Financial topics

[aeden]

As we know H we cover it all, well we try, and really this is simply a gut check to what others could care less about or basically cannot.
Several years back, a cycle watcher named Steve Puetz attempted to see if eclipses and market crashes were somehow related.
He studied eight of the greatest crashes in financial history, from the Holland Tulip Mania of 1637 to the Nikkei of 1990. He found that market crashes tend to occur near full moons, and that the greatest number of crashes start after the first full moon after a solar eclipse, when that full moon is also a lunar eclipse. Puetz found that all eight crashes occurred six days before to three days after a full moon that occurred within six weeks of a solar eclipse. The odds of that being a coincidence, Puetz calculated, are less than 1 in 127,000. Puetz was not saying that so-called "Puetz windows" always lead to crashes, but that if a crash is going to occur, a Puetz window would be the likely time frame in which it would happen.
What I am saying is our usual suspects in social discord are appearing again in areas we seen before and what a few see once again.
Be careful and simply put July 24th soxx window has peaked which leads me to the point we made back then we already took half
---- pretext to the context http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... oxx#p46633 -----
off the table. We posted a few books and yes we took half off the table since if you cannot see the sectors wobbling you should
of already took your all your chips off already. I left one account basically with the AI quants you call passive investing today and the rest in commodity chains that actually have DCF. Good luck but they will print until their eyes bleed and we know the keynes liquidity traps when we see it.

The underlying problem is that people actually associate governments with solutions.
What we have seen are the actual Harbingers sent to avoid the actually mentally deranged cults called
.gov being negated from agenda Marxist on sale again subsidized by us.
The sue until your blue will end the republic and in many zones it has.

Global debt is currently at $246.5 trillion.

As a very bright associate commented on you'll need about 1.5 million to retire .
But here is the real kicker! The average person makes about 1.2 million on average in his lifetime.
They tried to offset it with the real estate boom but the average house is just to expensive to buy now
as countless thousand rot in the streets. Tyler notes you need 15 of others not here to maintain just even here
to stay flat line. The people in the swamp could care less and in six weeks when they swim into the swamp
which they just made larger and deeper not a damn thing will change for the better.
Containment is all you can wish for as rats over run the cities as we speak.

Prove us wrong http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... les#p31192
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gFNPzbWROFc
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-y6KdFKGBmgY/U ... C4+002.JPG

[aeden]

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-07- ... t-industry
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vcb--R4z2k

You can think dems are on your side. No they are not.

Anyways the hays mowed so chucks are 200 yards and 4000 feet per second Tuesday.

They do detonate a crow at 200 yards
Ultra light bullets, ultra fast work very well on targets less than 200 yds, jury is still out on the 40g noslers at 4200fps.

Nickles at 100 yards still fun.

[aeden]

mr122017 was correct in the Pauperes commilitones Christi Templique Solomonici and De Laude Novae Militiae files.
Have to wait and see. The Office needs to be very careful.

The thread runs into a Ecocide sponsor, who worked at the European Commission.
This will spin out on its own so caution is in the wind and already as we noted
as they broke out the special class for the needed traction to infer condition of framework.

Nope the Amerikants will never see it as tropes blue the field of vision.

Fake news will cover the multitude of sins.

thread: Yanov's The Russian Challenge, pp.24-25
Pacepa’s interviews still deserves impartial and critical scrutiny
to why we told from the Saints blood who are in His care above now
to what we have been telling you.
If you commented on local affairs the Women were dropped into wells and hand grenades followed to silence the screams.
The notes indicated the rivers were choked with the dead as they forwarded the notes later translated.
If you helped the left you were shot from the right.
The left kicked in your door and demanded food.
If you balked as food was already scarce they shot your eldest on your very doorstep.
They would of shot Him anyways we found out since he forwarded the Word to Village Pastors on chips.

Two masters as one from Liberation Theology and the other ignored as the Book to whom you must serve and how.

As John indicated.
When you compare today's situations to the post-1929 situation, you
have to compare America in 1931 to China today, and Germany in 1931
to America today. Then the comparison is almost precisely identical.

Only to the point considered in itself. They cannot understand here what and how
it was weaponized.

======================================================
Fri Mar 16, 2018 10:31 am
Doubtful the Office can clean it up for some years.
One thing for sure we need more than one term for Him.
When He sorts this stuff out he will be rather pissed how bad we have been
screwed and lead by the nose into this current cult miasma.
======================================================

Over time the three are corrupted.
search.php?keywords=pharmakeia&t=2&sf=msgonly
Zechariah 5:5 targets the obvious.
When the house is ready, the basket will be set there in its place.

NOUN
trade between companies in developed countries and producers in developing countries in which fair prices are paid to the producers.
"supporters believe that fair trade is making a significant positive impact in the world"

I have seen this to be true as we survive forward.

thread: I presume you are tasked with scanning the Web for the "truth" to run cover for xxxxx and his henchmen.
The legislation you note was an amendment with regard to the wording.

You pointed out what a few already knew to your comment. The forensic analysis told us you would drop by.
Thanks for the confirmation bias.
By now you may of noted your handler would screw in a tooth since you are bottle opener now.

[aeden]

https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/11/ ... house.html

Support is at 2985. Next upside target is 3048. Looking further ahead the Lindsay basic advance which started from the December low is likely to last two years and carry the ES to 3500

We shall see.

Never play chess with H, you will lose.

Minimax strategy is the one in which the main objective of a player is to minimize the loss and maximize the profit. It is a type of mixed strategy. Therefore, a player can adopt multiple strategies. It can be applied to complex as well as simple decision-making process.

Option 4

[Higgenbotham]

https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/11/ ... house.html

Support is at 2985. Next upside target is 3048. Looking further ahead the Lindsay basic advance which started from the December low is likely to last two years and carry the ES to 3500

We shall see.

Never play chess with H, you will lose.

Carl (who is a good prognosticator) is always bullish at the tops, and here's a guy (Hussman) who is always bearish (or so it seems).

John P. Hussman
‏
@hussmanjp

Ooof. Our estimate of 12-year prospective returns for a conventional portfolio mix (60% S&P 500, 30% Treasury bonds, 10% Tbills) is now down to 0.46%. The single week in history with a lower estimated prospective return was August 26, 1929 at the market peak. Just FYI.

At this time, I would lean toward Hussman's comments being more aligned with the truth about the current state of affairs.

Can the market exceed the 1929 valuations according to Hussman's model? Of course it can, and by a wide margin.

[Higgenbotham]

Interesting, I did a search for "Saros 127" and "Puetz" and got only one current blog comment on the window. Since that hasn't been widely discussed, it increases its validity because it's indicative that the market is looking only one way - UP.

However, here is a July 23 comment from Puetz himself:

Thus, because the July 16 lunar eclipse coincided with a possible secondary top in most global markets, we are now in a state of heightened alert...

[Higgenbotham]

My personal philosophy is when the stock market is in such an obvious and extreme bubble, as it is now, it's time for me to go against the herd by shorting it and walking away. The interest in shorting is nil, which greatly increases my chances. After bobbing and weaving for several years, it's time to let the chips fall where they may. With the S&P going from 667 to 3028, the rest is small details, provided I am approximately correct.

[aeden]

As we have read no accidents ever existed in Politics.

One of Cahn's most revealing points is that the "foundation" of the American Republic symbolically cracked on 9/11:
"....the propitious smiles of Heaven can never be expected on a nation that disregards the eternal rules of order and right which Heaven itself has ordained; and since the preservation of the sacred fire of liberty and the destiny of the republican model of government are justly considered, perhaps, as deeply, as finally, staked on the experiment entrusted to the hands of the American people." - George Washington, First Inaugural Address, New York City, April 30, 1789

Washington's inaugural address was made at Federal Hall after which America's governing representatives worshiped at nearby St. Paul's Chapel. These buildings are near ground zero in lower Manhattan, and on 9/11 the foundation of Federal Hall, where the American republic was 'founded', literally cracked.

There's some other points that the author seems to have overlooked.
Note how former Senator John Edwards is credited with making the "utterance" that seals America's judgment.

Cahn failed to note that Edwards shares the name of Jonathan Edwards,
arguably the founding father of American Christianity:
Wiki: Jonathan Edwards (October 5, 1703 – March 22, 1758) was a Christian preacher and theologian.
Edwards "is widely acknowledged to be America's most important and original philosophical theologian," and one of America's greatest theologians.

Both are correct on the same theme. Note the result since the lightning is seen before the thunder heard.

I will go with option 4 as indicated on the dated issues unfolding.
Currently the left hand giving the money that is going to be punished by the right hand.
The tip of the spear was produced by those unwise enough and given to those who hold it.
They did not produce political capital being welded against us.
I urge restraint since the DOJ is on trial as we warned to clean up this broken bottle in isle four so to speak.
We already addressed the bottle openers tact.
The DOJ can sweep up the broken window fallacy and Bob was given we are to protect democracy.
His Team utterly failed to direct focus on the clear intent that was done to the Office.
We know the Church is always Judged first. The DOJ can do its duty or the branches must be trimmed or
they will be broken off. They know that lesson of grafted in or removed.
Should a 144 thousand poor witnesses die when twelve can be removed or incarcerated under the current guidelines.

The I-95 corridor was targeted from the outside also and yes consequences are real also as they fall like leaves from Cartel drugs.
https://twitter.com/thebradfordfile/sta ... more-badly

When Hillary organized our area for MOPP capital it was done in sound hands.
The idiots got filtered out and standards improved.
The current tropes as we see are expected and sorry to say you created this mess
playing Politics just as Fidel learned also and the lingering consequence's of Liberation Theology
even the average can fathom.

[aeden]

Yes, a lot of them are rich, spoiled, psychotic, white, trust fund brats.
Those trust funds should be raided and cleaned out then put into a law enforcement trust fund to pay for their upkeep in jail.
It is not right to ask the taxpayers to house and feed street rats when the parents have enough money to pay for their
wretched Bolshevik spawn.

Its goes farther down the rabbit hole. When the duel passports get booted let us know the 7 rules to win a debate.

[Higgenbotham]

The historical average for P/E has been in the range of 15 to 16, depending upon the period used for the long-term average. The high range for P/E, under low and stable inflation rate conditions, has been 20 to 25. The low range for P/E, under high inflation or material deflation conditions, has been 5 to 10.

Going forward, we should expect a new paradigm. Slower growth drives the ranges for P/E lower, which will affect future assessments of fair value. Keep in mind that, had real economic growth averaged 2% instead of 3.3% over the past century, the historical average for P/E would have been near 11—not 15 or 16.3. In the future, the fair value for P/E when the inflation rate is low will be 13 to 15. With average inflation, expect P/E to be near 11. During periods of high inflation and significant deflation, expect the low range for P/E to be 5 to 8. This is not a draconian outlook. It is simply the quantification of concepts that nearly all investors use daily. As is commonly recognized, high-tech high growth stocks have higher P/Es; lower-growth household product companies have lower P/Es.

Now let’s assess market valuation for 2019 under the lower-growth paradigm. Inflation adjusted securities and many financial market analysts expect relatively low inflation to continue. As a result, the fair value range for P/E in such low growth environment is 13 to 15. Thereby, the fair-value range for the S&P 500 Index in 2019 is 2,150 to 2,500; Dow 19,000 to 22,000.

The cautious pundits are right: The market is currently somewhat overvalued.

https://www.crestmontresearch.com/docs/ ... -Shift.pdf

https://twitter.com/hussmanjp/status/11 ... 3656136705

"Real Structural GDP Growth Excluding Effect of Unemployment Changes" is 1-2%. If correct, this would drive stocks a bit lower than the above estimates and in a bear market there will be undershoot. The only question is when does the bear market start.

Also, there is a great emphasis at the present on when the recession will start, as if the stock market can't top before the magical date of the start of the recession. In an overvalued market, this is completely incorrect. The stock market can top when it is evident GDP is reverting to lower growth numbers (say around 2%) well before a recession starts.