that the opposition gets into power. This may involve smuggling millions of weapons into the right hands, and providing all kinds of additional support. And while I hate to say it, a lot of the current Revolutionary Guard probably need to be neutralized in the process, as they have shown willingness to kill their unarmed countrymen to preserve their positions. Yes, some of them may have been forced to do so under threat of death themselves. I guess things like this this are never "cleanly" resolved. But I'm tired of watching these brave protesters be fired at like cattle in the street. Iran's people deserve better.

By the way, expect Butler to compare the Iranian protesters to Alex Pretti and Renee Good.
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Bob Butler
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Political Murder as Conserative Policy?

Post by Bob Butler »

Friend of Iran wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 4:08 pm By the way, expect Butler to compare the Iranian protesters to Alex Pretti and Renee Good.
Well, both the Iranian religious leaders and ICE killers are willing to discard the enlightenment principles. You can fairly easily call the Iranian murderers part of a religious dictatorship. It is fairly easy to label them as bad guys, though quite a different flavor of bad guys than we are seeing in the US.

Just how different are the two? What is common is a willingness to murder folks for protesting questionable policy. ICE seems willing to kill people for political gain. The difference is how rational the Trump / ICE policy is. You get reports of Trump's lack of rationality and sentience. His restraint of ICE and lethal intent seem insufficient to prevent the political murders. The mechanism by which the cabinet or Congress can remove him are not that far along, but Trump is loosing the GOP. Both the Congress and cabinet are so far treating political murder an acceptable policy. I don't see a two thirds vote of the Senate as likely to materialize. Still, Trump is no longer acting pro rural voter. The GOP is losing any path to retain power following Trump. I can see where Trump's policies and mental state could result in the cabinet preferring Vance to Trump, with the ICE murders being one of many issues. We'll have to see.
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