Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

Tom Mazanec wrote:
Mon Oct 17, 2022 12:59 pm

Russia’s Inevitable Border Crisis
By The Jamestown Foundation - Oct 15, 2022, 4:00 PM CDT
https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/Intern ... risis.html

I found this one to be interesting for the following points:
However, Kadyrov has a number of supporters among the professional military. Publications on the website Military Review, which is close to the Russian Ministry of Defense, clearly show that a split has occurred not only between the regular army and other paramilitary formations but also within the Russian army itself. Thus, a number of authors on the site have sharply criticized the Ministry of Defense, accusing it of “strange and illogical actions against the backdrop of deathly silence” (Topwar.ru, October 3). Some publications directly accuse the generals of incompetence in that they “draw beautiful reports and put them on the Supreme Commander’s table” but do not tell the real story (Topwar.ru, October 4).
Who would come out on top in such a conflict? Mil bloggers and other extreme nationalists are useful to Putin in pushing the war, but it's the generals and others in the military actually doing to fighting. If it comes to a head, I'm thinking Putin has to support the generals and would crush Kadyrov and Prigozhin.

and:
However, these difficulties pale compared to the long-term problems caused by annexing the occupied territories in Ukraine. After the capture of Crimea, Russia became a state without internationally recognized borders. Now, these boundaries have become completely blurred. Moscow announced that the new territories would become part of Russia within their existing borders on the day of their formation and annexation (RBC, October 2). According to this logic, Krasny Liman, recently liberated by Ukrainian troops, is also considered a “Russian” city (Pravda.com.ua, October 1). This fact testifies to several points.

First, what the Kremlin calls “Russia” today has become a territory of war, since formally, according to Russian law, there is no difference between Liman and, say, Belgorod. The liberation of Liman also became a clear signal to other Russian regions that Moscow can easily lose control over its “territory,” and the federal government is in no way able to interfere with this process. Indeed, Russian military analysts are already expressing their indignation at the fact that “for the first time since the end of the Great Patriotic War, a Russian city has been handed over to the enemy,” revealing the “deepest crisis” of the Russian army (Topwar.ru, October 2).

Mikhail Khodorkovsky, a Russian opposition politician and former head of Yukos, expressed similar thoughts. According to him, with the annexation of Ukrainian territories, Putin formalized the collapse of his own state, since the peoples of Russia can also exercise the right to self-determination, to which the Russian leader so insistently appeals. Khodorkovsky expressed confidence that, after Putin loses the war in Ukraine, similar referendums will be held “all over Russia” (YouTube, October 4).
Of the four provinces "annexed", Russia doesn't completely control any of them. Of two it barely controls more than half. That means that Russia would have fight to control its "own" territory. And if regions can vote to become a part of Russia, they can also vote to leave Russia. How about Chechnya? Or Dagestan? Or other non-Russian ethnic regions? Maybe Karelia would like to join with Finland? After all, Putin has said that people of a region can decide what country they want to be a part of.

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Tulsi Gabbard claims there is an 'imminent threat' of 'World War III and a nuclear Holocaust' that no one is prepared for - and 'Ukraine’s going to have to give up something' to achieve peace
By GEOFF EARLE, DEPUTY U.S. POLITICAL EDITOR FOR DAILYMAIL.COM
PUBLISHED: 16:39 EDT, 12 October 2022 | UPDATED: 18:18 EDT, 12 October 2022
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... r-III.html
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

spottybrowncow
Posts: 317
Joined: Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:06 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by spottybrowncow »

Tom Mazanec wrote:
Mon Oct 17, 2022 5:41 pm
Tulsi Gabbard claims there is an 'imminent threat' of 'World War III and a nuclear Holocaust' that no one is prepared for - and 'Ukraine’s going to have to give up something' to achieve peace
By GEOFF EARLE, DEPUTY U.S. POLITICAL EDITOR FOR DAILYMAIL.COM
PUBLISHED: 16:39 EDT, 12 October 2022 | UPDATED: 18:18 EDT, 12 October 2022
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... r-III.html
That's really fascinating.

If Ukraine could be persuaded to cede even a small piece of territory, it would give Putin a visible accomplishment to say the war was successful. In exchange for that "out," NATO weaponry, maybe including nukes, could be moved so close to Russia that all would understand that this scenario is never going to play out the same way again. Unconditional surrender, but we'll give the big cheese a way out.

El Cid M

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by El Cid M »

spottybrowncow wrote:
Mon Oct 17, 2022 7:49 pm
Tom Mazanec wrote:
Mon Oct 17, 2022 5:41 pm
Tulsi Gabbard claims there is an 'imminent threat' of 'World War III and a nuclear Holocaust' that no one is prepared for - and 'Ukraine’s going to have to give up something' to achieve peace
By GEOFF EARLE, DEPUTY U.S. POLITICAL EDITOR FOR DAILYMAIL.COM
PUBLISHED: 16:39 EDT, 12 October 2022 | UPDATED: 18:18 EDT, 12 October 2022
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... r-III.html
That's really fascinating.

If Ukraine could be persuaded to cede even a small piece of territory, it would give Putin a visible accomplishment to say the war was successful. In exchange for that "out," NATO weaponry, maybe including nukes, could be moved so close to Russia that all would understand that this scenario is never going to play out the same way again. Unconditional surrender, but we'll give the big cheese a way out.
If you make a deal with the devil, you get the horns.

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Iranian schoolgirl ‘beaten to death for refusing to sing’ pro-regime anthem
Deepa Parent and Annie Kelly
Tue 18 Oct 2022 01.30 EDT
https://www.theguardian.com/global-deve ... ime-anthem

Putin Blames Outsiders As Central Asia Turns Its Back On Russia
By Eurasianet - Oct 17, 2022, 3:00 PM CDT
https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/Intern ... ussia.html

Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Plant On Backup Power As Russia Shells Nearby Substations
By RFE/RL staff - Oct 18, 2022, 9:30 AM CDT
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News ... tions.html

Russia Launches New Wave Of Air Strikes On Infrastructure In Kyiv
By RFE/RL staff - Oct 18, 2022, 8:30 AM CDT
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News ... -Kyiv.html

Putin's army 'on verge of collapse' and faces 'worst military disaster in 100 years'
ByLizzie McAllisterNews reporter
13:30, 11 OCT 2022UPDATED14:15, 11 OCT 2022
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world- ... e-28209117

Putin's failing forces are marching into Ukraine with 'no shoes, no clothes and no guns'
ByFasika Zelealem
06:16, 18 OCT 2022
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world- ... e-28264072

Ukraine's capital engulfed by anti-drone dome like something out of Simpsons Movie
ByDavid FlettReporter
03:52, 18 OCT 2022
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world- ... e-28263944

Putin in crisis as 'two top officials defect and reveal more Russian war crimes'
By MARCO GIANNANGELI – SUNDAY EXPRESS DEFENCE EDITOR, WILL STEWART
05:01, Sun, Oct 16, 2022 | UPDATED: 12:00, Sun, Oct 16, 2022
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/16 ... als-defect

Putin faces Chechen civil war after rebels attack Kadyrov's militia in 'massive' shootout
By JOHN VARGA
00:00, Tue, Oct 18, 2022 | UPDATED: 00:01, Tue, Oct 18, 2022
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/16 ... sia-latest

Fiona Hill: ‘Elon Musk Is Transmitting a Message for Putin’
By MAURA REYNOLDS
10/17/2022 04:30 AM EDT
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/ ... r-00061894
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Reagan would say a recession is when your neighbor loses his job. A depression is when you lose your job. And a recovery begins when Biden loses his.

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Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4180
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Financial toll on Ukraine of downing drones ‘vastly exceeds Russian costs’
Daniel Boffey in Kyiv
Wed 19 Oct 2022 07.12 EDT
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/ ... ssia-costs

Putin orders martial law in occupied Ukrainian areas as Russia's grip weakens
Updated October 19, 202210:58 AM ET
https://www.npr.org/2022/10/19/11298536 ... -to-russia

GOP Will Likely Oppose More Ukraine Aid If Republicans Win House Back: McCarthy
BY TYLER DURDEN
WEDNESDAY, OCT 19, 2022 - 09:46 AM
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gop-w ... k-mccarthy

EU ministers to discuss potential Iran sanctions for lethal drone supply to Russia
By TOI STAFF and AGENCIES
15 October 2022, 12:36 pm
https://www.timesofisrael.com/eu-minist ... to-russia/

NUCLEAR WARNING Nuke-threatened world ‘more dangerous’ than any time since WW2, top Brit security chief warns
Anthony Blair
18:29 ET, Oct 18 2022Updated: 3:26 ET, Oct 19 2022
https://www.the-sun.com/news/6474610/nu ... 2-warning/

Where Have All the Men in Moscow Gone?
October 19, 2022
https://dnyuz.com/2022/10/19/where-have ... scow-gone/

Putin declares martial law in annexed regions of Ukraine
20 minutes ago
https://apnews.com/article/russia-decla ... ad17d0e269

Biden 'on both sides' of Russia-Ukraine war: ex-intel chief
By Aaron Kliegman
Updated: October 18, 2022 - 11:08pm
https://justthenews.com/government/secu ... ntel-chief

Gantz, Netanyahu both reiterate Israel’s unwillingness to sell weapons to Ukraine
By SARA SERFATY
Today, 12:00 am
https://www.timesofisrael.com/gantz-net ... o-ukraine/

Russia: "No Point" to continued Diplomatic Presence in the West
WORLD
HAL TURNER
18 OCTOBER 2022
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.ph ... n-the-west

6 minute readOctober 18, 20227:10 PM EDTLast Updated 16 hours ago
Analysis: Japan rushes to rearm with eye on 2027 - and China's Taiwan ambitions
https://www.reuters.com/world/japan-rus ... 022-10-18/
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2935
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

tim wrote:
Fri Oct 14, 2022 6:25 pm

Someone can be completely wrong about one subject and correct on most others.
Not if you want to, or have, a coherent worldview. I know what you mean, but when the covid warfare is a part of WWIII, and you miss it, it's not like it's a subject that is 180 deg different than the others - it is precisely, for example what this site is about.

It puts a huge doubt in my mind, therefore, that you understand really what is going on, in life or geopolitics.

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2935
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

El Cid M wrote:
Tue Oct 18, 2022 12:13 am
spottybrowncow wrote:
Mon Oct 17, 2022 7:49 pm
Tom Mazanec wrote:
Mon Oct 17, 2022 5:41 pm
Tulsi Gabbard claims there is an 'imminent threat' of 'World War III and a nuclear Holocaust' that no one is prepared for - and 'Ukraine’s going to have to give up something' to achieve peace
By GEOFF EARLE, DEPUTY U.S. POLITICAL EDITOR FOR DAILYMAIL.COM
PUBLISHED: 16:39 EDT, 12 October 2022 | UPDATED: 18:18 EDT, 12 October 2022
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... r-III.html
That's really fascinating.

If Ukraine could be persuaded to cede even a small piece of territory, it would give Putin a visible accomplishment to say the war was successful. In exchange for that "out," NATO weaponry, maybe including nukes, could be moved so close to Russia that all would understand that this scenario is never going to play out the same way again. Unconditional surrender, but we'll give the big cheese a way out.
If you make a deal with the devil, you get the horns.
Yes, that's why Ukraine is being sacrificed right now. The devil got his way - and the Ukrainian people suffer.

Wake up, this is important. Too important to be that ignorant of.

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Bob Butler
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Bob Butler »

Cool Breeze wrote:
Wed Oct 19, 2022 2:17 pm
tim wrote:
Fri Oct 14, 2022 6:25 pm

Someone can be completely wrong about one subject and correct on most others.
Not if you want to, or have, a coherent worldview. I know what you mean, but when the covid warfare is a part of WWIII, and you miss it, it's not like it's a subject that is 180 deg different than the others - it is precisely, for example what this site is about.

It puts a huge doubt in my mind, therefore, that you understand really what is going on, in life or geopolitics.
If you have a strong partisan worldview, you are apt to be wrong a good part of the time. Among other things, you are not apt to see what is best about your opponents. That is why part of my perspective is understanding if not agreeing with opponents when possible. This may include understanding their lies. Pretending loyalty to Trump is understandable if you have racist tendencies or have strong religious or moral views that you wish to impose on others, but it leaves one in space sometimes.

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