Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

aedens wrote:The capping in the metals is obvious.
There is no economic news or theory otherwise that is needed to explain it. j

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-05-2 ... ell-orders

I think cycles are probably valid, but the inaccuracy or misinterpretation is more attributable to those who are applying them. h

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-05-2 ... omic-cycle
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-05-2 ... mped-shark

window closing, but the effects are real

http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

Keyword: LITCs Quigley 1937 http://shortsqueeze.com/ hunter seeker, un cours d'histoire

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aiDNf8trWn8

I don't trade in the markets but one can look at the above graph, and see that the markets should be declining. It seems that someone is keeping the markets artificially high, almost as if waiting for a major event to occur to blame the next crash. In the meantime, the ponzi is growing and growing until the pin pops this bubble.

http://theinternetpost.net/2014/05/21/b ... ry-career/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_iuukyjCz74

U.S. RETAILERS’ PROFITS MISSING ESTIMATES BY MOST IN 13 YEARS
U.S. RETAILERS MISSING ESTIMATES BY 3.2%, RETAIL METRICS SAYS

While extreme weather is tossed out as the reason for this miss, what is an ugly smoking gun is the expectations the chains are missing had already been significantly lowered. Hope remains strong as “pent-up demand” has analysts projecting a 8.6% surge in profits in Q2… as long as it’s not too hot or cold or wet or dry.

As Bloomberg reports,
Chains are missing projections by an average of 3.2 percent, with 87 retailers, or 70 percent of those tracked, having reported, researcher Retail Metrics Inc. said in a statement today. That’s the worst performance relative to estimates since the fourth quarter of 2000, when they missed by 3.3 percent. Over the long term, chains typically beat by 3 percent, the firm said.

Last week, I wrote a controversial column for MarketWatch (http://on.mktw.net/1kg4b5p). In the column, I wrote there are signs a bear market is approaching, although no one can say when. I also don't know the catalyst that will cause the current bull market to end, but I'm looking for clues. More than likely, I wrote, it will be a geopolitical crisis, an economic disruption, or a spike in interest rates.

After the column was published, I received an onslaught of negative comments and tons of emails. A few fund managers wrote to thank me for confirming what they believe, but the majority of investors attacked me for being "stupid," "wrong," and "insincere."

http://www.michaelsincere.com/

Higgenbotham wrote:

Last week, I wrote a controversial column for MarketWatch (http://on.mktw.net/1kg4b5p). In the column, I wrote there are signs a bear market is approaching, although no one can say when. I also don't know the catalyst that will cause the current bull market to end, but I'm looking for clues. More than likely, I wrote, it will be a geopolitical crisis, an economic disruption, or a spike in interest rates.

After the column was published, I received an onslaught of negative comments and tons of emails. A few fund managers wrote to thank me for confirming what they believe, but the majority of investors attacked me for being "stupid," "wrong," and "insincere."

http://www.michaelsincere.com/

In 2004, Gasiorowski edited a book on the coup arguing that "the climate of intense cold war rivalry between the superpowers, together with Iran's strategic vital location between the Soviet Union and the Persian Gulf oil fields, led U.S. officials to believe that they had to take whatever steps were necessary to prevent Iran from falling into Soviet hands." While "these concerns seem vastly overblown today"the pattern of "the 1945–46 Azerbaijan crisis, the consolidation of Soviet control in Eastern Europe, the communist triumph in China, and the Korean War—and with the Red Scare at its height in the United States" would not allow U.S. officials to risk allowing the "Eisenhowers prudent view" Tudeh Party to gain power in Iran. Furthermore, "U.S. officials believed that resolving the oil dispute was essential for restoring stability in Iran, and after March 1953 it appeared that the dispute could be resolved only at the expense either of Britain or of Mosaddeq." He concludes "it was geostrategic considerations, rather than a desire to destroy Mosaddeq's movement, to establish a dictatorship in Iran or to gain control over Iran's oil, that persuaded U.S. officials to undertake the coup."

Gasiorowski, Mosaddeq, p. 274

The Soviets were about to hand over a prototype bomb when Mao’s saber rattling over Taiwan spooked them. As Mao prepared to invade Quemoy (Jinmen) and Matsu (Mazu) in September 1958, Khrushchev advised caution. Mao was deeply offended, in part because he no longer respected Soviet military advice. So it was that when Khrushchev pointedly reminded him that America possessed nuclear weapons, Mao airily dismissed the possibility of mass casualties. “So what if we lose 300 million people,” the Great Helmsman told a stunned Khrushchev. “Our women will make it up in a generation.”
Not surprisingly, in June 1959, Khrushchev unilaterally abrogated the agreement that was to have provided China with an atomic weapon. Mao was furious. In September of that year he angrily denounced Soviet meddling in Chinese affairs, telling members of the Military Affairs Commission, “It is absolutely impermissible to go behind the back of our fatherland to collude with a foreign country.” The Soviets were “revisionists,” China was soon telling the world, and a greater threat than American “imperialism.” In going his own way, Mao was now less a part of an international revolutionary movement than the reawakening Hegemon slowly exerting control over ever wider territory.

Taubman 2003, pp. 94–95.

Putin took the Chicoms off the 10 year exile list from the other 30 year mutualy exile list. Follow the steel mills in Russia
and it focuses the "limit test" thinking we seen with the NAFTA sticky wage cabal arbiters Nixon unleashed by design.
Polo-tics in the States is another typical world joke again as single digit polls with over a nintey percent re-elction rate of the Senate.
Hard for these retards to understrand capital is fungible and already hedged for such polo -tic of hack retards.
People will not vote "no trust" Republican and can barely stand the red diapers brigades and the watermellons here.
Point rings true the green masks are the new blue dogs.

New Seven Sisters" are describe of the group of what it argues are the most influential national oil and gas companies based in countries outside of the OECD. We knew what the other seven sisters went through since the lending of the hose to put out the fire cost many from those who hell would not want.
According to the Financial Times this group comprises.
Saudi Aramco (Saudi Arabia)
China National Petroleum Corporation (China)
Gazprom (Russia)
National Iranian Oil Company (Iran)
Petrobras (Brazil)
PDVSA (Venezuela)
Petronas (Malaysia)

Will Rogers was simpley correct "this country has come to feel the same when Congress is in session as when the baby gets hold of a hammer."
Also Hightowers comment the only thing you find in the middle of the road is yellow lines and dead armadillos.

When Rome fell they where taxing fruit trees. So most cut them down. To not pay the tax. As things got worse they just left.

Continuity, Consistency, Credibility and Confidence. These four Cs and their relationship to how the members interact and respond to one another and their customers is the foundation of the for the program.

http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2014/05/23 ... e-in-hell/
http://ppt.ibankcoin.com/learn-more.php

Stephen Hertz, Corporate Lawyer, Dies at 55

Personal problems, financial problems, or knew to much?

"In an apparent suicide, Mr. Hertz jumped from his Upper West Side apartment, a police department spokeswoman said.

He wrote on trends in the private equity world, with his byline appearing frequently in Debevoise’s private equity newsletter. In an article written last year with a number of colleagues, Mr. Hertz addressed the examinations of private equity firms being conducted by the Securities and Exchange Commission."

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2014/05/21/ ... blogs&_r=0