** 03-Feb-2021 World View: Turkey's alliances
DaKardii wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 6:57 pm
> Right now, three countries are competing for control of the Muslim
> world: Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Iran. These countries absolutely
> hate each other's guts, and are preparing for war with each
> other. The war they are preparing to fight likely will take place
> at the same time as the Chinese-American war; the two conflicts
> thus likely will merge.
> In this conflict, China has no choice but to back Turkey. It
> cannot consider either Saudi Arabia or Iran to be reliable allies
> because the former is closely allied with the US and the latter is
> closely allied with Russia. Iran is also a major enemy of
> Pakistan, China's closest ally. Turkey on the other hand is a
> major enemy of Russia, and in recent years its formerly close
> relations with the US have severely deteriorated because of the
> US' decision to back Saudi Arabia in the conflict (a decision
> motivated by both the petrodollar and the potential threat Turkey
> poses to the American foreign policy establishment's agenda in
> Central Asia).
The one thing that I would definitely add to this is that Saudi Arabia
is a close ally of Pakistan and China, and has been for some time.
What's new in the Memri report is that Turkey is now apparently firmly
within that group.
For a long time, I've debated which way Turkey was going to go. They
have a marriage of convenience with Russia in Syria and Libya,
although that pretty much fell apart during the Nagorno-Karabakh war.
Turkey is a member of Nato, which means that they're supposed to be a
US ally, but few people believe that any more. Turkey was having
trouble with China, because China is committing genocide and ethnic
cleansing of the Kazakhs and Uighurs, which are Turkic ethnic groups.
But China has used its usual policy of bribery and extortion to bring
Turkey around to its side. Even so, I still have to hedge a little
bit. For example, tensions are very high in Central Asia, and if
there's a war between, say, China and Kazakhstan, then Turkey may have
to come in on the side of its Turkic brothers.
** 13-Jan-19 World View -- India-Iran and Saudi-Pakistan alliances form and strengthen in Asia
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e190113