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Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 6:46 am
by aeden

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 8:30 am
by aeden
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media ... conomy.pdf

Defend psychopathic organization?
Why?
Would they defend?
Ask Bob Bish hows that socialist model working.

Taxes will be jacked with no work is hyperinflation
as they throw your ass into the street and your insulted as a street shitter.
Pro tip when you deposit your money they own it not you.
Its called bail in to take it Princess.
No borders your already a dead letter.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 9:50 am
by vincecate
My broker is concerned about "volatility" around the time of the election and so is increasing requirements (reducing allowed margin) then. Assuming lots of brokers are reducing allowed margins at that time, it could be enough to crash the market then.

Whichever way the election goes, about half the US population will be very upset/concerned about the future of the US.

So "volatility" does seem like a real risk.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 10:46 am
by aeden
“In general, they missed it as a group,” he concluded. “We think it is really hard to predict anything now.”

Dwyer, chief market strategist at financial services firm Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. says it's "impossible" to arrive at a sensible number for the year.

Only if your selling paper to sell side half wits.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 11:16 am
by Higgenbotham
appears to be the conventional view: "if Trump can get out of the hospital by Tuesday, then he’s gone through the worst of it. But if he’s still there after Tuesday, the worst is yet to come."
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/26- ... pital-stay

Based on this, I would expect the market to be very volatile early in the week until this is settled.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:08 pm
by aeden
Carl notes.
Guesstimates
December S&P E-mini Futures: I still think the drop from 3587 ended at 3198. But if the ES closes today below 3290 I will have to reconsider. Even then this remains is a bull market. The Fed’s QE program is very bullish long term and the Corona Crisis has passed its peak. There will be no more shutdowns. The 2174 low will hold for several years and the ES is likely to trade well above 4000 by the end of 2021.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:24 pm
by John
** 04-Oct-2020 World View: Wishful thinking
aeden wrote: Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:08 pm > Carl notes.
> Guesstimates
> December S&P E-mini Futures: I still think the drop from 3587
> ended at 3198. But if the ES closes today below 3290 I will have
> to reconsider. Even then this remains is a bull market. The Fed’s
> QE program is very bullish long term and the Corona Crisis has
> passed its peak. There will be no more shutdowns. The 2174 low
> will hold for several years and the ES is likely to trade well
> above 4000 by the end of 2021.
Lots of wishful thinking. Inexpert punditry?

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 3:15 pm
by Higgenbotham
John wrote: Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:24 pm ** 04-Oct-2020 World View: Wishful thinking
aeden wrote: Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:08 pm > Carl notes.
> Guesstimates
> December S&P E-mini Futures: I still think the drop from 3587
> ended at 3198. But if the ES closes today below 3290 I will have
> to reconsider. Even then this remains is a bull market. The Fed’s
> QE program is very bullish long term and the Corona Crisis has
> passed its peak. There will be no more shutdowns. The 2174 low
> will hold for several years and the ES is likely to trade well
> above 4000 by the end of 2021.
Lots of wishful thinking. Inexpert punditry?

The first thing I always do in these cases is look to see what he was saying on September 2 at the bull market high.
Wednesday, September 02, 2020

Guesstimates on September 2, 2020

September S&P E-mini Futures: The ES recovered quickly back above the 3500 level. Looks like the next stop will be 3600. Remember that this is a bull market. The Fed’s QE program is very bullish long term and the Corona Crisis has passed its peak. The 2174 low will hold for several years and the ES is likely to trade well above 4000 by the end of 2021.
http://carlfutia.blogspot.com/search?up ... date=false

Not helpful.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 7:06 pm
by Higgenbotham
I'm noticing two distinct camps.

1. Up to 4000 (3800 to 4200) and
2. Down to 2000 (1800 to 2200).

I'll be different and go out on a limb.

Down to zero. Maybe double digits at the most.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 7:47 pm
by aeden
They do not understand the hour they are in at all.
Not so much due to Donald Trump it was said but a program that allowed this the inexpert punditry extol.
What would be helpful with 40 variants of genetics weapons or yellow cake centrifuges out of control.
Ankara and Egypt have a date and it cannot be denied what and who are picking sides.

thread: Ankara