Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Higgenbotham wrote: > I pummeled the algos all night:
It looks like you're something of an algo yourself.

Hmmmmm. I know that this forum is sometimes attacked by bots. I've
always assumed that you're human, but maybe I've been wrong all these
years and you're really a bot. Hmmmmm.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7998
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

I was listening to a TED talk yesterday where the speaker was talking about areas where computers have overtaken humans. One of the examples he pointed to was trading algorithms. He showed a photo of a trading floor and said the humans don't really do anything except run the computers.

Since the market topped out, I believe I have beaten the algos every single day except one, both on the up days and the down days. And it hasn't been close either.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Higgenbotham wrote: > I was listening to a TED talk yesterday where the speaker was
> talking about areas where computers have overtaken humans. One of
> the examples he pointed to was trading algorithms. He showed a
> photo of a trading floor and said the humans don't really do
> anything except run the computers.

> Since the market topped out, I believe I have beaten the algos
> every single day except one, both on the up days and the down
> days. And it hasn't been close either.
Speaking as a Senior Software Engineer, that makes sense to me. The
programmers writing the code for the algos have to anticipate every
possible situation in advance and program the response in advance, and
obviously they can't think of everything. You, on the other hand, are
operating in real time, so you can respond to the current situation,
based on your experience, and that gives you a big advantage over the
algos.

Or at least some algos. After the success of Watson and AlphaGo,
there's no doubt in my mind that even with today's technology, someone
could write a super-algo that could crush you or any human. It
wouldn't surprise me to learn that someone already has.

But that isn't most algos. Most algos today are written by someone
who follows rules like, "If a stock price goes up 3 times in 37
minutes, then sell; if it goes down two times in 18 minutes, then
buy." That kind of rule might work well enough to beat an ordinary
human, but it's competing against a growing number of algos with
similar rules, and experienced humans like yourself can beat them.

So I would split up the investment community into ordinary humans,
experienced humans, ordinary algos, and super-algos. If a super-algo
has been developed at Watson Research Center or elsewhere, then its
use is currently being restricted or is top secret, as unleashing it
on the world for widespread use would cause huge distortions and a
major panic.

Nonetheless, it's coming. As the technology gets easier to use, it
will be developed in someone's basement or in Europe or in Japan or in
China. At some point, there will be widely available algos that can
easily beat even the most sophisticated human. We keep wondering what
will be the trigger for the financial crisis, and this is one more
candidate.
aeden
Posts: 13999
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

http://fmshooter.com/german-feminist-sj ... ee-poland/

Poland should not let Her in. Ask the Algo worshipers what happens when the religion of peace takes over.
Last edited by aeden on Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
aeden
Posts: 13999
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

http://www.usdebtclock.org/

pillaging...

or...

Consequently, movements in hours worked, interest rates and security prices, deposits/financial services, and trade credit all
occur prior to the expansion of output.

We assume, however, that this increase in the size of the financial sector has no important implications for the real general equilibrium. It is not obvious that this is a good assumption from an empirical point of view. Nevertheless, it does serve to bring into sharp focus the distinction between "inside" and "outside" money, particularly with respect to the neutrality and superneutrality of government currency issue.

http://www.nber.org/papers/w0853.pdf

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File ... rayer3.jpg
A Chechen civilian prays in Grozny, January 1995. The flame in the background is coming from a gas pipeline which was hit by shrapnel.

In accordance with an energy cooperation framework agreement signed in late January, Russia will have exclusive rights to produce oil
and gas in Syria. tyler

http://howlongolord.com/israel-russia-a ... and-magog/

It was said Boomers refuse to take responsibility for anything they do > and expect young people to clean up the mess and thank boomers for
breathing. Boomers are extremely selfish, their defining > characteristic as a generation.

It is more complicated than you suffice. I can assure you of that. Who said we did not try to arrest it. Blood and treasure was spent on issues
you will fathom in the latter days. Who was the man who correctly stated, clever but not wise. He was the last of kind.

So, as far as correlations are concerned, there’s plenty to keep an eye on. tyler
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lGt54Ozo8LQ

“Authority is never without hate.” Euripides
aeden
Posts: 13999
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

http://graphics.straitstimes.com/STI/ST ... index.html

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=1963+communis ... =hf&ia=web

Needless to say the alphabet players we taxpayer have to support or be shot as they wanted for the financial alien invasion Doctor Catman mused we needed as we seen this coming while the press was still captivated with the usual suspects of the narrative with no borders but air between their ears for the centralized voters cartel to be pushed are still not amused with these halfwit holdovers either to date.
The discussion over dinner was maybe drop them in Venezuela with one Franklin note in their pocket for a year since they can witness first hand what we translated and left in the forums. It has everything to do with the financial forums. Julie from Puerto Rico was supportive of this since they are not smart to accept the facts and She now admits the mental illness has taken over it appears in the States.

As the Englishman correctly stated back then.

In answer to the question: Do you have anyone dependent on you replied:
2.1 million illegal immigrants,
1.1 million crack-heads
4.4 million unemployable scroungers
900,000 criminals in 85 prisons
650 idiots in Parliament and the whole of the European Commission

His response was deemed unacceptable.

As we correctly stated, We thought he was one of US who collected his last check from the Gray Lady dating Mr. Slim
as another crossover dates CNN as we can hardly believe it could be in any interest as the infection slowly leaves the Deplorables
of the Constitutional Republic as they are ushered into the Van to the current political body farm we can only hope is for decades.


13 against an intelligence services budget of billions sums up the garden of Gethsemane and His prayer for us.
aeden
Posts: 13999
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2012/01/30/groupthink

Dissent stimulates new ideas because it encourages the work of others and to reassess our viewpoints.

The Fuehrer principle by choice since speculation will never eliminate Weber's theory of bureaucratic management
of its two essential elements.

Pliny the Elder (AD 23-79), Natural History, Book VII.125
Archimedes also received striking testimony to his knowledge of geometry and mechanics from Marcus Marcellus, who at the capture of Syracuse forbade violence to be done to him only—had not the ignorance of a soldier foiled the command.

Lord Beaconsfield [Benjamin Disraeli], in one of his novels, has defined a practical man as a man who practices the errors of his forefathers. The Romans were a great race, but they were cursed with the sterility which waits upon practicality. They did not improve upon the knowledge of their forefathers, and all their advances were confined to the minor technical details of engineering.

Margaret Thatcher
Consensus: "The process of abandoning all beliefs, principles, values, and policies in search of something in which no one believes.

There are still people in my party who believe in consensus politics. I regard them as Quislings, as traitors... I mean it Margaret Thatcher.

New Zealand has been group "thinked" to consensus politics for some time. When the BLM sparked up they seemed to diminish some concerted effects from that University in the umbrella NGO agency's of New Zealand's compromised and captured 94 international secular development organisations.
Last edited by aeden on Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:59 pm, edited 2 times in total.
aeden
Posts: 13999
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

BLM states --- What are the issues that Democrats must capitalize on to win back needed ground in the midterms? Can they shake the elitist label that has plagued them? What will it take for America to make visceral connections with Americans as populism explodes?

We rest our case as flyovers since “In Defense of Transracialism,” has them riveted in logical democratic discourse as of late.

Political parties are examples of silos. They are rigid, tribal, hierarchical, and self-reaffirming.
They encourage collective thought, group think and, as a result, concrete confirmation bias.

Anyways this was wood shed lesson for me then.

page 37 The agency problems.
What I mean is consolidations is not always condusive to productive capex. To limit the risk I
select smaller projects for now to invest in since lets get to point alot of the larger firms do
not practise better risk managent. I dialed back a few years ago and as such have found better
premium payments. I will take the smaller bang for the buck since capex is inline with opex
and that why we discussed dunbars number to scope and scale investments back then.
Internalized problems to opex are the agency problems. As we noted here the equity cults
are suffering the dunbar effect from attitude and confirmation bias. We already covered
the left and right hand legal view on actors. The taxpayer does not understand clearly why
the adjectives and alphabet constructs since capital is indeed fungible and top to bottom
the white flag attitude will run the ship aground as we read everyday for some decades now.

I lost 13 percent on that account and mentioned I closed that book.
That other three instructed me to proper risk and how the product was just as bad as any
Asian b stock issue since they still are under the impression that FX is a proxy to equality.
aeden
Posts: 13999
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Grats on the quant algo brain matter on the terminal H

We can also assume the world is saved by operation "13 squirrels" and billions of dollars by the
Swamp.

My current ratio is 3.3 short bias in the basket account. Nothing is real with this era as John points out clearly everyday
since Author Burns was in Treasury.
aeden
Posts: 13999
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Russian writer Alexander Solzhenitsyn in 1974 admonished his countrymen:
"Live without lies!" This applies equally to the West. The Truth in our time is in no way self-evident. Most official facts about communism are not true. Solzhenitsyn emphasized: "In our country the lie has become not just a moral category, but a pillar of the state."

The facts have been suppressed both in the East and the West.

http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly
Mon Feb 27, 2017 9:30 am
David Brock's other social influence group. Shariablue is a nickname referencing
cooperation between the democratic party/far left and Islamists.



Going further, the New York Times details fervently the $2 million budget of Daou’s Shareblue and admits that the intent of the entire operation is interference in the outcome of the 2016 Presidential election in favor of Hillary Clinton: “Beyond creating a boisterous echo chamber, the real metric of success for Shareblue, which Mr. Brock said has a budget of $2 million supplied by his political donors, is getting Mrs. Clinton elected. Mr. Daou’s role is deploying a band of committed, outraged followers to harangue Mrs. Clinton’s opponents.”

The double standards applied to Clinton for her benefit goes beyond hypocrisy. Many have claimed that constantly metamorphosing allegations of Russian interference represents an insidious effort to silence dissent and anti-establishment political discourse: for example, by turning third-party, anti-establishment or conservative voices into “Russians” by proxy of their opposition to Clinton.
https://disobedientmedia.com/2018/02/mu ... an-trolls/
By converting legitimate American free speech into insidious “Russian bots,” a pretext is created to silence dissent across the board. Without the Russian interference circus, the efforts to breach the First Amendment would be overtly authoritarian and would be inexcusable even by the most corrupt establishment media standards.

The results of such a clamp-down on free and effective speech have manifested in censorship crackdowns across large social media platforms including Twitter, Youtube, and Facebook, with Twitter admitting to actively censoring roughly 48% of tweets that included the “#DNCEmails” hashtag. It seems anyone with an opinion the establishment doesn’t like is liable to be memory-holed.

This article was co-authored with Kenneth Whittle

“There is no difference between communism and socialism, except in the means of achieving the same ultimate end: communism proposes to enslave men by force, socialism – by vote. It is merely the difference between murder and suicide.”

https://redice.tv/news/communist-goals-1963

15. Capture one or both of the political parties in the United States.

35. Discredit and eventually dismantle the FBI.

37. Infiltrate and gain control of big business.

38. Transfer some of the powers of arrest from the police to social agencies.
Treat all behavioral problems as psychiatric disorders which no one but psychiatrists can understand [or treat].

Many of FBI which has many very good souls needs to be absorbed into the expanded Federal Marshals.
Many of the FBI as we have seen are not on our side and squirrel hunters and indeed we live in a Constitutional Republic

https://breggin.com/
https://www.madinamerica.com/author/pbreggin/

The DNC lead by the nose of the moleks.
thread 12/28/2008
Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests