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Special notes:
— Russia and Ukraine together produces 31% of global Wheat Production
— Egypt, which corresponds to 6% of Global Markets, is now fearing an Hydric crisis due to the New Ethiopian Dam on Nile River
— Argentina, the biggest Wheat producer in South America, is facing Unprecedented Fires on Agricultural areas
— Paraguay River, which basically is the basis for Agricultural areas in South America, is at an All-Time-Low levels
— China (PRC) since the start of pandemic is stockpiling Wheat (They bought 60% of Global Production last year), Rice (65% of Global Production)Oil Reserves, etc.
— Russia imposed an indefinite Ban on Agricultural Fertilizers to all countries (they produce almost 50% of world)
— Belarus imposed an indefinite Ban on Agricultural Fertilizers as well
— Wheat prices at 14-year High, almost 1000 USD
— Oil Prices at almost $120

Calls for Ukrainian no-fly zone, though still a minority, are growing and dangerous
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Glenn Greenwald
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4dmBWG-BAK4

One of the things I notice with all this is the so-called (majority of) experts think Putin miscalculated/ is crazy - and is basically defeated. Thanks to the articles linked, it seems premature and arrogant to presume Russia will simply retreat or seek peace with the continued push and reinforcements pushing towards Kiev, as well as the Belarusian dictator’s map showing Moldova invasion plans to annex the country and/ or Transnistria.

When did our geopolitical experts simply become dumb/ crossover into an alternate reality? I didn’t live through the Cold War, but things seemed much more ordered and better understood to varying degrees back then (even if idiots/ saboteurs existed, such as with Kennedy’s cabinet’s influence on Vietnam decisions). While we still have intelligence wins like getting Osama Bin Laden, they seem fewer and farther between. For example, did Biden ignore the intelligence on Afghanistan pullout or was he told it would be fine? Does the US intelligence community really think Russia and Putin are done for?

Zoomer go Brr wrote: Thu Mar 03, 2022 10:02 am One of the things I notice with all this is the so-called (majority of) experts think Putin miscalculated/ is crazy - and is basically defeated. Thanks to the articles linked, it seems premature and arrogant to presume Russia will simply retreat or seek peace with the continued push and reinforcements pushing towards Kiev, as well as the Belarusian dictator’s map showing Moldova invasion plans to annex the country and/ or Transnistria.

When did our geopolitical experts simply become dumb/ crossover into an alternate reality? I didn’t live through the Cold War, but things seemed much more ordered and better understood to varying degrees back then (even if idiots/ saboteurs existed, such as with Kennedy’s cabinet’s influence on Vietnam decisions). While we still have intelligence wins like getting Osama Bin Laden, they seem fewer and farther between. For example, did Biden ignore the intelligence on Afghanistan pullout or was he told it would be fine? Does the US intelligence community really think Russia and Putin are done for?

They are that stupid and proud, and that's because they are degenerates who cannot look to another person's point of view, let alone try to understand it. The inflation and food issues that will be created from this episode (yes I was right) may end up in creating a larger war scenario, but as for now John and Navi want so bad to be "right" about a war that hasn't come, that they are as unhinged as they say VP is.

Guest wrote: Thu Mar 03, 2022 5:01 am Special notes:
— Russia and Ukraine together produces 31% of global Wheat Production
— Egypt, which corresponds to 6% of Global Markets, is now fearing an Hydric crisis due to the New Ethiopian Dam on Nile River
— Argentina, the biggest Wheat producer in South America, is facing Unprecedented Fires on Agricultural areas
— Paraguay River, which basically is the basis for Agricultural areas in South America, is at an All-Time-Low levels
— China (PRC) since the start of pandemic is stockpiling Wheat (They bought 60% of Global Production last year), Rice (65% of Global Production)Oil Reserves, etc.
— Russia imposed an indefinite Ban on Agricultural Fertilizers to all countries (they produce almost 50% of world)
— Belarus imposed an indefinite Ban on Agricultural Fertilizers as well
— Wheat prices at 14-year High, almost 1000 USD
— Oil Prices at almost $120

Russia has the world by the balls, has already calculated this, and the US has a half dead president with gays like Milley running defense "advice". Only degenerate tower of Babel types like the western countries and leaders can lie to themselves and others about how they are "good guys" or that "democracy" muh democracy.

Blog/Russia
Posted Mar 1, 2022 by Martin Armstrong
The only way to avoid World War III is to listen to both sides. The refusal to listen ensures that we will move into World War III, and this is not my opinion; unfortunately, our computer has never been wrong, for it is unbiased. It called BREXIT when nobody else did, and also forecast that Trump would win in 2016 when everyone thought that was impossible.
This time if our computer could hide under the covers in bed going into 2023, it would. We have the most incompetent crop of world leaders perhaps in human history, and the press is so anti-Putin that they are fueling hatred of all Russians which is vital to justify war. Not a single person will listen to both sides, and the people are being played as fools just as they were with COVID.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/inte ... l-discuss/

** 03-Mar-2022 World View: Putin

Zoomer go Brr wrote: Thu Mar 03, 2022 10:02 am > One of the things I notice with all this is the so-called
> (majority of) experts think Putin miscalculated/ is crazy - and is
> basically defeated. Thanks to the articles linked, it seems
> premature and arrogant to presume Russia will simply retreat or
> seek peace with the continued push and reinforcements pushing
> towards Kiev, as well as the Belarusian dictator’s map showing
> Moldova invasion plans to annex the country and/ or Transnistria.

> When did our geopolitical experts simply become dumb/ crossover
> into an alternate reality? I didn’t live through the Cold War, but
> things seemed much more ordered and better understood to varying
> degrees back then (even if idiots/ saboteurs existed, such as with
> Kennedy’s cabinet’s influence on Vietnam decisions). While we
> still have intelligence wins like getting Osama Bin Laden, they
> seem fewer and farther between. For example, did Biden ignore the
> intelligence on Afghanistan pullout or was he told it would be
> fine? Does the US intelligence community really think Russia and
> Putin are done for?

First, there are many forms of "crazy." I personally believe that
most genocidal sociopathic monsters -- Stalin, Hitler, Mao, Pol Pot,
Bashar al-Assad, and now Putin -- are crazy or unhinged or whatever.
Several foreign policy experts (Stephen Hadley and Condoleezza Rice
come to mind) have said in interviews that they've met with Putin many
times in the past, and in the past month he appears "different."

Second, it seems apparent that the invasion has been a debacle so far,
for reasons that have been well documented. The real heroes so far
have been Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the brave
Ukrainian people who are standing up to the massive Russian onslaught.

Third, however, that doesn't mean that Putin is defeated. I don't
believe that any serious military analyst believes he's defeated.
What it means is that he's gone into evil, crazy, unhinged, full-scale
sociopathic genocidal monster mode, and he's going to commit multiple
war crimes and kill tens or hundreds of thousands of innocent
civilian, especially women and children, and completely destroy
several cities to get his way.

Actually, I'm not sure that Putin is any "different" than he's been in
the past. He was an unhinged sociopathic genocidal monster in
Chechnya and Syria who has committed many war crimes in the past, so
now he's the same in Ukraine.

As I've written in the past, the worst and most evil people in the
world are the leaders that order their armies to commit genocide, war
crimes, ethnic cleansing, atrocities, and crimes against humanity --
people like Adolf Hitler, Mao Zedong, Pol Pot, Robert Mugabe, Josef
Stalin, Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Bashar al-Assad. These people
were very popular, and won elections. They had to be popular in order
to get away with their horrific crimes.

Right behind them, the second-worst people, are people like you and
Cool Breeze, the people who are supporting the criminals -- the
enablers, the excusers, the deniers, the collaborators, the acolytes
and the trolls -- the people who defend the war criminals and make the
actions of Hitler, Mao, Stalin, al-Assad and Putin possible. These
are the people that make genocide and war crimes possible, and they
are as much to blame as the war criminals themselves.

Cool Breeze wrote: Thu Mar 03, 2022 10:18 am > Russia has the world by the balls

This is really stupid.

There's so much sadness in the world, and the two of you add to it.

Cool Breeze wrote: Thu Mar 03, 2022 10:18 am

Guest wrote: Thu Mar 03, 2022 5:01 am Special notes:
— Russia and Ukraine together produces 31% of global Wheat Production
— Egypt, which corresponds to 6% of Global Markets, is now fearing an Hydric crisis due to the New Ethiopian Dam on Nile River
— Argentina, the biggest Wheat producer in South America, is facing Unprecedented Fires on Agricultural areas
— Paraguay River, which basically is the basis for Agricultural areas in South America, is at an All-Time-Low levels
— China (PRC) since the start of pandemic is stockpiling Wheat (They bought 60% of Global Production last year), Rice (65% of Global Production)Oil Reserves, etc.
— Russia imposed an indefinite Ban on Agricultural Fertilizers to all countries (they produce almost 50% of world)
— Belarus imposed an indefinite Ban on Agricultural Fertilizers as well
— Wheat prices at 14-year High, almost 1000 USD
— Oil Prices at almost $120

Russia has the world by the balls, has already calculated this, and the US has a half dead president with gays like Milley running defense "advice". Only degenerate tower of Babel types like the western countries and leaders can lie to themselves and others about how they are "good guys" or that "democracy" muh democracy.

Some aren't so sure...

Artyom Lukin, a professor at the Far Eastern Federal University in Vladivostok, Russia, said it was far too early to say what the impact of sanctions would be on Russia. It was already clear they would be “extremely painful” in the short term, he said, but he wasn’t sure if they would be disastrous or, worse, fatal.

“Perhaps the only thing that is certain to me is that in the wake of the sanctions Russia’s geoeconomic dependence on China will grow substantially,” Lukin wrote in an email, adding that If Russia remains “heavily sanctioned for a long time to come, it could become like Iran or maybe even like North Korea” — in that it is totally reliant on Beijing.

Yes, totally reliant on double dealing, two-faced China.

Good luck with that, Russia...

Tom Mazanec wrote: Thu Mar 03, 2022 10:58 am

Blog/Russia
Posted Mar 1, 2022 by Martin Armstrong
...and the people are being played as fools just as they were with COVID.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/inte ... l-discuss/

Martin Armstrong is grifter.

Yeah, and Covid was just the flu...

Yes John does a great job of keeping us informed. I am waiting for this Ukraine thing to end because i am not sure Russia will be ok, although they will be victorious in this endeavor.
China is still the unknown in this equation. I bet what happens is China moves east and starts to take pieces of Russia. This will make John's original prediction of US, Russia, some of Europe against China and her few allies in WWIII.

Great job John. I was a little slow in getting this view out.

Joe