Generational Dynamics World View News

[FullMoon]

Link to the monologue below. Keep in mind that it is over 40 minutes long.

https://tuckercarlson.com/tucker-mono-jan-7

During the monologue, Carlson implies that China will be our main adversary in this war. He also says Russia is the key to determining who will win. Which is why Trump abandoning NATO/Ukraine and making nice with Russia should take top priority. If Trump fails to break Russia away from China, we will lose. Only if he succeeds will we have a chance.

John's analysis as to the Russian side was correct. It depends on how much they and Europe can make amends. At current levels that will take a long time and certainly be in China's favor. The European/Russian rivalry would be best wound down. There is no existential conflict between Russia and Europe. Europe got themselves into a hole by doing similar but much worse than we did. We have lots of options but what have they. We cut their pipeline and they don't even have cheap energy now.

[Navigator]

https://lionessofjudah.substack.com/p/e ... -a-wartime

Edward Dowd: Trump is Building a Wartime Command Economy Without Declaring War

"This is a test run. He is setting precedent to apply this model across sectors..."

Trump is building a wartime command economy without declaring war.

He’s not trying to reform the defense sector. He’s preparing to subsume it. Strip the optics. What he’s doing is establishing direct state control over strategic capital flow using loyalty pressure, populist framing, and fiscal levers.

He’s not negotiating with defense executives. He’s declaring them subordinate.

This is a test run. He is setting precedent to apply this model across sectors:

•Energy will be next.
•AI after that.
•Healthcare eventually.

The pattern is simple. Any industry touching sovereignty, logistics, or frontier technology will be absorbed under mission-state logic. Private firms will still hold the equity, but the state will dictate the capital structure, production cadence, and narrative frame.

Buybacks are forbidden. Dividends are conditional. Salaries are capped. Output is mandatory. Time is compressed.

It’s a shift from incentive alignment to compliance enforcement. From persuasion to control. From “make defense great again” to “you now work for me.”


No modern president has dared cross this line because it exposes how thin the veil of corporate independence actually is when national purpose is invoked.

Trump just crossed it.

And the deeper layer: this only works if he’s confident the military, capital markets, and the public will comply. That’s the real signal. He knows they will. Or he knows enough of them will that the others won’t matter.

This is how American Caesarism starts.

Not with tanks in the streets.

With cash flow commands.

I applaud Trump going after the defense contractors and putting them on notice. But I don't think he is going to put all of industry/commerce under executive control.

Unless there is a real shooting war, in which case EVERYTHING will have to be put under some kind of governmental control (and this would be the care regardless of who is president)

[Navigator]

‘Greenland belongs to its people’: European leaders unite over Trump’s threats to annex territory

European leaders urge Trump to respect Greenland’s borders

Stephen Miller Asserts U.S. Has Right to Take Greenland

While I certainly am fully in agreement (and then some) regarding Trumps actions vis a vis Iran and Venezuela, I am deeply worried about his rhetoric concerning Greenland, and NATO, as well as his significant reduction in the US backing of Ukraine.

Yes, Greenland is strategic. We have a base there (Thun). We could offer to greatly bolster our presence, and pay Greenland/Denmark for the privilege. We could even buy Greenland (btw, Truman tried to do this shortly after WW2). Hopefully Trump's rhetoric is meant to have one of these things happen.

Actually invading Greenland would activate NATO against the US, which would be a disaster of monumental proportions. NATO is still extremely important, especially in the face of Russian aggression. I think we should tone down the anti-NATO rhetoric a notch or two. Trump has been successful in getting the Europeans to increase defense spending somewhat, and the fear of Russia, especially for Poland and northern Europe is motivating them as well.

[Navigator]

Link to the monologue below. Keep in mind that it is over 40 minutes long.

https://tuckercarlson.com/tucker-mono-jan-7

During the monologue, Carlson implies that China will be our main adversary in this war. He also says Russia is the key to determining who will win. Which is why Trump abandoning NATO/Ukraine and making nice with Russia should take top priority. If Trump fails to break Russia away from China, we will lose. Only if he succeeds will we have a chance.

John's analysis as to the Russian side was correct. It depends on how much they and Europe can make amends. At current levels that will take a long time and certainly be in China's favor. The European/Russian rivalry would be best wound down. There is no existential conflict between Russia and Europe. Europe got themselves into a hole by doing similar but much worse than we did. We have lots of options but what have they. We cut their pipeline and they don't even have cheap energy now.

I think that Tucker Carlson is completely in the tank for Russia. The idea of making Russia into a US ally against China is ludicrous. Russia is an aggressor and a full on partner with China.

I have always disagreed with John's take on Russia, and after Putin's invasion of Ukraine I believe that John changed his mind.

European/Russian rivalry is not going to wind down. It is only going to get worse. After the Ukraine, Russia wants the Baltics. Then they want their influence in Eastern Europe back. Russian ambitions are all aimed westward. Russia may actually cede territory in the far east to China in return for assistance in getting more European lands. I believe we will see this when WW3 starts.

[FullMoon]

I have always disagreed with John's take on Russia, and after Putin's invasion of Ukraine I believe that John changed his mind.

I think John didn't change his schedule of allies vs axis. He did have a vitriolic hatred of Putin it seemed. He didn't change his prognosis because individual actors aren't a part of the equation.
That said, I said that the prolonged proxy war has perhaps changed the viewpoint of the Russian general population. I've heard that whereas before they were European leaning, now they're quite unhappy with Europe. I doubt that they want more conflict because they've already stated publicly and correctly that they'll just wait out the European's as yet another psychotic policy is instituted. They are a landmass governed by idiots and lunatics. Great friends I tell ya. You might as well be a card carrying liberal democrat and you still would be centrist compared to that place. Let's understand that even if Russia went absolutely nuts as suggested and did something obviously foolish like carrying the war past Ukraine, actually suggesting this is obviously not going to happen.
Russia would be an excellent candidate to ward of China from the vast and resource rich border that they share and should also be a big help with the ME when that starts to spillover. Europe will have a hard time dealing with them we should already see as self evident.

[FullMoon]

Actually invading Greenland would activate NATO against the US, which would be a disaster of monumental proportions. NATO is still extremely important, especially in the face of Russian aggression. I think we should tone down the anti-NATO rhetoric a notch or two. Trump has been successful in getting the Europeans to increase defense spending somewhat, and the fear of Russia, especially for Poland and northern Europe is motivating them as well.

Let's just look at the balance of power within NATO. What kind of structure governs it and what kind of war fighting weapons and knowledge that they have. Are we more than 50%? Probably. Do we control everything in it?
"Taking" Greenland would be a symbolic gesture. What it means what will happen is like a Trump move. We don't know.

[tim]

Link to the monologue below. Keep in mind that it is over 40 minutes long.

https://tuckercarlson.com/tucker-mono-jan-7

During the monologue, Carlson implies that China will be our main adversary in this war. He also says Russia is the key to determining who will win. Which is why Trump abandoning NATO/Ukraine and making nice with Russia should take top priority. If Trump fails to break Russia away from China, we will lose. Only if he succeeds will we have a chance.

John's analysis as to the Russian side was correct. It depends on how much they and Europe can make amends. At current levels that will take a long time and certainly be in China's favor. The European/Russian rivalry would be best wound down. There is no existential conflict between Russia and Europe. Europe got themselves into a hole by doing similar but much worse than we did. We have lots of options but what have they. We cut their pipeline and they don't even have cheap energy now.

I think that Tucker Carlson is completely in the tank for Russia. The idea of making Russia into a US ally against China is ludicrous. Russia is an aggressor and a full on partner with China.

I have always disagreed with John's take on Russia, and after Putin's invasion of Ukraine I believe that John changed his mind.

European/Russian rivalry is not going to wind down. It is only going to get worse. After the Ukraine, Russia wants the Baltics. Then they want their influence in Eastern Europe back. Russian ambitions are all aimed westward. Russia may actually cede territory in the far east to China in return for assistance in getting more European lands. I believe we will see this when WW3 starts.

During the last fourth turning Russia was our enemy at first. During the Russian Revolution 5,000 American Army troops were deployed in Russia. Russia was allied with Germany while carving up Poland and Russia attacked Finland. On paper Russia and Germany were allies and Russia was our enemy. Germany was always planning on conquering Russia for "living space". Which is not that different from how China views Russia today.

Russia and China have historically been enemies and even if this war ends up with them being allies it will be temporary. The Sino-Soviet split during the cold war suggests how this will happen.

Its right here in the open for everyone to see. Once again, nothing new under the sun. Similiar to how Adolf Hitler wrote of taking Russian lands in his book before the war began even though he had an alliance with Russia on paper.

https://www.newsweek.com/china-is-slowl ... a-11180044

Is China Planning a Russian Land Grab? What to Know

DEC 10, 2025 AT 04:00 AM EST

Recent moves by China reveal it has not forgotten the territory lost to the Russian Far East during its "Century of Humiliation." This has raised speculation that the world’s longest border may be ripe for Chinese encroachment, even as "no limits partners" Beijing and Moscow appear increasingly aligned on the world stage.

Chinese Map Alterations and Border Disputes

The Chinese Ministry of the Environment in 2023 moved to dictate that new official maps must depict cities in this area, such as the Siberian city of Vladivostok, with their official names. Another change was to portray an island at the confluence of the Ussuri and Amur rivers, subject to a long-running dispute and a border agreement in 2008, as entirely Chinese. An uptick in Chinese purchases of farmland and decades-long leases across the border has also raised eyebrows.

Strategic Partnership and Power Imbalance

Meanwhile, Chinese nationalists openly call for the return of territory forcibly transferred to Tsarist Russia by a weakened Qing dynasty during the 19th century. These calls are not echoed by Beijing, which has downplayed the map changes while regularly touting the importance of ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin, who stood in the place of honor at Xi’s side during the June V-Day military parade in Tiananmen Square.

The alliance also shows cracks that will only be worsened by the coming war:

https://thediplomat.com/2023/03/cautiou ... ia-border/

Cautious Contact on the China-Russia Border

Amid great power competition, life in the China-Russia borderlands reveals the paradoxes underpinning the Beijing-Moscow friendship.

In eastern Russia there is no question over where borders lie: Several outstanding Sino-Russian territorial disputes were finally settled in 2008, and Putin is in no position to revisit this topic today. But this border also remains troublesome, despite signs in early 2023 of its reopening and a wider relaxation of China’s pandemic restrictions. The February 1 meeting between Suifenhe and Ussuriisk officials proposed increasing cross-border commercial traffic, but left unanswered questions over when Russians’ visa-free cross-border access to China would resume. At the time of writing in late February, no conclusive answer has yet been provided on this subject.

This slowness to reopen despite supposedly limitless China-Russia friendship can be read as a sign of a discomfort on each side with too much unregulated contact among people. Once the border does reopen fully, moreover, the current international situation could lead to further complications.

[tim]

John originally predicted that Iran would be our ally in the coming world war, as the younger generation is pro-western and doesn't share the worldview of the generation in power that was aging and dying off.

A generational awakening period - Iran is where America was in the 60's.

I remember when John was talking about this around 2008 when lots of people thought this idea was crazy.

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... ing-mayhem

Update(0953ET): President Trump on Tuesday morning has called on Iranians to keep protesting in the streets, where clashes with security services have spiraled and turned violent - but in some locations have waned. He's told Iranians to "take over your institutions" - which is essentially a call for coup or armed insurrection.

Trump further said he has canceled all meetings with Iranian officials, after yesterday's reports that the two sides were looking to jump-start diplomacy of official contacts if Tehran leaders cooperate, and don't kill any protesters. But now Trump is doing his typical thing of quickly ratcheting pressure to the max. He's reiterated that HELP IS ON THE WAY - suggesting military intervention could be imminent, in the following Truth Social statement.