Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
John
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

aedens
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Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

I was reviewing the dunbar number thought Higg from the other night and the context I meant was the size of the infrastucture as the thought when budjeting really does appear scapel time many have already survived. I did not intend a tar tar dinner discussion but yes history is replete with bad times. The notion was the discussion when democrats eat each other at the table when some one is diminshed for intent and self interpetation only to whats needed like consumers spending there own money. The feed back part was you should cut of your hand, and mine in silence was pluck your own eye to enter the kingdom maimed as we all are anyway. As we discussed at home before was the conditions of 70 times 7 for every time we hear nonsense from nonsense based from it. By the way trashing out what should of been in the trash was the problem anyway. I liked the analogy the other night the warts can be removed but at least here we understand the dynamics of no accidents but intent since dogmatic thoughts exist as we all know. Forgot who told me but smelling like smoke before saint peter seems to be a general human condition. The wife was more direct you mean the makers and takers going on, yea something like that...

"We're just spinning our wheels on these measures," said Representative Chris Van Hollen, the top Democrat on the House Budget Committee. "The reality is that we can go through these appropriations bills but at the end of the day we'll be back to where we are now unless we come to an overall agreement."
The result is that a stop-gap government funding measure to avoid an October 1 government shutdown looks increasingly inevitable.

quis custodiet ipsos custodes

http://mises.org/daily/6447/The-Soviet-Bogeyman
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/04/0 ... 46875.html
Hades is real from the mind of man
Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan told CNBC on Friday that the central bank should taper its $85 billion a month bond buying even if the U.S. economy is not ready for it.

"The sooner we come to grips with this excessive level of assets on the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve—that everybody agrees is excessive—the better," he said in a "Squawk Box" interview. "There is a general presumption that we can wait indefinitely and make judgments on when we're going to move. I'm not sure the market will allow us to do that."
http://www.cnbc.com/id/100798203
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aedens
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Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

No matter the outcome of political colors the fact of the matter is both point guns at you to take what they want.
Kerry conveyed here we have the right to be stupid as they point it at you and give it to them now.

While employees of American NGOs sat in Egyptian prisons, Secretary of State John Kerry quietly waived the law that would
prevent the U.S. from sending the Egyptian military $1.3 billion worth of weapons this year.

Congress erupted in anger June 4, when Egyptian courts sentenced 43 NGO workers, including 16 Americans, to jail terms of up to five years for working in NGOs not registered with the government. Only one of those Americans, the National Democratic Institute’s Robert Becker, actually stayed in Egypt to await the verdict. He was given two years in prison. The other American organizations targeted included the International Republican Institute and Freedom House. All of those organizations had been operating in the open in Egypt for several years before the government raided their offices and forced them to flee the country in December 2011.

But what most in Congress didn’t know was that on May 10, Kerry had waived the restrictions lawmakers had put in place to make sure that U.S. military aid to Egypt wouldn’t continue unless Egypt made progress on its path to democracy, rule of law, and human rights. The State Department’s notification of Kerry’s move, which was never released to the public, was obtained by The Daily Beast.
The law that allows the State Department to give Egypt $1.3 billion each year in Foreign Military Financing (FMF) specifies that to get the money, the secretary of State must certify that Egypt is honoring its peace treaty with Israel as well as “supporting the transition to civilian government including holding free and fair elections; implementing policies to protect freedom of expression, association, and religion, and due process of law.”

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2 ... egypt.html
If you think this is about red or blue pills you are simply retarded. It is about genocidal murderers support. The taxpayers gets no free pass on this fact.
So for those who think a hand should be taken off surrender your eye since you are the one eyed king in the land of the blind.

ten and one https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xHcXJCwfYFM
http://www.raymondibrahim.com/category/ ... hristians/
Here for you, in a dream and awake, since you are covered in it. http://upton.house.gov/contact/
Last edited by aedens on Sat Jun 08, 2013 5:30 pm, edited 5 times in total.
Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

This is Terry Laundry's chart list. Terry was an MIT electrical engineering grad who went into the investment business and developed his own methods. He died suddenly awhile back but his charts remain updated.

He had developed some adaptive channels with associated rules. His channels can't be programmed into stockcharts but he said he found the closest approximation.

I had previously said the market is very stretched. I think weekly chart 06 illustrates this very well. Looking at the 2007 bull market, the market stayed within the channel except for brief and small excursions of about 25 points. This time the market did not. Even after this correction, it is still 25 points above the channel. Also, at the panic lows of the past 3 years, the market never went below the channel as is normal during panics.

The MEGA T #3 was based on a long term (decades long) advance decline line correlation that projected a bull market peak at that point in time (2011). It can also be seen that his Confidence Index peaked at that time. You'll notice that the peak of the Confidence Index has always correlated with stock market peaks in the past.

http://stockcharts.com/public/1172710/tenpp/1
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Probably best to leave the facts above as facts before going into the area of opinion or thinly supported speculation.

Noting what Greenspan said above, it can be noted that the stock market has only exceeded Terry Laundry's weekly adaptive channel equivalent since Bernanke took over in March 2006. It can also be noted that a severe panic ensued a couple years after Bernanke took the reins and it's my opinion that by pushing the market more to the upside that the panic was made worse on the downside.

Now Bernanke has gone to a very great extreme, far greater than in 2007. Let's think about the fact that Terry Laundry may have been right about 2011. After all, he was always right before. So now we have the stock market over 300 points above the theoretical max it should have achieved in 2011 PLUS the amount it is over by however far down it would be from that top had Bernanke left it alone. So we have the S&P at 1640 when perhaps it "should be" at 820 if this were a free market.

This means that when the S&P does crash, it is not going to stop at 820. It's probably not going to stop at 420. My prediction, and this is just based on how systems overshoot and then crash and burn, is the S&P is going to zero.
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While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aedens
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Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

True Higg so the reserves are internally primary dealers "remember flow also here guys" churned payed by us as demurrage so to speak to avoid the feed back loop not being disseminated into the illusion of market. This anti market of dark and black pools are sweeps and they know what the term value means as we here and a few other places. The reserves are for swaps when a "status" pull all out. The top governments are not stupid but may not fully get it on that derived concept on over shoot as we can and have seen before. Ben knows this and the design was to fail so lets get that straight up front. They will slam the cork into the jug for the ones who are still in, but geopolitcal is a suicude agreement not to be almost pregnant reality. BOE is public and the FED to offset private and as we know point blank 1356 nodes control 80 percent of reality called economics and its that simple really. Now we do three jobs since before automation the labour cost was 300 percent higher L/#output and we kept busy along the way providing a better standard of care for some. For some things I am aware to we still move five percent out as older and giffen applies and new product pipelines refill from some damn impressive technology going forward. Point is with 10 million or so we can take ideas to save and take life at blinding speed the public can rarely envision. I will resart (b) fund after considerations on who is paying attention on facts and I really get upset as they butcher our kind to save us from ourselfs. No accidents as FDR noted only intent and three convergance of three issue for the swamp is no esoteric reality either. As we provived on a even eperical basis over twenty five percent will never leave the cage if the door was open anyway. As I note for the taxpayer install your hook or for others your eye patch since the analogy is getting there maimed is better than not at all for the one eyed kings in the land of the blind.
Last edited by aedens on Sun Jun 09, 2013 6:29 am, edited 4 times in total.
vincecate
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Re: Financial topics

Post by vincecate »

Higgenbotham wrote: This means that when the S&P does crash, it is not going to stop at 820. It's probably not going to stop at 420. My prediction, and this is just based on how systems overshoot and then crash and burn, is the S&P is going to zero.
I really don't think it is going to zero but it might get below 420.
aedens
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Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

John thanks for the head line news, again thank you.

When the ratio 63:1 moves and oils is 130.00 for three quarters call me on 420 then.
We noted metals also will be seen as breath on a cold day to convey the reality of PMI and LEI
The condition of energy poverty will rule the day and last time I looked we provided around
twenty six percent of goods to the market. I would note these Imperialist goblins tribes need to
be mentally disbatched and focus on core issues. There is no third way since the government or the market
is it and one hundred years of memes is no way to get throught life as we know. The swamp tribe parasites better
wake up and smell the coffee. If you sold paper for a profit of ten percent and bought forward to delivery you
did ok friday. Rolled some paper up and stacked some down for later surety. Now I still have the same amount
rolled and the stack will see you at 420 since these idiots as will I will be taking a dirt nap so thinking
family will still get it since as Ma Joab noted they will just pass away, and the people, well we just keep along
since the others are just not good folks and sorta get swept away. As for the MENA maniacs there are three facts
only. Give up your weapons here you will die. We're Joads. We don't look up to nobody. Stop killing our kind and
evil people give them billions and not wheat.

what was noted -- http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... une#p19510 carefull with these critters as warned

erode anyone with a compass know what will be next

a survivor notes, The absolute majority will never see anything coming though things are blatantly obvious. This is world history.
It has been like this, it is like this and it will be like this. Emptor for those awake...
Last edited by aedens on Sun Jun 09, 2013 6:32 am, edited 2 times in total.
Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

I always thought it was about the flow, not the stock. So was the Fed lying, or did they really believe it was about the stock? I mean, it's so obvious. Just because you have 3 or 4 trillion on your balance sheet, the system cannot maintain a bubble that's in the stratosphere without an ever increasing flow. What has surprised me, though, is there has been a constant flow for a few months now, yet they have still been able to levitate prices. The decreasing trading volumes I believe are absoutely necessary to levitate prices with constant flow. If selling volumes increase, support levels will be taken out in a blink.

I think Vince made a key point that many have overlooked when he linked the article to the corporate buybacks.
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While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
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