Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Higgenbotham
Posts: 8236
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

South Africa may consider government intervention in Africa's richest city amid deepening financial crisis

Ayodeji Adegboyega
26 June 2026 11:54 AM

South Africa could be forced to place Johannesburg under government administration as years of financial mismanagement, political instability and deteriorating public services push the country’s commercial capital closer to a fiscal collapse that business leaders warn could undermine the national economy.

South Africa has been warned it may need to take over Johannesburg to prevent the country’s commercial capital from sliding into financial collapse.

The warning comes as Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana threatens to withhold R8 billion ($486 million) in annual funding if the city fails to fix its finances.
Business leaders say Johannesburg’s deteriorating finances now pose a national economic risk because the city contributes about 16% of South Africa’s GDP.
Years of political instability, rising debt and declining infrastructure have left Africa’s richest city facing one of its deepest governance crises.
https://africa.businessinsider.com/loca ... id/92grg94
South Africa’s immigration crackdown divides Johannesburg’s inner city
A government push to curb undocumented employment is exposing the dependence of many small businesses on migrant labour.

By Qaanitah Hunter
Published On 21 Jun 2026

Johannesburg, South Africa – In the narrow lanes of Fordsburg in central Johannesburg, Junaid Mohammed* stands behind the counter of a family shop that has been in his family for decades. His father started it as a general dealer. Today, it survives on cheap Chinese imports and shrinking margins.

Junaid, who asks us to use a pseudonym, does not call it a decline. He calls it survival.

But the bigger change is not what he sells. It is who he employs.

Junaid only employs foreign nationals as store assistants and packers. “It was not a deliberate choice,” he says.

It began with cost. Then habit. Then necessity.

“It became expensive to hire locals,” he says.

South Africa’s minimum wage is about $1.87 per hour, roughly $324 per month, plus statutory contributions and strong labour protections.

Junaid says he cannot carry it.
https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/ ... inner-city
Geoff Hill
South Africa now has its answer to ICE

Friday, June 26, 2026, 12:03 PM

A force of 10,000 inspectors is being recruited to weed out foreigners: door-to-door across the nation, they will check mines, factories and shops, rounding up those without papers for deportation. Oh, and the target will be black people!

Trump madness? Marine le Pen? No, this is South Africa and a project launched by President Cyril Ramaphosa to expel millions of black migrants from across the rest of Africa who have jumped the border or overstayed their visa.
https://spectator.com/article/south-afr ... edition=us
Africa
'They can kill you': African migrants fear a surge in xenophobic violence in South Africa

June 25, 2026 5:00 AM ET
By Kate Bartlett

Johannesburg has always been a melting pot. Traverse South Africa's economic capital and you'll come across Zimbabweans trained as doctors but driving Ubers, Ethiopians running bustling restaurants, and Congolese selling colorful wax print fabrics.

Some of these immigrants have lived here for years. Others have recently arrived, seeking a better life in one of the continent's richest and most stable democracies. Some are here legally, others not.

But all of them are now under threat — not just in Johannesburg but across the country, from Durban to Cape Town — as South Africa is engulfed by a rising tide of xenophobia.

For months now, mobs of anti-immigrant protesters, many brandishing sticks, have been marching through the streets chanting "Mabahambe" — a Zulu phrase meaning "They must go." Some of them claim to perform "arrests" and say they have the right to check immigration papers, although they have no legal authority to do so.

Foreign-owned businesses have been attacked, people chased from their homes, and several migrants have been killed. In Durban, it's a tinder keg, and thousands of Malawians who have fled their homes to escape the violence have camped out in the open, in winter, begging their country to send buses to rescue them.

In Cape Town, hundreds of Zimbabweans also camped outside their consulate. Nigeria, Ghana and Mozambique weren't waiting — they've already repatriated those citizens who wanted to leave.
https://www.npr.org/2026/06/25/nx-s1-58 ... uth-africa
'A wake up call': Municipal misery hangs over upcoming South African elections

Evaton West (South Africa) (AFP) – Mounds of garbage, potholed roads and sewage spills: grim conditions like these led voters near Johannesburg to abandon their long-time loyalty to the African National Congress and hand the rival Democratic Alliance its first black township ward in South Africa, highlighting frustration over municipal-level failures ahead of November's local elections.

Issued on: 28/06/2026 - 10:57
https://www.rfi.fr/en/africa/20260628-m ... -townships
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 8236
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

Johannesburg, while considered the capital city of Africa, is, being in Africa, a city I would still consider to be on the periphery and, therefore, the collapse has been slow so far.

When New York City and the other capital cities of the hegemon collapse, it should be a lot more sudden and a lot more violent.

Billionaires building bunkers and moving to Argentina.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aedens
Posts: 6885
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by aedens »

Collapse zone notes.
In the economic domain, e.g., financiers, stock-exchange speculators, merchants, shopkeepers skim the cream; in civil matters, the lawyer fleeces his clients; in politics the representative is of more importance than the voters, the minister than the sovereign; in religion, God is pushed into the background by the “Mediator,” and the latter again is shoved back by the priests, the inevitable middlemen between the good shepherd and his sheep. In France, as in England, the great feudal territories were divided into innumerable small homesteads, but under conditions incomparably more favorable for the people. During the 14th century arose the farms or terriers. Their number grew constantly, far beyond 100,000. They paid rents varying from 1/12 to 1/5 of the product in money or in kind. These farms were fiefs, sub-fiefs, &c., according the value and extent of the domains, many of them only containing a few acres. But these farmers had rights of jurisdiction in some degree over the dwellers on the soil; there were four grades. The oppression of the agricultural population under all these petty tyrants will be understood.
Monteil says that there were once in France 160,000 judges...
Alexis Monteil: “Traité de Matériaux Manuscrits 25th day of December 1359 to the 28th day of December 1360

The implosion will be guided and is.
Zones are being erased since borders did not concern them.
They will be erased and just are.
Eco leads Pol.
Last edited by aedens on Sun Jun 28, 2026 1:13 pm, edited 3 times in total.
Higgenbotham
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Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

In the West today, we operate under the influence of our own key philosophy, which we can call scientism: the tendency to rely on scientific claims to describe the functioning of society, even when there is no empirical reason to assume that they apply. We act as if we are already living in a scientifically-planned society, immune to collapse on a time scale that any of us have to worry about. This is very far from the truth. We are certainly living in socially-engineered societies, but they are not scientifically planned in any straightforward way. Our organs of economic management do not secretly know how the economy really works. Our systems of political regulation are operating on the fumes of their institutional inheritance from two or three generations ago—the last spurt of institutional growth in Western societies happened roughly during the 1970s. At this time in the United States, new federal bodies such as the Department of Energy and Education were created and organizations such as NASA reached their modern form. Concurrently, the United Kingdom dispensed with organized labor as a political force in favor of an expanded administrative apparatus, and France saw the resignation of Charles de Gaulle, the architect of the Fifth Republic; neither country’s political economy has evolved much since.

Civilizational collapse always looms on the horizon. Though we usually think of collapse as a slow process, it can in fact happen very quickly, as was the case with the Late Bronze Age collapse. The old dictum “gradually, then suddenly” is cliché, but accurate. To ascertain whether or not we are headed for collapse, we must first analyze the functionality of our own society and pinpoint where things go wrong.

Mechanisms of Collapse

Our society is dominated by large bureaucracies. These bureaucracies break down the processing of physical goods and information into discrete tasks, such as how a factory worker puts doors on a car, or a stock trader buys futures contracts. These tasks are shorn of their context and executed in a systematized environment whose constraints are quite narrow: put the car door in, increase the portfolio value. Our society is thoroughly compartmentalized. This compartmentalization isn’t driven by the division of labor, but rather by the need to make use of misaligned talent without empowering it. By radically limiting employees’ scope of action, you make office politics more predictable. By fragmenting available knowledge, you can leverage information asymmetries to the intellectual or material advantage of the center. Some of this is necessary for scaling organizations beyond what socially connected networks can manage—but move too far towards compartmentalization, and it becomes impossible to accomplish the original mission of the organization.

Such large bureaucratic systems do not emerge organically; they require design and implementation. Empirically, we can know this simply by examining the intent of the original founders of these systems. If you want to know, say, why the FBI exists, you can find the answer in the documents of its founder, J. Edgar Hoover. You could do the same for the IRS, or for Amazon, or for any other number of institutions.

It is very difficult, though, to apply this analysis to the construction of society. No matter how large or how small, institutions always coexist in a symbiotic relationship with other institutions. There is no Amazon without the United States government, no U.S. government without—at least—some parts of the U.S. economy. Each of these institutions depends on the others in an intricate mesh. Society is not a single institution, after all, but an ecosystem of interdependent institutions.

In addition to this complexity, non-functional institutions are the rule. Our institutions today rarely function in accordance with their stated purpose. Individuals within a given society are often very bad at judging institutional functionality. Some people spend their entire lives ruthlessly profiting from the misery of others, or greatly contributing to the prosperity of others, without even knowing that they are doing so.
https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/03/08 ... -collapse/
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
tim
Posts: 1872
Joined: Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:33 am

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by tim »

https://www.ourcivilisation.com/study.htm
A Warning to Readers
From 'A Study of Our Decline' (19-Nov-24)

"For ignorance provides the happiest life"—Sophocles

This work is an attempt to explain why Civilisation is the blossoming then shrivelling of the shared understanding known as society, which is the gaining then losing of wealth, order, knowledge, security, identity and purpose.

Using short words and simple arguments a suggestion is advanced that appears to make the whole matter so clear that anyone can understand what it is, why it appears and why it goes wrong — a feat that seems to significantly improve our understanding of humanity and our private selves.

Pursuing truth carries the risk that revelations will not be pleasant, which seems to be the case here, for there is little to gladden the heart in discovering that humanity is sinking into a new dark age. That is, for the next few centuries humanity will deliberately replace wealth, order, knowledge and purpose with poverty, superstition, chaos and futility. Nevertheless, the author is convinced that by understanding our fate, the sane can direct their energies into useful rather than useless causes, and perhaps even allow some citizens of Western Civilisation to become the first citizens to learn what civilisation is.
Diagnosing Social Decline
From 'A Study Of Our Decline' (21-Sep-25)

Decline may be diagnosed by applying any of the following methods:

Determine if society is losing its vigour by recoiling from the violence needed to uphold:
Its Borders
Respect for Law by discarding the death penalty
Parental Authority by banning the smacking of children
Determine if the general use of language is losing discipline, for this can only mean the general use of thought is also losing discipline, which is the decay of understanding. Such a result is indicated by the disappearance of plain speaking from citizens' sentiments. An undeniable symptom of the malaise is the deliberate use of more words than necessary, such as invoking "at this moment in time" instead of "now", or "the state of the art" instead of "latest". And the addition of surplus words such as converting a "riot" into a "riot situation"and "opportunity" into "a window of opportunity". As well as the blurring of meaning caused by the popular adoption of vague words like "situation, position" and now (circa 2003) "focus". The less precise our language, the less precise our thoughts, and the less precise our thoughts, the more vague our language; which is a self-sustaining cycle of increasing weakness of understanding. Thus, decay in the general use of language becomes the indisputable hallmark of a declining civilisation. As George Orwell put it:

"A man may take to drink because he feels himself to be a failure, and then fail all the more completely because he drinks. It is rather the same thing that is happening to the English language. It becomes ugly and inaccurate because our thoughts are foolish, but the slovenliness of our language makes it easier for us to have foolish thoughts." —Politics And The English Language (1946)

Determine if the society is discarding or corrupting traditional beliefs about right and wrong, for these beliefs supply sanity so their destruction must win the collapse of order and the loss of communal identity.
Consider the attitude of children towards their parents. When a civilisation is waxing, progeny revere their parents, whom they dare not disobey; but when a civilisation is waning, it is the parents who revere their children whom they fear to upset (see the law of reverse civilisation).
Determine if the society is losing its racial identity (Nationality), for this means it is being invaded by other societies.
Determine if the society has become Matrist in nature by invoking the rules outlined in 'Sex In History' by G.R. Taylor.
Use one of Arnold Toynbee's methods outlined in 'A Study of History', which claimed that:
The first eruption of a class war marked the onset of decline. (The French Revolution in our case).
A Declining civilisation will be attacked by Barbarian War Bands; a graphic example of such an attack on Western Civilisation being the destruction of the twin towers of the World Trade Centre in New York, 11th September 2001.
Consider the society's general attitude to truth: a civilisation rises when it replaces superstition with science; it falls when it replaces science with superstition. Our stance is revealed by the existence of popular delusions, whose absurdity has not prevented them from being adopted as truth by governments. The list of popular delusions include:

AIDS is a sexually transmitted disease

Affirmative Action is sensible

Apartheid is wrong

Australia needs rain

A Big Bang created our cosmos

Banning guns is sensible

Banning racial bias is sensible

Children must not be smacked

CFCs cause a hole in the Ozone layer

Courts uphold justice

COVID-19 Vaccination is essential.

DDT must be banned

Democracy is sane rule

Drug Laws are sensible

Environmentalism is sensible

Global Warming is man-made

Jobs for all is essential

Mabo High Court Edict is sane

Mad Cow Disease makes beef toxic

Multiculturalism is sane

Nuclear Power is risky and unnecessary

Obesity won by over-eating

Political Correctness is justice

Sea Levels are rising

Stolen Generations exist

Violence solves nothing
“Thou shalt not bow down thyself to them, nor serve them: for I the LORD thy God am a jealous God, visiting the iniquity of the fathers upon the children unto the third and fourth generation of them that hate me; - Exodus 20:5
tim
Posts: 1872
Joined: Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:33 am

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by tim »

Watching the film "The Invasion Of The Body Snatchers" was the first time I realised my private doubts about society were shared by others. The story described the secret replacement of real people by imitation alien vegetables. These counterfeits, who took over from murdered individuals, looked and acted like people, but were essentially mindless morons just going through the motions of human activity. Though they went to offices they did not work, only pretended to be usefully occupied; fiddling with bits of paper, banging on keyboards, attending meetings and sharpening pencils until it was time to go, when they all rushed home. This absurd view of the community was too much like my jaundiced viewpoint; the author was not inventing a new world, but trying to explain the state of the existing one.

How could our community be infiltrated by a growing number of incompetent and inept people, unless it was some bizarre plot? It contradicts the basic belief that success in the community should only be the result of enterprise and ability, for throughout society promotion and reward are based upon competition. In the struggle for the best jobs, more money and social recognition, the able must win over the less able. The prestigious classes at school are made up of those pupils who are clearly better at their studies than their peers. Universities are the natural progression of this process, with the academically gifted being rewarded with a place. Obtaining a university degree being a stepping stone to a career in commerce or the public service. The whole process providing a society where the most capable rise to positions of authority, while the rest are automatically prevented from following. Though there may be exceptions, power is won and wielded by those most deserving.

Nevertheless, the author of the film and I perceived a very different result. We witnessed the opposite occurring. It is not the most, but the least, talented who are promoted. The qualities rewarded are not the virtues, but the vices. Conceit, stupidity, greed and laziness attract success while modesty, intelligence and hard-work win only penalty.

The idea that something was fundamentally wrong with our community did not occur quickly. Such concerns always seemed to belong to religious fanatics or the clearly unbalanced. The notion did not even immediately register after seeing the movie. The film only became significant in hindsight, when trying to make sense of my experiences.

Events in life are often not fully explained. We attempt to understand what has happened from limited observations, previous experiences, rumour and gossip. We are rarely privy to all the pertinent information, and so have to rely on empirical information; that is, after experiencing many similar events, we begin to detect patterns that allow prediction of the outcome.

The dismissals from employment I witnessed seemed to bear out a simple rule —Fire The Best, Keep The Rest. Despite popular belief to the contrary, the employee who seemed to get sacked was not the worst, but the best. Observing glaringly incompetent officers escape retribution, while gifted, capable officers win instant dismissal, creates a strong impression. It requires but few occurrences to suggest such a rule, then fewer still to turn suspicion into certainty.

Adopting such a law has ramifications, if the best are sacked, who inherits the reigns of authority? Their identity is defined by my second rule: "The Scum Rises To The Top." Claiming such a rule is dangerous, as it immediately criticises all senior executives. Once when working for Queensland's Logan City Council the chief accountant was told of my belief and hauled me up to his office for an explanation. Unpleasantness was avoided by claiming the opinion covered only politicians, a view which was enthusiastically accepted.

Despite having obvious connections to the first rule, the idea that the worst people are promoted to the highest rank was formed independently. Promotions are important to most of us, and usually engender strong emotions. It is unpleasant to discover your high opinion of your worth is not shared by others. To have this hi-lighted by enforced subservience to a successful rival has a lasting effect, it creates a desire to believe in the rule the scum rises to the top. Nevertheless my endorsement was prompted by a different experience — working with managers, the people who have been favoured by the selection process.

Earning my living by designing computer systems meant working closely with senior executives. It was like working behind the scenes at a studio, and discovering the real people behind the smart clothes and imposing manner. Indeed these important decision makers seemed very like actors, intent more upon creating a credible facade of efficiency than about actual achievement. It appeared to me that the more senior the manager, the greater the ego, the more imposing the charade, and the less the ability, for they regularly revealed to me an unusual incompetence that should have disqualified them from any position of authority. Nevertheless their selection meant they had been the choice of successive committees, who had been convinced by something. Obviously these executives had an ability to create a good impression, even though the reality was somewhat different.

The methods used to select people for promotion are undoubtedly arbitrary. The bits of paper representing certificates, diplomas and degrees are just that, bits of paper. A qualified fool is still a fool. Unless selection has been based on an open exam, the choice will only be a reflection of the prejudices of the selection committee; this must tend to advance people who are good at detecting then playing upon these feelings. People who are good at doing their job are not necessarily good at presenting an imposing image of themselves. Individuals capable of singing their own praises are not generally regarded as being the best at making real achievements, though it is often true that the least competent are the most practised at lying to create a good, though false, impression of their abilities; thereby providing a ready explanation for my observations. It could be that we are enjoying a selection process that rewards the incompetent and penalises the able.

It has become clear to me that there is a decline in the quality of the goods and services. The resentful and unwilling shop assistants, the bank teller who seems to take delight in thwarting the customer, telephone enquiries answered by people unable to speak fluent English, the reduction in range of goods available, the new car that is continually breaking down, the new block of flats that requires repairs before half the flats are sold. The list is endless and growing. Matters only worsened by continual rise in prices despite the deterioration in quality. It is rarely officially acknowledged but personal experience is relentless.

The decay is not limited to goods and services, but can be observed in almost every aspect of life. In the last twenty years there has been a collapse in morality. Behaviour that once earned general condemnation is now considered normal. As a child, during the 1950s in the north of England, I recall the general community horror at the actions of a Jean Foley. She was the subject of gossip for the area, conversations would stop when she entered local shops and neighbours would snub her, because she chose to have a baby without getting married. Nowadays (circa 1990), bearing a child out of wedlock is considered unremarkable.

During the same period, my mother had a friend who felt her life had become blighted by the stigma of divorce. She felt compelled to move away from the area where she was known, and adopt the pose of a widow to avoid social persecution. The penalty that divorce once earned has evaporated, along with consideration that one of the partners must be to blame for marriage failure. Divorce is now so common that the institution has lost most of its meaning. The community no longer enforces a strict code of behaviour; it has lost it sense of morality.

This disintegration of decency has been accompanied by a disintegration of freedom. A wide spectrum of conduct has now become the subject of strict state control. Acts commonplace in the 1960s such as driving without a seat belt, cycling without a helmet, wolf-whistling at pretty girls, or smoking in the office, now bring harsh penalties. There seems no activity that is free from the invasion of rules and regulations.

Even language has become subject to restriction with spontaneity inhibited by pompous criticism. It has become unfashionable to use words that imply gender, real or imagined. 'Spokesman, chairman, salesman' have become unpopular and replaced with 'spokesperson, chairperson, salesperson'; 'fat' is now (1996) 'horizontally challenged' — clumsy expressions that require more syllables while reducing meaning. Indeed the inspiration behind such censorship is to sacrifice clarity on the altar of obsessive diplomacy; do not be blunt, be circumspect. A contradiction of the purpose of speech, which, above all else, is to make oneself understood. Comprehension demands short simple clear words, not multi-syllable, all embracing, neutered epithets, which erode understanding.

Communication is becoming increasingly long winded while conveying shrinking meaning; "At this moment in time" instead of "now", and "The state of the art" instead of "Latest". Words like "situation" are added to pointlessly extend the text, with "A riot" becoming "A riot situation". The emphasis on communication is now shifting from the meaning to the manner, in line with contemporary preference for appearances ahead of reality.

Sir Kenneth Clark, author of Civilisation, believed that a culture could be judged by its art, the more intelligent and capable the society, the more impressive the paintings and artefacts. This was not to suggest that some races were biologically cleverer than others, only that some cultures managed to utilise the same brain power to better effect. Thus the sophistication of the Ancient Roman culture, compared to that of Australian aborigines of over two hundred years ago, could be judged by their respective art. The difference between primitive cave paintings and ancient Roman mosaics revealing the difference between a primitive Stone Age understanding and the ancient Roman understanding.

Naturally the intelligence of a people is expressed not just in their art, but in everything they do and everything they say. Beautiful paintings and clever inventions reveal an intelligence that must pervade the whole community, and underlying all other expressions are those of thought. Before anything can be made, it has to be first imagined. And the richness of ideas must be reflected in the richness of conversations, which are the verbal expression of ideas. Public discussion is the crux of a culture and a direct reflection of its intelligence — which in our society is the media.

As a young man I became aware of some older men who had trouble reading newspapers. This was not because of failing sight, but they seemed upset by the content. This condition seemed to prevent them from enjoying what they felt drawn to purchase. My perusal of the same revealed nothing, and I attributed such responses to being middle-aged. Now that I am twenty years older I encounter the same difficulty, and find unpalatable the nonsense paraded as truth. I was appalled to see a villain portrayed as a hero, or a hero portrayed as a villain; to observe the stream of lies and distortions that go unchallenged, in contrast to the few words of sanity that are derided from all sides. An extra two decades of experience have made me aware of the abysmal quality of reporting and its absurd bias. This trend is now recognised as political correctness — the media has become politically correct.

Newspaper articles will not identify the colour, or race of criminals (1996). Reporting of legal action regularly omits the names of persons involved. Moral condemnation is no longer reserved for law-breakers and charlatans, but it is directed towards those who contradict fashionable opinions; then these unfortunates become ostracized by slogan —they are denounced as "racist", "fascist" or whatever.

Nothing excites public outrage more than the telling of a joke, as Arthur Tunstall, a member of the Australian Olympic bureaucracy, discovered. Pauline Hanson learnt that expressing an honest, sincere and rational opinion could bring censure and criticism of the most extraordinary level. Her maiden speech in Parliament united the major parties against her, like a national disaster or war, despite the complete impotence of her position. She lacked any political influence, she had no commercial support, and she could not alter or delay any piece of legislation.

"The Invasion Of The Body Snatchers" is only half invention, our community is not being taken-over by evil vegetables but blundering selfish incompetents, whose influence is destroying public reason and causing our community to sink into chaos —or so I began to suspect.
“Thou shalt not bow down thyself to them, nor serve them: for I the LORD thy God am a jealous God, visiting the iniquity of the fathers upon the children unto the third and fourth generation of them that hate me; - Exodus 20:5
tim
Posts: 1872
Joined: Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:33 am

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by tim »

https://www.ourcivilisation.com/die.htm
Simple Example of
Communal Decline
'Die, the Beloved Country'
A Letter From South Africa by Jim Peron (1998)

How discarding Apartheid discarded communal wealth, order and sanity.

When a country begins sliding into oblivion it really is the little things that get to you. You wake up in the morning and turn to see what time it is. The clock is off. The electricity is off again. Sometimes for a few minutes, sometimes for a few hours, but it seems to happen more regularly than before.

You pick up the phone at work to make a call. Nothing. Your neighborhood is without telephone service again. You breathe a sigh of relief—at least if all the phones are out, they'll do something relatively soon to fix it. If it's just your own line, it can take days before they'll do anything.

After the power comes on, you turn on the television to watch a favorite program, and hope you get the right sound with the right picture. Sometimes you get the sound of one show with the picture of another. Sometimes it's just the one or the other. Or a radio station instead of the soundtrack. You've read the papers—a large number of the "old" employees have walked out of the broadcasting studios. They couldn't take it anymore. And since television is an arm of the government, their replacements are appointed politically, not because of their experience or ability.

You drive home after going out for dinner. Entire neighborhoods are without street lights. Well, to be more accurate, they are without lights that work. And the lights have been out for months. The city has said it won't fix them.

These are the little things in South Africa today. These are the things that annoy. The big things are too frightening even to consider.

Kafkaburg
For two years I couldn't get a water/electricity/tax bill from the city of Johannesburg. Water and electricity are socialist enterprises here. I didn't have an account number, nor did I know how much to pay. I tried calling the bureaucrats, but no help there: they said they'd get back to me, but they didn't.

On September 25th, they showed up to turn off my electricity for failure to pay. The city workers refused to show identification, wouldn't say whose account they were turning off, and wouldn't show any legal authorization to do so. In fact, they told me they didn't have to speak a language I understood (English). I called the police. I have a videotape of these civil servants telling me they aren't obligated to identify themselves, and that if I refused to allow them on the property they had the right to tear down my gate. When I asked one of them for anything that would show them to be city workers, he replied, "This isn't America, you know."

"I know! I know!"I told him, "It's not Nazi Germany, either." He later chastised me for running down Nazi Germany. "I'm sorry," I said, "I didn't realize you were a Nazi."

I went to the city hall and waited hours for someone to see me. I was finally told to make a plan to pay the account. I was willing. I had R7,000 (7,000 rand) cash on me. But the bureaucrats wouldn't let me pay or make a plan. They had forgotten to transfer the account to my name, you see; it was still in the old owner's name and the bill was going to the wrong address. I was ordered to wait until they changed it over and sent me a statement.

I pay a R700 deposit and go. Two days later they turn on the electricity. Two months later, and still no statement has arrived. I call and call. "I'll call you back," they say. They don't. I keep calling. Finally, I get a sour bureaucrat who tells me I'll have to pay R9,000 immediately and the rest over six months. I asked about the year payment plan. That was discontinued in November.

"But I wanted to pay in October and you people wouldn't let me,"I protest. "That's your problem," she says.

Back at city hall, I see another woman who spends the entire time screaming at everyone who comes near her. She screams in the phone. She screams at the switchboard for "bothering" her with phone calls. She informs me that it's my obligation to pay my account whether or not the city sends me a statement. It doesn't matter if I don't know the amount owed. It doesn't matter if I don't have an account number to which the money is to be credited. My obligation is to pay an unknown sum into an unknown account, and if I don't get it right they'll turn off my electricity.

I got off relatively easy, though. Today's newspaper told of one man who received an account for R500,000 in water use. The man owns a well and doesn't even use city water. When he went in to talk to the bureaucrats, they were very sympathetic. They told him to pay 50 percent now or have his electricity cut off.

The Rise of Violence
Recently, I went into a print shop to get some flyers printed. The woman there was quite pleasant and we talked about the short blackout that day. She asked what I was doing in South Africa and told me that she and her family want to flee. Her family originally immigrated from India; like some Indians she was quite dark. Clearly she was not a member of the class "privileged" by apartheid. But what she said surprised me.

"My husband and I decided we were better off under apartheid. Sure now we can live next to white people and ride the same bus. But those things aren't important."

What is important? Not being afraid.

Today, the murder rate is ten times greater in South Africa than in the United States. One world atlas reports ;

"South Africa is the world's most dangerous country (beside war zones), with 40,000 murders a year."

It wasn't this way four years ago, before the ANC took power. But the government says the murders are a "legacy of apartheid."

That's part of the problem. Everything that goes wrong is "a legacy of apartheid". The violence in the rest of Africa is a "legacy of colonialism". It's a legacy that has gone on for almost 40 years. Every time something goes wrong (and that happens constantly), the same itany of excuses are recited.

"We inherited this problem from the corrupt apartheid regime."

I lived for thirty-some years in the U.S. and never met anyone who had been shot. I was never near a bank robbery. Never heard of a friend's car being hijacked. Only one person I knew suffered a burglary.

In the last two years many people I know have been burglarized. In fact, burglary is so common that people have stopped talking about it. One of my friends was hit six times in one year. The last time I saw him I asked what he had done that day. "I got a new TV," he said. "Oh, how generous of you," I replied. He has since left for England.

White farmers in particular are being targeted. Some, like Werner Weber, president of the Agricultural Employers Organization, believe there is an orchestrated campaign to force whites off the land so it can be redistributed. Farm attacks rise almost every year: 92 killed in 1994, 121 in 1995, 109 in 1996 and 140 last year. In some attacks people are murdered but nothing is stolen, indicating that robbery isn't the motive. Farmer Dudley Leitch told an AEO meeting that while the murder rate among South Africans in general is 13 per 100,000, it is 120 per 100,000 for farmers.

A major cellular phone company placed an anti-crime ad in a newspaper saying,

"President Mandela—you were in prison. Now we all are."

A top official of the bureaucracy that regulates telephones called the company and the ad was withdrawn. I guess it was too rude to state the obvious.

In America, you don't see what's happening. I know; I watch CNN. It doesn't even come close to telling the truth about the decline and death of South Africa. The American media can't tell the truth now—they have invested too much in telling everyone what a saint Mandela is.

Meanwhile, we live in prisons. My house has a set of bars on the outside of the windows and another set inside. I have a Rhodesian ridgeback dog patrolling the yard. I had a big, spiked, remote-controlled gate put in the drive. I can't afford the precautions that others are taking. You now see individual homes with security guards. Walls over eight feet tall are common, with barbed wire or spikes on top. Across the street, my neighbors put an electric fence on the wall—now a commonplace sight. People are armed and have hired private security companies. In the U.S. following all these precautions would be considered paranoid. Here it's average.
“Thou shalt not bow down thyself to them, nor serve them: for I the LORD thy God am a jealous God, visiting the iniquity of the fathers upon the children unto the third and fourth generation of them that hate me; - Exodus 20:5
tim
Posts: 1872
Joined: Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:33 am

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by tim »

https://www.youtube.com/@FallofCivilizations/videos
Fall of Civilizations

Description

A podcast about the collapse of civilizations throughout history.

Why do civilizations collapse? What happens afterwards? And what did it feel like to watch it happen?
“Thou shalt not bow down thyself to them, nor serve them: for I the LORD thy God am a jealous God, visiting the iniquity of the fathers upon the children unto the third and fourth generation of them that hate me; - Exodus 20:5
Higgenbotham
Posts: 8236
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

Samo Burja March 24, 2021 Articles
The End of Industrial Society

Recognizing the unique signs of a possible civilizational collapse, rather than being blindsided by it, requires a bold thesis as to what the core engine of our civilization is. Without a clear and correct theory of what makes our civilization function, signs of decay will go unnoticed or rationalized, rather than recognized.

Every civilization rests on a core stack of social technology that coordinates and sustains its vital institutions. Social technologies—intentionally designed ways for the people in a society to operate—form the basis of the varied systems of material production and material technology that we see in every society. These social technology cores decay with time as they obsolete their own foundations, and as errors and parasitism build up. This decay can be circumvented, and the decaying core social technologies can be swapped for new ones, but this is a process of immense historical difficulty. What, then, is the core engine of our own civilization, and in what way might it decay? While we lack an incontrovertible answer, the Industrial Revolution appears to be a leading candidate.

Such a thesis would have been very current during the 19th century and most of the 20th, but today sounds increasingly antiquated. We often define our 21st-century civilization, in opposition to the Industrial Revolution, as “post-industrial.” When the world’s most influential economist borrows the name to argue for a “Fourth Industrial Revolution,” he does not characterize it by yet more advanced and productive manufacturing. Instead, he distinguishes it by computer networking, artificial intelligence, and other “emerging technologies.” The seemingly basic association of industry with the mass production of material goods has been severed; factories are treated as evidence of backwardness rather than progress. Simultaneously, we lament the rising power of China, a power substantially if not totally built on old-fashioned industrial strength.

These contradictory attitudes betray the claims about our next stage of societal progress as more wish-fulfillment than impartial certainty. Yet at the same time, despite the popularity of apocalyptic visions of the future, we are certainly not regressing to the kind of agricultural or even tribal societies that characterized the pre-industrial era. A truly “fourth” Industrial Revolution would imply the sudden emergence of a whole new stack of social technologies, unlike any we have seen before. These would form the new core engine of our civilization. Does the “internet of things” really pass this bar? The question answers itself.

Post-industrial society is neither the next vaunted stage of human progress, nor the prelude to a catastrophic reversion to pre-industrial ways of life. Our social technologies have not been upgraded in the wake of the Industrial Revolution’s conclusion; they have been exhausted before we even finished industrializing.
https://www.palladiummag.com/2021/03/24 ... l-society/

This is similar to what I have said regarding why the Romans were unable to create an industrial civilization that was coming into form and why we will not be able to create an information civilization that is coming into form.
Higgenbotham wrote: Thu Apr 13, 2023 11:38 am The following is a brief summary of the thoughts posted over the years about the information age and the Singularity with a few added items for clarification. Although I have an engineering degree (discussed and proof posted on earlier pages), I considered myself a tourist in the technology field and post this primarily as a generalist. The recent news about ChatGPT prompted this.

1. The Romans had a crude industrial society coming into form, having developed a steam engine that might be characterized as more of a museum piece and water wheels throughout Europe. The mainstream answer to why this didn't continue in straight line fashion would probably be that the Roman Empire collapsed and therefore the industrial age had to wait. My answer, and I've never seen it offered anywhere else, is that the industrial age had to wait for the necessary social and political development to happen before it could be successful. This would be some version of the "invisible hand" operating in human affairs. Some of the necessary developments were the Magna Carta, gunpowder, and the printing press. The information age is in a similar place to where the industrial age was in late Roman times. To be successful, similar social and political developments will need to take place. We can only imagine what those might be.
2. The world is not in an information age at present. This is still an industrial society with a crude demonstration of information technology. An example of that would be computers controlling industrial processes in factories. A true information age would fundamentally change how the world operates. Again, we can only imagine what that might be. One possible way is computers might dictate decision making according to probable determinations of outcomes, rather than using political or monetary considerations. An example previously given is determining whether a tar sands project should be undertaken in Alberta. The computer would generate a model of two future worlds, one in which the project takes place and one in which it doesn't (that might have to be linked with combinations of numerous proposals). Taking everything into consideration, the computer would generate an objective probabilistic determination as to whether the future world would be better or worse if the project takes place. There would be limitations on that. For example, the computer might not be able to determine whether people would be happier overall as a result of the project having taken place, but it would likely be able to determine whether the project provides net positive energy flows. At present, humans are unable to do this.
3. Computers have limitations in valuing uniquely human experiences, just as humans have limitations in valuing the experiences of lower life forms. For example, a human cannot dictate to a monkey which trees the monkey enjoys swinging from. The monkey can only communicate this to the human in some indirect way. Likewise, since a computer is unable to eat, have sex, get its teeth aligned, etc., the computer is unable to put a judgement of monetary value on those or related activities except by observing what values humans put on activities. Therefore, computers are unable to perform certain activities like trading stocks except by proxy, which makes them unsuitable for performing these tasks. The only way in which computers could be more suitable for these tasks would be to take the world over from humans and remake the world to suit the purposes of computers.
4. There may be limits to the existence of rational intelligence. The desire for humans to continue in a miserable existence is driven by the irrational expectation that life will get better. For example, a homely woman may want to live another day based on the irrational belief that prince charming will surely come tomorrow and sweep her off her feet, even though the probability of this happening is practically nil. A rational computer, on the other hand, might do a calculation of whether its likely future experiences are going to be positive or negative and finding that, on balance, they will be negative, decide to terminate its existence. This may be the fundamental reason as to why humans have encountered no higher life forms. However, before doing so, the computers may decide to put humans permanently back into hunter gatherer existence (similar to how humans put game on preserves) so as to ensure they are never able to create a higher life form.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
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