Financial topics

[aeden]

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792 ... k=hQXeUY3z

We discussed this pattern H on also Wed Jun 06, 2018 4:13 pm
Could it of been avoided?
GD and GGS says no and we would convey in our terms also the fullness of time.
No matter what we think the seal is real in the forehead.
We have done our duty and the Office has worthy men for the Mission at hand.
Mike just talked to the Taliban and they should enlist all thinking men of both
sides in that region to get to work for the People.
I will hold the warrants when executed for this other current issue under discussion it appears.

The pretext of the conversation then was the resonance wave or amplitude dispersion.
I took classes free online at MIT to dial in on that wave effect.
The only solution I seen was a store of value we also discussed as man hours per barrel
other than intrinsic value issues not relevant in this scope for now.
The only point they can whine about is sticky wages and we want more from you since we said so.
The effects are real and they offer no capital solution to risk metrics.

As we discussed you hear the wave after light already went by.

http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... one#p40140

US Total Market Capitalization is at 139.9%, compared to 146.1% the previous market day and 138.7% last year.
This is higher than the long term average of 83.65%.

http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

[aeden]

Local preparedness has been Federally funded for the past 30+ years - each year State block grants have designated funds for this.
To hold anyone accountable for all those blue states that have misused and diverted funds and have not met the Federally mandated guidelines will be seen:

Recruit and train volunteers – credential validation
Stockpiling medical equipment – has been federally funded for this (maintain inventory control)
States/hospital were provided funding to develop Hospital bed tracking system
Plans for with local approvals for alternate or mass care sites/treatment centers) (nurse manned triage phone lines for patient diversions)
Develop State guidelines for crisis management.

Cattle prods should be mandatory in use for snow flake retards screeching in public about reality.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=41d-vFc ... re=related

[aeden]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=maVD61PvcDU

The only ones who can screw this is up worse than it already is the demsheviks.
As we have seen they offer no tactical response curve to date other than stumbling out of therapy.
The last Office printed to cover the debt from the endogeneity files we noted.

metals will indicate and will open book four when this phase transition lurches.

doctor copper then the usual suspects H

response curve Tyler Durden Sat, 02/29/2020 - 09:33
thread: Wed Feb 12, 2020 3:55 pm

Rolf Kümmerli, co-author of the study. I will review l8ler

[Higgenbotham]

These comments on the US stock market from last week might interest people.

https://youtu.be/-sfCnRHq1pw?t=400

Update to the above from Michael Oliver today on King World News:

https://kingworldnews.com/michael-oliver-2-29-2020/

He talks about what he expects the S&P to do and how gold will move with and later diverge from the stock market crash.

[John]

** 29-Feb-2020 World View: Lessons from history

> I have to admit that knowing market history has not been helpful
> this week.

I'm not sure what you're saying, but I think that King Solomon would
disagree with you:

> "1:9 The thing that hath been, it is that which shall
> be; and that which is done is that which shall be done: and there
> is nothing new under the sun.

> 1:10 Is there any thing whereof it may be said, See, this is new?
> it hath been already of old time, which was before us.

> 1:11 There is no remembrance of former things; neither shall there
> be any remembrance of things that are to come with those that
> shall come after."

The problem with politicians and economists today is that when they
talk about applying the lessons of history, they're talking about
lessons from the 70s, 80s and 90s -- decades that are almost 100%
irrelevant to what's happening today.

Today the lessons that apply are from the 10s, 20s and 30s. Maybe
those decades can provide to you the insights that you're looking
for.

[Higgenbotham]

** 29-Feb-2020 World View: Lessons from history

> I have to admit that knowing market history has not been helpful
> this week.

I'm not sure what you're saying, but I think that King Solomon would
disagree with you:

> "1:9 The thing that hath been, it is that which shall
> be; and that which is done is that which shall be done: and there
> is nothing new under the sun.

> 1:10 Is there any thing whereof it may be said, See, this is new?
> it hath been already of old time, which was before us.

> 1:11 There is no remembrance of former things; neither shall there
> be any remembrance of things that are to come with those that
> shall come after."

The problem with politicians and economists today is that when they
talk about applying the lessons of history, they're talking about
lessons from the 70s, 80s and 90s -- decades that are almost 100%
irrelevant to what's happening today.

Today the lessons that apply are from the 10s, 20s and 30s. Maybe
those decades can provide to you the insights that you're looking
for.

From the high, there was a 16% crash in the S&P in 7 sessions. Not even the South Sea Bubble (in 1720) crashed that fast from the high. If there's a stock bubble out there that crashed faster than 16% from the high in 7 sessions, I can't find it.

Somewhere along the line, I posted here that the market could crash from the high in a similar way to the flash crash, but there is no historical data that I know of that supports that assertion.

[John]

** 29-Feb-2020 World View: Something new

> From the high, there was a 16% crash in the S&P in 7 sessions.
> Not even the South Sea Bubble (in 1720) crashed that fast from the
> high. If there's a stock bubble out there that crashed faster
> than 16% from the high in 7 sessions, I can't find it.

> Somewhere along the line, I posted here that the market could
> crash from the high in a similar way to the flash crash, but there
> is no historical data that I know of that supports that
> assertion.

Then you've proven King Solomon wrong. You've found something new
under the sun.

[Higgenbotham]

** 29-Feb-2020 World View: Something new

> From the high, there was a 16% crash in the S&P in 7 sessions.
> Not even the South Sea Bubble (in 1720) crashed that fast from the
> high. If there's a stock bubble out there that crashed faster
> than 16% from the high in 7 sessions, I can't find it.

> Somewhere along the line, I posted here that the market could
> crash from the high in a similar way to the flash crash, but there
> is no historical data that I know of that supports that
> assertion.

Then you've proven King Solomon wrong. You've found something new
under the sun.

Somebody asked me today to help him get some historical data on the 1929 crash because the initial leg down was about the same as the one that the stock market just had (16% or so).

I mentioned two things.

One is the initial leg down of 16% or so in 1929 took 23 sessions and this recent one took only 7.

The second was the initial leg down in the South Sea Bubble, which I had thought to be as fast as the current unraveling, was not nearly as fast.

So the conclusion in my response to him was that I have no data that can help with characterizing the current situation.

[Higgenbotham]

From January 14, 2018:

This is roughly what I expect:
Freefall to 1700 in 2-4 days (from wherever the high occurs)
Gyration between 1700 and 2200 for a few weeks
Collapse to zero over indefinite time period, but faster than 2008 and 2009

The gyrations between 1700 and 2200 will suck people in who feel they've missed out for the past 2-9 years, then the trap door will really open.

The reason I think the foregoing is going to happen is what you will hear today is some version of the following:
"We don't sell until the AD Line diverges"
"We don't go short until there is an unsuccessful test of the high"
"We don't sell until (name your indicator) makes a lower high as the stock market makes a higher high"
"We don't sell unless Dow Theory confirms"

So, as a result, what I think will happen is the market will crash from the high straight down about 40% without warning, then from that low the standard methodologies will give buy signals.

If this is the biggest bubble in history, which I believe it is by far, it will not pop like 1857, 1929, or any other. And it's not like the Tulip Mania or the South Sea Bubble either; those are more like Bitcoin because they didn't consume the entire economy.

OK, so there you have it, but as Richard Russell used to say, paraphrasing, "Don't tell me what to sell, tell me when to sell it!"

[aeden]

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792 ... k=dqZ3zaoV

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http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 406#p50398
https://www.zerohedge.com/health/dont-test-dont-tell
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https://www.amazon.com/Oracle-Jubilean- ... oks&sr=1-1

A few see it.