Financial topics

Higgenbotham · Post by **Higgenbotham** » Fri Feb 01, 2013 11:37 pm

Iceman wrote:Just saw him on TV the other night. Reminded me of my English high school teacher. Awesome link. Thanks (if I can be so bold and call you "H") H.

Welcome to the forum, Iceman. I'd have picked a shorter handle had I thought I'd be making a career out of posting here.

aedens · Post by **aedens** » Sat Feb 02, 2013 12:19 am

Higgenbotham · Post by **Higgenbotham** » Sat Feb 02, 2013 12:23 am

From 2 weeks ago:

Higgenbotham wrote:Looking at my psychology and feeling similar today to when that post was made almost 2 years ago, there are probably 1-2 weeks left for stocks to run. I think the next date in the decaying series mentioned is January 30. In 2007, at the all time high, the stock market stopped short of the similar point, but I feel that this market has room for one last hurrah before we begin the collapse into the dark age. It has to go to a greater extreme of false optimism to get to a greater depth of despair.

Higgenbotham wrote:I just finished getting the advice of a Boomer with 40 years experience on Wall Street who has been an independent trader for about 20 of those years. I pay to have access to his opinion, so we are not talking about off the cuff free advice here.

He is the only other person besides me that I know who is short. He started scaling in when I did my last shorts a week ago. Nobody else I know wants to touch this thing.

His overall opinion after answering my questions was that he is even more confident that the market is ready to drop. He doesn't think it will go up another 1-2 weeks.

I think most people, including myself, don't learn from their mistakes in judgement and keep making the same mistakes over and over. If the market really does drop next week that will show I've modified my behavior slightly as a result of past mistakes. We shall see.

The Boomer referred to in the post gave up on being short late this afternoon and went long. I kid you not. Those same indicators that told him to be short 2 weeks ago told him to be long this afternoon.

You guys will also notice that instead of trusting my own instincts I relied on his advice, repeating mistakes made in 2011. I'm still 100% short.

aedens · Post by **aedens** » Sat Feb 02, 2013 12:46 am

These are sift's we are looking at. I cannot give a priority since thats the hard work and due dilgence of any cluster margin book entry.
That is (a) and (b) is a a totaly different beta risk basket. I conveyed my window on the expiry windows as a look about.
If technical's and target meet of course we will pull some triggers. As we forumed we trade our capitial here.
We now the distortions forumed and I will dig up the POMO shedule for feb. Tyler noted also what we nibbled at.
We are in some aspects 1937 H and I did note your log function decay ROC
At this point I can be patient. I have found dicipline of the target better than penance of sentiment.
As John admonished there is always until mean revision. The climate suggested what seen early as we noted
the seen and unseen of hayeks and mises dicipline to human action of the actors in the thought map and FDR of
no accidents just intent. I find Keynesian's moral hazard and cartelizations schemes the fulcrum point of mental decay
and Ethical relativism to what the base camp they are. To bad they assume the Constitution a waste of paper since
they cannot fathom the intent of that living document. They are there own worst enemy since they truly possess
the seal they deserve as we all do since faith is unseen.

Higgenbotham · Post by **Higgenbotham** » Sat Feb 02, 2013 1:06 am

a, the calculation at the end of that link from about 2 weeks ago still looks mostly right. Though I moved it back 2-5 days per the notes from Gann and other factors. Moving forward and backward from the 2011 zone I mentioned shows agreement. Related to that, 365.25 days multiplied by the square root of 2 is 516.5 and 17.5 times 29.53 is 516.8. Multiplying that by a fibonacci 1.382 and doubling it (1428 days) verifies the calculation in the link (moved backward 2-5 days). I e-mailed that to his associate with a chart and he believes it is more accurate. They are in agreement. From here, I'll watch the mouse go through the maze. I've thrown the decaying time series out the window. I believe it can fail at any time before the next point is reached. Nobody's going to get that figured out from here. Anywhere between here and the limit can be a failure in my opinion. The Wall Cycle expert has February 2 as ideal for the number 8 high. He's been pretty accurate lately. He put this out a few weeks ago, also telling me he doesn't believe anyone can call a top due to the uncertainty principle being applicable to markets. I believe this is right because the actions of speculators cause vibrations within some range of error. And as shown above, geometric and celestial calculations always have orbs of error, so the Newtonian aspects verify the quantum theory.

aedens · Post by **aedens** » Sat Feb 02, 2013 1:31 am

I need to digest that anchor, as Old note the appatite of the beast has a climate I gleaned.
I would have to backtest and you know what is going to be divulged that your line was to thick
to see the move in sentiment. Back in early december we started this dialog and as we standing on a fence post
given abrogation of property rights why would some decide to invest here since we have the data on the
mental disorders then that apply to capital fundings we forumed? I think we will know by ash wendsday H

Higgenbotham · Post by **Higgenbotham** » Sat Feb 02, 2013 1:41 am

I think it's within error at this point. The only thing I would think to say beyond that is the flash crash happened only 10 calendar days from the April 2010 high, and things are wound tighter than they were then.

aedens · Post by **aedens** » Sat Feb 02, 2013 2:12 am

wound tighter than they were then http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_o ... edule.html <---- hammer and nail days 87% ; -)
That is the crux of the problem as they loot the taxpayers blind. I noted later this as the instigation on the BOJ and the ECB as swaps it appears.
A plague victom who plays with rats with fleas with inflation targeting now. Natives like me move when we see abnormal people messing with infested areas. They blew up natgas futures in 400 milliseconds. Rememeber the ICE server that was the political chewtoy and they had the brain deadness to blame speculators that pick up a phone or click a mouse in a platform application. We are drowning in regulatory retards as billions literally walk out the banks back door on fraudulant derivitive contracts, priceless. Taxpayers are to removed to even care. And they know this point blank. Pelosi and Reid are running riot as the Repulitards walk behind them staring at the dirt a level below navel gazers. Then they have the audacity to ram NDAA up are you know what as the totally sick mind it's for your own good and how they piss on taxpayers with debt and say oh that only rain, but hey we have a new target date to blugeon you idiots with for the total pleasure of we can lie, cheat and steal of course for the best interest of you idiots who sent us.
http://itmakessenseblog.com/tag/maxime-waters/
Yea it like as they say, stamp on a dog to kill a flea on the elephants back, that will work and fix the problem. After all, the dialectic always allows the lies that can fit, but underneath it all the lies and the sole truth that neocons consider eternal and unchanging that you always have to blame somebody and for the rest ignore the law it's for, you know, lie to the plantation nation of debt serfs always.
http://www.rollcall.com/news/House-Ethi ... 750-1.html

aedens · Post by **aedens** » Sat Feb 02, 2013 4:53 am

Application of a thought from last July I found: In many ways does history remind us of the continuing struggles between the creative energies unleashed by liberty, and the repressive forces of politics. The members of collectives are too dominated by “dark side” forces of mob psychology to ever undertake the prolonged and highly-focused inquiries necessary to the creation of anything fundamentally original. Collectives provide mirror images of minds in the default mode, capable of only reflecting the shared ignorance and prejudices upon which the institutionalized control of humans depends. Of this I seen firsthand numerous times. It matches the decending veil we must match and cast away every day. As alluded to it is not about us any more, or for that matter never was. As noted by better minds dying unto ones self every day and not only for few fours on the week end. And we all know this.

2.2% http://mazamascience.com/OilExport/ BP Statistical Review 2012 lagging indicator

Bloomberg (Neal Armstrong and David Goodman): “The world’s biggest currency traders are reporting a jump in volumes in 2013 as a slide in the yen, pound and Swiss franc increase anticipation of future price swings to a five-month high. Barclays Plc, the third-largest dealer based on Euromoney Institutional Investor Plc data, said this month that volumes for the yen versus the euro climbed to a daily record and trading across all currencies has risen to the most in a year.”

The U.S. dollar index declined 0.8% to 79.13 (down 0.8% y-t-d). For the week on the upside, the Swedish krona increased 2.4%, the Brazilian real 2.1%, the Swiss franc 2.0%, the Danish krone 1.3%, the euro 1.3%, the Norwegian krone 1.2%, the South African rand 1.2%, the Canadian dollar 0.9%, the New Zealand dollar 0.9% and the Mexican peso 0.8%. For the week on the downside, the South Korean won declined 2.1%, the Japanese yen 2.0%, the Taiwanese dollar 1.5%, the British pound 0.7%, the Singapore dollar 0.5% and the Australian dollar 0.2%.

http://articles.latimes.com/2012/nov/21 ... s-20121121 Theft, they seize and then sell it. Capone point blank noted this also accurately back then on the USDA. The USDA does not want this in Court. Imagine that the agency has tell the truth. Yea imagine that.
We already noted and forumed they covered this by directive since they already new this was coming on the Hill. No end to these lunatic fringe.

aedens · Post by **aedens** » Sat Feb 02, 2013 8:19 am

We must simply stop these killers, outlaw every one of them they are out to kill you. Turn in your lethal weapons.
http://www.cnn.com/2012/07/23/travel/us ... index.html

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