Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

soon.jpg
soon.jpg (25.34 KiB) Viewed 4289 times
Winter is coming

http://solarcycles.net/2014/10/09/v-cor ... wn-part-2/

opened a small qre position yesterday

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=fata%20morgana

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http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 666#p24792 Thu Jul 10, 2014 4:26 pm

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-10-0 ... ling-begin

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJLhwHNox-o
Last edited by aedens on Thu Oct 09, 2014 11:35 pm, edited 3 times in total.
John
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Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Back in 2007, after the "credit crunch crisis" started, I posted a
somewhat fanciful series of articles comparing the swings in the
market at that time to the period of time preceding the 1929 crash.

The hypothesis is that wide swings are a sign that a crash is coming,
like the tremors that precede an earthquake. Now, in the last two
weeks, there have been six days when the market swung up or down by
more than 1%. So if these swings grow, as they did in 1929,
it would be a sign of a coming crash.

Here's the comparison:

. 1929 2014
Date DJIA (Change) Date DJIA (Change)
----------------- -------------- ---------------------------------
Tue 1929-09-03 381.17( +0.22%) Mon 2014-09-22 17172.68( -0.62%)
Wed 1929-09-04 379.61( -0.41%) Tue 2014-09-23 17055.87( -0.68%)
Thu 1929-09-05 369.77( -2.59%) Wed 2014-09-24 17210.06( +0.90%)
Fri 1929-09-06 376.29( +1.76%) Thu 2014-09-25 16945.80( -1.54%)
--------------------------------- Fri 2014-09-26 17113.15( +0.99%)
Mon 1929-09-09 374.93( -0.36%) ---------------------------------
Tue 1929-09-10 367.29( -2.04%) Mon 2014-09-29 17071.22( -0.25%)
Wed 1929-09-11 370.91( +0.99%) Tue 2014-09-30 17042.90( -0.17%)
Thu 1929-09-12 366.35( -1.23%) Wed 2014-10-01 16804.71( -1.40%)
Fri 1929-09-13 366.85( +0.14%) Thu 2014-10-02 16801.05( -0.02%)
--------------------------------- Fri 2014-10-03 17009.69( +1.24%)
Mon 1929-09-16 372.39( +1.51%) ---------------------------------
Tue 1929-09-17 368.52( -1.04%) Mon 2014-10-06 16991.91( -0.10%)
Wed 1929-09-18 370.90( +0.65%) Tue 2014-10-07 16719.33( -1.60%)
Thu 1929-09-19 369.97( -0.25%) Wed 2014-10-08 16994.22( +1.64%)
Fri 1929-09-20 362.05( -2.14%) Thu 2014-10-09 16659.25( -1.97%)
---------------------------------
Mon 1929-09-23 359.00( -0.84%)
Tue 1929-09-24 352.61( -1.78%)
Wed 1929-09-25 352.57( -0.01%)
Thu 1929-09-26 355.95( +0.96%)
Fri 1929-09-27 344.87( -3.11%)
---------------------------------
Mon 1929-09-30 343.45( -0.41%)
Tue 1929-10-01 342.57( -0.26%)
Wed 1929-10-02 344.50( +0.56%)
Thu 1929-10-03 329.95( -4.22%)
Fri 1929-10-04 325.17( -1.45%)
---------------------------------
Mon 1929-10-07 345.72( +6.32%)
Tue 1929-10-08 345.00( -0.21%)
Wed 1929-10-09 346.66( +0.48%)
Thu 1929-10-10 352.86( +1.79%)
Fri 1929-10-11 352.69( -0.05%)
---------------------------------
Mon 1929-10-14 350.97( -0.49%)
Tue 1929-10-15 347.24( -1.06%)
Wed 1929-10-16 336.13( -3.20%)
Thu 1929-10-17 341.86( +1.70%)
Fri 1929-10-18 333.29( -2.51%)
---------------------------------
Mon 1929-10-21 320.91( -3.71%)
Tue 1929-10-22 326.51( +1.75%)
Wed 1929-10-23 305.85( -6.33%)
Thu 1929-10-24 299.47( -2.09%)
Fri 1929-10-25 301.22( +0.58%)
---------------------------------
Mon 1929-10-28 260.64(-13.47%)
Tue 1929-10-29 230.07(-11.73%)
Wed 1929-10-30 258.47(+12.34%)
Thu 1929-10-31 273.51( +5.82%)
---------------------------------
bluebird
Posts: 41
Joined: Tue Jul 07, 2009 7:59 am

Re: Financial topics

Post by bluebird »

This link shows some wild fluctuations in 2008 also

List of largest daily changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_la ... al_Average
vincecate
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Re: Financial topics

Post by vincecate »

So if these swings grow, as they did in 1929,
it would be a sign of a coming crash.
I think there is a very good chance. So much so that I really wish I had more dry powder.
But it may not swing much more and just crash.
John
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

It's just speculation.
gerald
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Joined: Sat May 02, 2009 10:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by gerald »

John wrote:It's just speculation.
Hard incoming producing assets my be a help in preventing "loosing everything", unless you are in a 1916 Russia situation.
gerald
Posts: 1681
Joined: Sat May 02, 2009 10:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by gerald »

Now here is a thought --
from comment section --- http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-10-0 ... e-near-you


Western scientists feel that the consumption and preparation of meat from monkeys, fruit bats, and other forest animals is behind the transmission of Ebola, and possibly a new supervirus, which if left uncontrolled could kill a third of the world’s population.

Umm...stop eating monkeys and bats?

http://www.planbeconomics.com/2014/10/d ... ebola-outb...

hmm -- yummy -- sarcasum
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

gerald wrote:Now here is a thought --
from comment section --- http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-10-0 ... e-near-you


Western scientists feel that the consumption and preparation of meat from monkeys, fruit bats, and other forest animals is behind the transmission of Ebola, and possibly a new supervirus, which if left uncontrolled could kill a third of the world’s population.

Umm...stop eating monkeys and bats?

http://www.planbeconomics.com/2014/10/d ... ebola-outb...

hmm -- yummy -- sarcasum
I've seen bush meat mentioned in a number of stories.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

sigma two movements so maybe some pressure has been averted. Carefull into the oct14 window.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6aQEFzB3zQ

Remember who picks up the marbles when you panic....

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=fata%20morgana

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http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 666#p24792
The reverse tunnel proxy protocol specifies its own custom header of (0x9a02) and the hex string (0x029a) equals "666" in ASCII.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-10-0 ... ling-begin

Fata Morgana is an unusual and complex form of superior mirage

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Amos 3:7
Jeremiah 23:22
Psalm 107:35
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