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Posted: **Thu Jan 16, 2020 4:10 pm**

John wrote:** 16-Jan-2020 World View: More on speed bumps

Something interesting occurred to me after posting my previous message
on speed bumps. If you look at the four speed bumps:

#1 occurred at the end of the Reagan administration.

#2 occurred at the end of the Clinton administration.

#3 occurred at the end of the Bush administration.

#4 may occur at thed of the (first term of the)
Trump administration.
I've always assumed that there was no political connection at all to
the timing of these speed bumps, but maybe there is.

That's why I pick 2023 as the most probable (yet still unlikely in my "new" opinion) year of (the start of) WWIII.

The combination of the "early-ish maturation" of 5G networking, operational worldwide Starlink (satellite) cellphone service, massive government implementation of "newly" very-effective population surveillance tech, the abject insanity of the third year of a US Presidential term (see: 2019AD), as well as the "curious" fact that 2+0+2+3=7 (!?) points to BOOMs, BANGs, and more BOOMs.

Now, WHY my "new" opinion that WW!!!, sorry, WWIII will NOT likely start in 2023 (or earlier)?

..because I'm always wrong about such things, and weird-assed things ALWAYS foil my best attempts at prognostication.

Posted: **Thu Jan 16, 2020 4:16 pm**

Guest wrote:
John wrote:** 16-Jan-2020 World View: Financial speed bumps

[*] The subprime crash of 2008, and the collapse of the real estate
bubble. The "cause" of the real estate bubble was the rise of
Generation-X, who were furious that they were personally swindled by
the Silents/Boomers in the Nasdaq crash. This tied into their fury at
their fathers over the high divorce rate. They decided to get revenge
by creating tens of trillions of dollars in fraudulent subprime
mortgage backed synthetic securities, and then selling then to their
fathers' generation to screw them and swindle them. Unfortunately,
they created millions of bankrupt and homeless families in all
generations.[/list]
Why are you blaming the fathers?

The high divorce rate is the fault of feminism, the fault of women.

Yes,.. but they (the boys, the swindler gen-xers) blame their FATHER's for being such pus_ies and allowing themselves to be taken advantage of.

..remember,.. this is the psychology of a little kid, which becomes deep seated "neurosis/psychosis" in the maturing-and-mature adult.

Posted: **Thu Jan 16, 2020 7:36 pm**

FishbellykanakaDude wrote:
John wrote:** 10-Jan-2020 World View: The power of love

John J. Xenakis wrote:

It's worth noting that Tulsi Gabbard is the hottest candidate
currently running for president.

[im g]https://editorial01.shutterstock.com/wm ... 7913ad.jpg[/img]

I forgot about Marianne Williamson. She was hottest candidate running
for president, and the way she looks and the mystical way she talks
definitely remind me of a couple of sensational girls that I dated
years ago. But she dropped out today, so Tulsi Gabbard is now the
hottest again.
You, me hoaloha, you got da BIG lolo goin' on in yo' noggin, bruddah...!!

Posted: **Thu Jan 16, 2020 11:35 pm**

17-Jan-20 World View -- US and China sign Phase I of the US-China trade deal

Cracking down on Amazon, Walmart, Alibaba and Shopify

** 17-Jan-20 World View -- US and China sign Phase I of the US-China trade deal
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e200117

Contents:
US and China sign Phase I of the US-China trade deal
Peter Navarro: China's seven deadly sins
Cracking down on Amazon, Walmart, Alibaba and Shopify
China shifts to regional trade

Keys:
Generational Dynamics, China, Peter Liu,
Peter Navarro, Robert Lighthizer,
Amazon, Walmart, Alibaba, Shopify,
U.S. Customs and Border Protection, CBP, Operation Megaflex,
Huawei, Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, RCEP

Posted: **Fri Jan 17, 2020 9:10 am**

I don’t think Xers thought “I’ll screw the Old Man.” I think Xers thought “I’ll make as much money as I can anyway I can.”

Posted: **Fri Jan 17, 2020 2:12 pm**

Re: The Media

The response of the media to the Soleimani thing was for the purpose of selling ads. Fear mongering via "imminent war" increases reader/viewership which increases ad revenue. I doubt that they can't do percentages. Their greed overshadowed their honesty.

Re: Iran's apparent shootdown admission

In the most recent 24 hours Iran has again changed course by blaming the US for the shootdown (the US hacked something) and by arresting the damned SOB who dared to take incriminating photos of the missiles hitting the plane. Iran is so imbued in the culture of fantasy, deception and lying promulgated by Islam that they don't even realize or care that they sound like raving lunatics. I don't doubt that their culture of inbreeding contributes to these psychoses.

Re: Iran's retribution

I further have no doubt that Iran is not finished with their retribution. They will continue with attacks on US interests, either directly or through proxies, that are just below their perceived threshold that would trigger a massive US response. This will continue until the time they believe they can effectively use proxies to deliver EMPs to the US homeland or when they can wear down the US will to engage, a la your tet offensive example..

The other scenario is they err in their attacks, push too many of our buttons, and we bomb their infrastructure and nuke sites setting them back a decade or so.

Posted: **Fri Jan 17, 2020 4:44 pm**

[quote="John"]17-Jan-20 World View -- US and China sign Phase I of the US-China trade deal

** 17-Jan-20 World View -- US and China sign Phase I of the US-China trade deal
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e200117

I wonder if the the last "deadly sin" Fentanyl is China attempting revenge for the Oppium Wars that humiliated them so long ago.

Posted: **Fri Jan 17, 2020 4:45 pm**

Tom Mazanec wrote:I don’t think Xers thought “I’ll screw the Old Man.” I think Xers thought “I’ll make as much money as I can anyway I can.”

This. Plus it was Boomers in charge of the companies selling these products. X-ers wouldn't have been higher than middle management. Contrary to John, I don't buy the argument that that executives didn't understand that the derivatives they were selling were effectively worthless. These are/were very smart guys with decades in the financial field. There wouldn't have been snowed by some 35-year-old dude.

Posted: **Fri Jan 17, 2020 8:11 pm**

** 17-Jan-2020 World View: Financial crisis this year?

Marypoza wrote: > -- that's this year

Yes, it certainly is.

There are actually a lot of people today who are pretty certain that a
financial crisis is coming soon. You don't hear much about it because
it's one of those forbidden subjects, like the coming war with China.
In addition, most economists are idiots and don't have the vaguest
clue what's going on, which can be determined by looking at their
records. Currently, an economist will predict economic growth or
recession according to the following deeply algorithmic economic
formula: If you're a nevertrumper, predict recession, but if you
support Trump, predict growth.

Higgenbotham in the Financial Topics topic of the Generational
Dynamics forum analyzes the likelihood of an imminent stock market
crash on a regular basis. He's the most accurate person around
because he puts his money where his mouth is -- he's constantly making
short investments, because he wants to be a big winner when the market
crashes. However, he's had his ups and downs doing this because, as
he very well knows from frequently quoting John Maynard Keynes as
saying, "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay
solvent."

At any rate, the market has recently, once again, gone parabolic, which
is what happens prior to a crash.

Marypoza wrote: > Bernie/Tulsi 2020

So did you enjoy watching that little spat this week between Bernie
Sanders and Pocahontas as much as I did?

CNN wanted to make sure that everyone saw it and enjoyed it. It
appears that CNN hates Sanders almost as much as they hate Trump, if
that's possible.

Posted: **Fri Jan 17, 2020 8:13 pm**

** 17-Jan-2020 World View: Iran shooting down passenger plane

gfmucci1 wrote: > Re: The Media - The response of the media to the Soleimani thing
> was for the purpose of selling ads. Fear mongering via "imminent
> war" increases reader/viewership which increases ad revenue. I
> doubt that they can't do percentages. Their greed overshadowed
> their honesty.

Given the high ratings of Fox News vs CNN and MS-NBC, I doubt that analysis
is true. The reporters at CNN and MS-NBC (with CNN much worse than
MS-NBC) are like rabid dogs who attack raw meat irrespective of ad
revenue.

There's another reason: They're unable to do percentages.

gfmucci1 wrote: > Re: Iran's apparent shootdown admission -In the most recent 24
> hours Iran has again changed course by blaming the US for the
> shootdown (the US hacked something) and by arresting the damned
> SOB who dared to take incriminating photos of the missiles hitting
> the plane. Iran is so imbued in the culture of fantasy, deception
> and lying promulgated by Islam that they don't even realize or
> care that they sound like raving lunatics. I don't doubt that
> their culture of inbreeding contributes to these psychoses.

Yes, apparently Iran shot down the passenger plane because the
Americans hacked Iran's radar.

Just like when Russia shot down a passenger plane with a Buk missile,
then said that the US shot it down to embarrass Russia.

gfmucci1 wrote: > Re: Iran's retribution - I further have no doubt that Iran is not
> finished with their retribution. They will continue with attacks
> on US interests, either directly or through proxies, that are just
> below their perceived threshold that would trigger a massive US
> response. This will continue until the time they believe they can
> effectively use proxies to deliver EMPs to the US homeland or when
> they can wear down the US will to engage, a la your tet offensive
> example..

> The other scenario is they err in their attacks, push too many of
> our buttons, and we bomb their infrastructure and nuke sites
> setting them back a decade or so.

Today's Friday prayers and "Death to America" chants led by
Khamenei for the first time in 8 years shows how desperate the
hardline geezers are.

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