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Re: Financial topics
Posted: Sun Feb 07, 2021 7:01 pm
by Higgenbotham
I'm not afraid to accumulate some unleveraged shorts here, but I won't be afraid to get rid of them for a profit either. I'm not inclined to be long anything next week at these levels, even for an intended 10 minute trade.
Re: Financial topics
Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2021 4:52 am
by richard5za
Higgenbotham wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 7:01 pm
I'm not afraid to accumulate some unleveraged shorts here, but I won't be afraid to get rid of them for a profit either. I'm not inclined to be long anything next week at these levels, even for an intended 10 minute trade.
I share your caution Higg, and I shall not be going long myself. But the facts are that the S&P 500 gained every day last week and ended up on Friday at a record high. The wind of madness is blowing strongly into the sails. Add to this that Biden seems rampant in his eagerness to print more money and do dumb things and the market thinks this boom will go on forever. At the time of writing futures are up.
For us it's not a case of not going long. We are not idiots. The question is when to go short? We are like prophets who accurately read the sign of the times, but we cannot accurately forecast timing. It's obvious that catastrophe will overwhelm the market at some stage; but when is the question?
I don't live in America but even so I have a feeling of dread on what this Senate trial of Trump might unleash upon the nation. If this market plays to bubble formula not even that will bring sanity. What then? Panic!!! But what it will be we do not know
Re: Financial topics
Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:58 am
by aeden
https://www.economics.utoronto.ca/jfloy ... /dcne.html
The economically efficient output in this case would be Q1, in which case the government would have to force both firms to charge the price
P1 and subsidize each of them by the amount b c per unit of output.
Green mask and watermelons ecstasy. The rest are slated to be destroyed.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/we- ... acy-racist
Lysenkoism on full display.
“Two wings of the same bird of prey.”
https://msindex.net/
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V? ... Abody_link
The only thing in the middle of the road is dead armadillos.
When the gain of function smooths out armadillos will be all over the side of the road.
We discussed education problems and flows. Flows for Sogo facility's to date are holding.
The Senate allowed these debt dislocations point blank.
Re: Financial topics
Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2021 10:18 am
by aeden
Re: Financial topics
Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2021 11:36 am
by Higgenbotham
richard5za wrote: Mon Feb 08, 2021 4:52 am
Higgenbotham wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 7:01 pm
I'm not afraid to accumulate some unleveraged shorts here, but I won't be afraid to get rid of them for a profit either. I'm not inclined to be long anything next week at these levels, even for an intended 10 minute trade.
I share your caution Higg, and I shall not be going long myself. But the facts are that the S&P 500 gained every day last week and ended up on Friday at a record high. The wind of madness is blowing strongly into the sails. Add to this that Biden seems rampant in his eagerness to print more money and do dumb things and the market thinks this boom will go on forever. At the time of writing futures are up.
For us it's not a case of not going long. We are not idiots. The question is when to go short? We are like prophets who accurately read the sign of the times, but we cannot accurately forecast timing. It's obvious that catastrophe will overwhelm the market at some stage; but when is the question?
I don't live in America but even so I have a feeling of dread on what this Senate trial of Trump might unleash upon the nation. If this market plays to bubble formula not even that will bring sanity. What then? Panic!!! But what it will be we do not know
My top concerns for the market are the rising 30 year treasury rate and the rising oil price. It doesn't seem to me that the country can afford either. That should put pressure on an already fragile situation. I think the 1987 crash was attributed to rising interest rates and the 1973/1974 bear market was attributed to a rising oil price.
This morning I held my nose and traded a volatile stock. Also increased shorts a bit.
My best guess for the top of this market is March 26, 2021 plus or minus a lot. We know my track record has been very poor. I think the most critical read is going to be, once that top comes, do you hold short or look for lots of volatility for awhile?
Re: Financial topics
Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2021 12:35 pm
by aeden
agree h
we can trend the 39xx sentiment
book 2 10.96%
10.96% from August 7, 2020 to February 5, 2021
As we noted the rest of the year as opportunity costs.
Re: Financial topics
Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2021 2:33 pm
by aeden
699547 to go from expert projections
VAERS
of course they do not read
incomplete, inaccurate, coincidental, unverified
and no culpability
Re: Financial topics
Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2021 2:50 pm
by aeden
Re: Financial topics
Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2021 3:47 pm
by aeden
Re: Financial topics
Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2021 4:00 pm
by aeden
They didn't win this election, except by massive, in-your-face fraud. They weren't even subtle about it. Its one of those, "yeah, and what are you going to do about it?" things. I believe they have positioned themselves so that they will now win every election for all eternity. We'll be hanging politicians from lamp poles and the dead will still be elected to office. Not understanding that Trump was the only thing they had going for them, the Republicans are gleeful and believe they can wrest their party from his clutches and get back to business as usual. They'll
never get another vote or a dime from me.
Sighed a taxpayer and more than a few.
Spread the recipes far and wide.
Stock up.
Black out.
They
are criminals.
PayPal was blocking their users.
Paypal is no more and the list is growing as in rapid.
The duck has a browser too. You can torch open tabs and watch them go up in flames.
They are smart enough not to care anyways.
https://www.summitracing.com/search/bra ... R+(Search)