Generational theory, international history and current events
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1. Turkey possible; Hungary maybe; Slovakia no. Germany no. This isn't WWII and most countries have now learned that Russia is not to be trusted.Navigator wrote: Thu Jul 07, 2022 5:37 pm
However, the west faces big issues to.
If/When Russia crosses the NATO line, what could realistically happen?
1. Germany, Hungary, Turkey and Slovakia (even France and Italy) could well declare themselves Neutral. Belgium actually did this in the run up to World War Two. We did such a great job demilitarizing Germany after WW2 that the vast majority of Germans view "all war is bad".
2. If you think Russian would be unhappy about being drafted into the Army, what do you think will be the feeling in NATO countries. I would think that the Baltics (which won't last a week) Poland and now Finland would be the exceptions. What do you think Italians and Spaniards are going to do, let alone Belgians and French.
3. Every NATO country has the infantry deficit problem that Russia currently has. Everyone has bought lots of end items (which their defense contractors want them to), but there is a woeful lack of supporting infantry. Squad sizes everywhere have gone from the WW2 dozen men to maybe 8, 3 of them who have to stay with the vehicle (the Bradley or similar Infantry Fighting Vehicle). In addition, the Reserve systems in NATO, outside of the US, have gone to pot since the end of the Cold War.
4. While the Russians are showing that they (and I believe the Chinese) have plenty of Ammo stocks, NATO does not. Half to a third of the AntiTank weapons inventory have gone to Ukraine. So has all the former Warsaw Pact ammo for Russian equipment. NATO will run out of ammo in an all out conflict in less than 2 weeks.
All evidence points to Russia wanting a strategic decapitation to install a puppet regime. When that failed it resorted to a brute force effort to conquer territory. Since it is lacking in capability, it is using the same tactics it has down in Chechnya, Georgia, Ukraine and Syria; total destruction of everything in its path, deliberate murder of civilians, deliberate targeting of civilians, rape, looting, the theft of territory, etc.Cool Breeze wrote: Thu Jul 07, 2022 9:50 pmRussia doesn't want to do what you guys think, even a non-military but otherwise (at least somewhat) intelligent guy Martin Armstrong understands this. If it were a full takeover they would have done all sorts of far more "horrible things" including taking out the electrical grid, cutting off the water supply, etc. Yet they didn't. Why?Trevor wrote: Thu Jul 07, 2022 5:27 pm If Russia was doing half as well as they claimed to be, the conventional fighting would already be over and we'd be talking about an insurgency. Instead, they abandoned their effort to take Kiev and focused all their effort in the east of Ukraine. Much of the territory they currently occupy was taken in the initial stages of the war. Yes, they've taken Luhansk and some other terrain, but every inch has cost them dearly.
You guys lack all sorts very important considerations in this and for pure propaganda, and russian hatred, which is Bizarre when you look at the rulers of the West, who are absolute filth and totally indifferent to others. By the way, they have WAY more death on their hands than Mr. Putin has, and it's not even close.
Russia faked a 'massive war game' ( Vostok 2018). Why not fake it this time too?tim wrote: Thu Jul 07, 2022 8:57 pm If Russia is losing in Ukraine, how could they spend military resources on a military drill in the Western Hemisphere?
https://en.mehrnews.com/news/188833/Ira ... in-America
Iran, Russia, China to run war drills in Latin America
TEHRAN, Jul. 06 (MNA) – Iran, Russia, and China are gearing up to run a series of major war drills in Latin America in a show of force meant to signal how these militaries can reach the United States, local media in the United States have said.Along with 10 other nations, Russia, China, and Iran will move their militaries into the Western Hemisphere for war drills that will "preposition forward-deployed military assets in Latin America and the Caribbean."
The war games, known as the Sniper Frontier competition, show that these states from across the globe are uniting and "getting ready to make a loud statement that the region is ready to embrace the multipolar force," according to the think-tank report, which focuses on Latin America. A key portion of Russia's "military is prepping to bring, for the first time, some of these military games to the Western Hemisphere"—even as Moscow is engaged with war in Ukraine.
Cool Breeze and the rest of the Russian water carriers on this site are part of the 1% that no one bothers with.Xeraphim1 wrote: Fri Jul 08, 2022 1:07 amAll evidence points to Russia wanting a strategic decapitation to install a puppet regime. When that failed it resorted to a brute force effort to conquer territory. Since it is lacking in capability, it is using the same tactics it has down in Chechnya, Georgia, Ukraine and Syria; total destruction of everything in its path, deliberate murder of civilians, deliberate targeting of civilians, rape, looting, the theft of territory, etc.Cool Breeze wrote: Thu Jul 07, 2022 9:50 pmRussia doesn't want to do what you guys think, even a non-military but otherwise (at least somewhat) intelligent guy Martin Armstrong understands this. If it were a full takeover they would have done all sorts of far more "horrible things" including taking out the electrical grid, cutting off the water supply, etc. Yet they didn't. Why?Trevor wrote: Thu Jul 07, 2022 5:27 pm If Russia was doing half as well as they claimed to be, the conventional fighting would already be over and we'd be talking about an insurgency. Instead, they abandoned their effort to take Kiev and focused all their effort in the east of Ukraine. Much of the territory they currently occupy was taken in the initial stages of the war. Yes, they've taken Luhansk and some other terrain, but every inch has cost them dearly.
You guys lack all sorts very important considerations in this and for pure propaganda, and russian hatred, which is Bizarre when you look at the rulers of the West, who are absolute filth and totally indifferent to others. By the way, they have WAY more death on their hands than Mr. Putin has, and it's not even close.
You seem to spend an inordinate amount of time carrying water for Russia which is undeniably an evil state. Perhaps you might want to take a look at who you're covering for. Trying to equate the West with what Russia is doing is not just ingenuous, it's an outright falsehood.
It’s official. He’s dead.Navigator wrote: Thu Jul 07, 2022 11:19 pm Former Japanese PM Abe appears to have been assassinated in Japan. Shot from behind by someone with a shotgun. Saw reports that he has no vital signs in hospital.
Waiting to find out more.
Your head is so far up Putin's ass that I'm surprised you can even see your keyboard to type.Cool Breeze wrote: Thu Jul 07, 2022 9:50 pm You guys lack all sorts very important considerations in this and for pure propaganda, and russian hatred, which is Bizarre when you look at the rulers of the West, who are absolute filth and totally indifferent to others. By the way, they have WAY more death on their hands than Mr. Putin has, and it's not even close.