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Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sat Jan 18, 2014 4:49 pm
by John
Mark D Cook wrote: The course theFederal Reservehas established with their quantitative easing is liberal. I would compare QE to a drinking fountain for our economy that is a fire hose. I predict the housing market will hit overdrive in 2014 and 2015. This means all forms of building will escalate until inflation will be spawned that will be like an amoeba on steroids multiplying.
This is not going to happen.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sat Jan 18, 2014 5:17 pm
by Higgenbotham
John wrote:
Mark D Cook wrote: The course theFederal Reservehas established with their quantitative easing is liberal. I would compare QE to a drinking fountain for our economy that is a fire hose. I predict the housing market will hit overdrive in 2014 and 2015. This means all forms of building will escalate until inflation will be spawned that will be like an amoeba on steroids multiplying.
This is not going to happen.
He has no expertise in this area but is verified to be one of the best independent stock and bond traders in the world. His annual forecasts of those markets have proven to be very good. The forecast that got my attention was the one where he predicts a 100+ point loss in 1 day due to the record overbought of his cumulative tick index, which is his proprietary stock market indicator. He mentions it being similar to 1987 when a 20% point loss occurred, which would equate to a 360 point loss in 1 day.

In his 2013 forecast he predicted the bond market would top out in 2013; it did but not until May.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sat Jan 18, 2014 5:20 pm
by John
Higgenbotham wrote: He has no expertise in this area but is verified to be one of the best independent stock and bond traders in the world. His annual forecasts of those markets have proven to be very good. The forecast that got my attention was the one where he predicts a 100+ point loss in 1 day due to the record overbought of his cumulative tick index, which is his proprietary stock market indicator. He mentions it being similar to 1987 when a 20% point loss occurred, which would equate to a 360 point loss in 1 day.
That sounds like something of the sort that's definitely going to happen.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sat Jan 18, 2014 5:28 pm
by Higgenbotham
http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/c ... resent.gif

Just ran across this great updated graph of inflation since 1872.

http://www.foxbusiness.com/economy-poli ... barometer/
Not only have Fed officials been at a loss to explain why inflation has remained so low, there is considerable disagreement among monetary policy makers over whether low inflation is now the primary concern or whether long-predicted runaway inflation remains the real threat to economic recovery.
Fed policy makers of all stripes would prefer to see inflation rise from its current low level to that 2% sweet spot before the central bank accelerates its gradual transition away from easy money and back to a policy of normalcy.
For now, anyway, the consensus among Fed policy makers -- led by incoming Fed Chief Janet Yellen -- is that inflation will rise gradually back to that 2% target, possibly by the end of 2014 or early next year. A lot of people will be watching.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sat Jan 18, 2014 5:32 pm
by aedens
"What a pity that he who steals a penny loaf should be hung, whilst he who steals thousands of the public money should be acquitted."

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Jan 19, 2014 3:32 am
by aedens
His name was Kelly Thomas .

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Jan 19, 2014 8:14 am
by aedens
http://woodpilereport.com/

It’s not our job to make sure the Republicans get elected at just any cost.

I do not know any democrats or republicans.

What you see in Rose-Garden photo ops is a virtual-reality amalgam crafted by five pollsters, three speech-writers, several calculating back-room political strategists, an ad agency, a make-up artist and a gestures coach. The actual president is incidental. In fact, he is actually viewed as an impediment by his handlers.
Fred Reed at fredoneverything.net

In 1974, Time Magazine blamed the cold polar vortex on global cooling. Forty years later, Time Magazine blames the cold polar vortex on global warming. At least the 1974 version made sense.
Steven Goddard at stevengoddard.wordpress.com

His name was Kelly Thomas .

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Jan 19, 2014 1:36 pm
by gerald
John you are going to love this -- Entire Healthcare Reform Program" Jeopardized Unless Accenture Fixes Healthcare.gov By Mid-March http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-1 ... caregov-mi

In the article is a great graph showing various codebases and their lines of code --- very interesting

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Jan 19, 2014 1:40 pm
by John
gerald wrote:John you are going to love this -- Entire Healthcare Reform Program" Jeopardized Unless Accenture Fixes Healthcare.gov By Mid-March http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-1 ... caregov-mi

In the article is a great graph showing various codebases and their lines of code --- very interesting
Why is there so much software in a car? Looks like a boondoggle.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Jan 19, 2014 2:15 pm
by gerald
John wrote:
gerald wrote:John you are going to love this -- Entire Healthcare Reform Program" Jeopardized Unless Accenture Fixes Healthcare.gov By Mid-March http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-1 ... caregov-mi

In the article is a great graph showing various codebases and their lines of code --- very interesting
Why is there so much software in a car? Looks like a boondoggle.
Have you taken a relatively new and "sophisticated" car to the dealer for repairs recently? (Think about all of the sensors in a car today , lights, wipers, tire pressure, gps, etc. ) You ask them what is wrong , they don't know, they have to hook it up to a computer. In days gone by, I would take a car to a mechanic and he would listen to the car run and tell me what was wrong, like my dad did with pumps. ---either help is less sophisticated or the equipment is too complex to be easily under stood, I suspect both.