Preview: Re: 29-Jan-14 World View - China's military to seize James Shoal
dadelaw wrote:
A little less qalarmism and right-wing pro-America bias would do you a world of good.
There are none so blind as those who will not see.
This just keeps getting better, and better.
Daily, Asia continues to look more and more like 1937-1939 Europe.
China's continued belligerency only supply's an almost irresistible impetus for Japan to acquire nuclear weapons - if in fact they have not already done so, or perhaps they are currently negotiating India's cooperation to do so. Although it may already be too late for them to make that decision, if not already made.
As Japan already has an established nuclear enrichment capability that deals with both uranium and plutonium - depending upon whether they have the ability to cast, and machine the nuclear metals - a WAG would be 10 to 15 months before Japan has enough highly enriched uranium(HEU) and/or plutonium to effect nuclear devices. Presuming they have not had the foresight to have already started the enrichment to HEU (in 1999 Japan had a criticality accident at the Tokaimura facility, an experimental facility outside of their power generating infrastructure, that was using 20% LEU that logically should not have taken place with LEU.)
Should Japan in the future choose to detonate an above ground test it would send notice to all the world that Japan believes American alliances to be in deed, and in fact worthless. Or, if the Japanese were really shrewd, they would adopt/may already have adopted the Israeli tact: admit to nothing. Do the device fabrication, and ask the Indians to conduct the test(s). It is conceivable, although not probable, that Japan could go from non-nuclear to thermonuclear in a single step.
In fact, all of Asia, but most specifically Japan and India, are rapidly approaching the point where they – really, all of South Asia - must present a unified confrontation to China's aggression, or surrender and let China do as it chooses, where ever it chooses.
Should south Asia choose surrender, it is only a matter of time before China extends their territorial desires beyond Asia – certainly a concern for Australia. As China is in the process of now building a globally significant blue water navy that has no purpose for a parochial China. China will, within 5-7 years, have the instruments (several aircraft carriers, and a minimum of five "boomer" missile subs; an effective blue water navy) to realize, globally, any territorial desires that a territorially aggressive China should desire to effect. Chinese naval adventures in the Mediterranean during Obama's Syrian debacle of last October and November would only have served to re-enforce any Chinese commitment to their deep water navy.
Russia might take note for once south Asia is subdued, Siberia and Mongolia might appear very attractive to China. As John has noted on numerous occasions, China appears to have adopted a tried and true divide and conquer approach in the South China sea. One might ask rhetorically: why would a tool that China found so effective in the South China sea not be effectively used elsewhere?
Obama would be wise to note: "An appeaser is one who feeds the crocodile hoping it will eat him last." - a quote from his favorite man: Winston Churchill . But then again, as noted elsewhere, Obama is an arrogant narcissist unqualified for where he has been permitted to put himself, and unfortunately, us also.