Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
aeden
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Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Fed futures rates for terminal rate duration in forward earnings.
The market is lazy for future earnings rate curve.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wyVF_fLYx4M
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Tom Mazanec
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Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Of course, Inflation Wasn’t Hot at All! (It was hardly even horrible.)
https://thegreatrecession.info/blog/of- ... -horrible/
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
aeden
Posts: 13982
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

The “Energy Transition” Delusion.
https://www.manhattan-institute.org/the ... n-delusion
Modeling of the macro data has not even started.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1625903329250541568
Last edited by aeden on Wed Feb 15, 2023 7:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Cool Breeze
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Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Cool Breeze »

Tom Mazanec wrote: Wed Feb 15, 2023 1:16 pm Of course, Inflation Wasn’t Hot at All! (It was hardly even horrible.)
https://thegreatrecession.info/blog/of- ... -horrible/
Santelli, lol
aeden
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Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

richard5za
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Location: South Africa

Re: Financial topics

Post by richard5za »

Cool, I see buyers got fired up on BTC which posted an 11 % gain. Maybe your happy days are on their way!
John
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Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Thursday, February 16, 2023

Big discussion on Bloomberg tv this
morning about "zero day options." These
are options that expire today, rather
than in a few weeks or months.
According to the analyst, these are very
highly leveraged investments (100x), and
so are very high risk, and are currently
being purchased at very high volume
(i.e., gambling). However, since they
expire so quickly, the high volume is
not being captured by the VIX. Thus,
this may be the next surprise "crash."
aeden
Posts: 13982
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Liquidity pool is drying up. Uniparty swamp tax looting inceases will grind the system to lock up failures.
30xx spx may appear to be the last stop on the charts then selling actually ramps up.
Cascading failure maps as the Consumer is in the phase three crushing. The fools are barking inflation is
not worrisome. No its lethal. Not over heating, its burning down. Telsa will flood and is as the market and the
experiment for the others will be crib death. He also paid back his seed money from the looting pool He took it from.
No ethics, no scruples, no personal responsibility, no brains.
Last edited by aeden on Thu Feb 16, 2023 4:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Cool Breeze
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Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Cool Breeze »

richard5za wrote: Thu Feb 16, 2023 6:01 am Cool, I see buyers got fired up on BTC which posted an 11 % gain. Maybe your happy days are on their way!
I don't see it lasting, sadly (for now). Long term I'm a huge bull as you know.

Something will break or earnings and recesssion/depression are coming, stocks will plummet in the next 4-5 months for sure, then they'll try to save the ship.
Cool Breeze
Posts: 3040
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Cool Breeze »

John wrote: Thu Feb 16, 2023 9:49 am Thursday, February 16, 2023

Big discussion on Bloomberg tv this
morning about "zero day options." These
are options that expire today, rather
than in a few weeks or months.
According to the analyst, these are very
highly leveraged investments (100x), and
so are very high risk, and are currently
being purchased at very high volume
(i.e., gambling). However, since they
expire so quickly, the high volume is
not being captured by the VIX. Thus,
this may be the next surprise "crash."
This is a real possibility.

Notice that inflation quite clearly can't be beat down, either. It's what is making the Fed's job so difficult. They have had to hike faster than any other time in history and they have no idea what's going to happen, and still the disinflation isn't very big.
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