by John » Wed Nov 15, 2017 8:29 am
I am, of course, extremely reluctant to get involved in somebody
else's flame war, but since I've written about this subject in the
past, it's probably worthwhile to repeat some things I've written in
the past about this subject, from the point of view of Generational
Dynamics.
If you look at Iran's generational crisis wars in the last century --
the Constitutional Revolution of 1908-09, the Great Islamic Revolution
of 1979, and the Iran/Iraq war that climaxed in 1989 -- Iran did not
attack any other nation, and takes pride in not having done so.
Furthermore, Iran is in a generational Awakening era, with lots of
survivors still around from the horrific Iran/Iraq war, in which
Saddam used weapons of mass destruction (chemical weapons) on both the
Kurds and the Iranians.
Iran does currently have Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) troops
in Syria, but Iran is embarassed to admit it, because having troops in
a foreign country is domestically very unpopular in Iran.
So for these reasons, it's almost unthinkable that Iran would invade
any other country.
What Iran has been doing is quite different. They've been sending
weapons to the Houthis and to Hamas / Islamic Jihad for use against
Saudi Arabia and Israel, respectively, and they've forced their puppet
militia Hezbollah to intervene in Syria on the side of al-Assad. So
Iran is perfectly content to fight proxy wars, provide money and
weapons, and let someone else do the actual fighting, as long as
Iranian troops can stay at home and return each night to their wives'
beds, and not do any fighting.
I am, of course, extremely reluctant to get involved in somebody
else's flame war, but since I've written about this subject in the
past, it's probably worthwhile to repeat some things I've written in
the past about this subject, from the point of view of Generational
Dynamics.
If you look at Iran's generational crisis wars in the last century --
the Constitutional Revolution of 1908-09, the Great Islamic Revolution
of 1979, and the Iran/Iraq war that climaxed in 1989 -- Iran did not
attack any other nation, and takes pride in not having done so.
Furthermore, Iran is in a generational Awakening era, with lots of
survivors still around from the horrific Iran/Iraq war, in which
Saddam used weapons of mass destruction (chemical weapons) on both the
Kurds and the Iranians.
Iran does currently have Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) troops
in Syria, but Iran is embarassed to admit it, because having troops in
a foreign country is domestically very unpopular in Iran.
So for these reasons, it's almost unthinkable that Iran would invade
any other country.
What Iran has been doing is quite different. They've been sending
weapons to the Houthis and to Hamas / Islamic Jihad for use against
Saudi Arabia and Israel, respectively, and they've forced their puppet
militia Hezbollah to intervene in Syria on the side of al-Assad. So
Iran is perfectly content to fight proxy wars, provide money and
weapons, and let someone else do the actual fighting, as long as
Iranian troops can stay at home and return each night to their wives'
beds, and not do any fighting.