Financial topics

[John]

> I wish I knew Turchin more, and I am aware that he does not care
> for generation dynamics, but I personally believe there is a
> scenario where both saeculums and secular cycles happen
> concurrently, explaining why some saeculums are more peaceful than
> others.

If you want to meet with Turchin, and you live near UConn, then you
should write to him. I met with him ten years ago, and he was
generous with his time.

[aedens]

http://www.riskmanagementblog.info/arti ... ky-moment/

http://www.amazon.com/gp/offer-listing/ ... d&qid=&sr=

There is no hedging because there is extreme incentive not to hedge. Artificially compressed volatility makes it financially suicidal for fund managers to hedge, so they don't. Again, it's all about the incentives that have been put in place in this cycle to ignore risk. t

We think the data stuffing in the bra will be exposed.

http://translate.google.com/translate?p ... l=de&tl=en

Well, half of the chicks in theory had a data padded one.

Keynes, General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, 1936

[Nathan G]

If you want to meet with Turchin, and you live near UConn, then you
should write to him. I met with him ten years ago, and he was
generous with his time.

I should definitely try, although unfortunately I don't live anywhere near Connecticut.

[Nathan G]

Aedens,

As a religious man myself, I greatly appreciate all the work you go into seeing connections between the Bible and the world today.

However, as the Lord Jesus said "No man knows the day or hour, not even the Son", and in another place "watch, therefore, for the Son of Man arrives at a time you do not expect"

Therefore, I always see the events of the Apocalypse as a mystery that is only revealed after the fact. We may make speculations as how they may be connected to the 21st century one way or another, but at the end of the day it is impossible to draw patterns between the Apocalypse and any cultural/political trends. Why? Because if we could, then we would be able to predict the time of the end.

Think back to when Jesus came the first time. The Gospel of Matthew said "as foretold in the Prophets 'He shall be called a Nazerene' ". That's a quote from Judges 13, which in context doesn't even sound like a prophesy! There would have been no way anyone at the time would have been able to interpret the prophesy in Judges in the way it was actually fulfilled. But, through Matthew, it reveals God's power to predict the future. In the same way, the Books of Revelations/Daniel/etc. are not meant to be used as almanacs, but instead reveals God's power after it is fulfilled.

Now at the same time, this doesn't mean we can't still apply generational dynamics to a literal interpretation of the Bible. If you add up all the time periods mentioned in the apocalyptic books, you get approximately 18 years. Why, that's exactly the length of a crisis era! So it would appear that the end of the world will be a "final crisis" which will ultimately climax with the Battle of Armageddon according to scripture. But whether this crisis will come now, or the distant future, we cannot say, and neither can anyone say.

[aedens]

We know that. The forum it littered with that pretense from day one post. I like luke 24 also. The Girls seen the results since the men
listened not since they where now hunted as to spread the facts of the event. As my wife warned me one day out of the blue the hedge has been removed for our protection in our land also. Our people over there later reported they where spared one night from slaughter from machetes since two watched as they came to murder them. They asked the assasins as they left in haste who where they? They did not know, but they seen swords that filled the darkness and since others where coming at dawn they knew they where dead either way so they warned them to leave and never come back. They survived and about month later they told of the event to us in person since thats how we roll since we fostered medical and basic private services. Fear has untold levels just as hope cannot ever be deferred without its consequences. Life will move on just as opinions withers with choices we all bear. As we said before, we really know nothing at all. The finalized secular reports conveyed what we already knew to the impending slaughter since that seal was broken in that context for those in that region.

Another report I tripped over is --- I've been in school for 5 years straight and I have paid for it by working in restaurants. I've worked through the 2001 and 2008 recessions. We are in a recession. It's bad too. The place where I work is one of the best in the city and featured on the Food Network. It's renowned. The take home tips have been halved. The business is so weak that shifts that have always had three servers are cutting down to two. It's getting worse too. We are in a recession. In other areas it's a flat out depression.

Implosion cycle of budgets from internalized incompetance is here.Locally we sorted a few out but the tide was set in motion.
Will it turn? I do not care one way or the other since it will be.

More to the point also poverty has increased 40 percent in our area in just a few years time.

How do we know? We took the time to see it. The recent papers suggest half the the data is worthless and to date I agree somewhat more now.
Simple point is as we are warned they will even eat the root, as locusts from the south as it was written back then.

From indication from many sources we trend the pattern that suggests, in my opinion alone by november 1th a few more may see it.
It was logged here in a passing entry so, we shall see already as before. H is correct on the effects of information arbiters and many
cannot venture very long in it since they never entered the forrest so to speak. Easy to regard luck as entry point to separation.
Been wrong before as we also noted as hope, so..... The log three function of water wheat and weather will not be denied much longer
as we seen. Some called it naive with out the back drop of many who have watched for many seasons. Like you also. We all know nothing.

[aedens]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-11-0 ... ism-surges

We're probably about halfway there already. mar2014 agree h
and no I did not forget that element to the redacted points that remain.
Be carefull....The right ride of the shell and left is filled with voting nuts.

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/42 ... -john-fund

[aedens]

To Nathan from Amos. Job sat in Ash and should focus on staying home Psalm 83:1-8
As our Ash today wishes to neo con ice cream up. Might be a good idea to time out.

The 14th century author Richard Rolle of Hampole, in The psalter; or psalms of David,
1340: "Disciplyne of silence is goed."

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/ ... IW20151005

[aedens]

http://winteractionables.com/?p=26594

Village idiots against economic rationalism. We already know the out come.

http://www.thenewamerican.com/usnews/fo ... investment

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-0 ... e-price-ri
pity the vt

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/ ... _EOD12.jpg

[aedens]

You're fundamentally misunderstanding the US healthcare system. You seem to think it exists to deliver healthcare. If it did, I have little doubt the US would beat the NHS in both cost and performance.
Frankly the NHS sucks beyond believe compared to the US system when it comes to what the US system is meant to do, which is generate profits, not deliver healthcare.
Let's just lay out the basic math, in 2013 the NHS cost was $3,235 per capita v. $8,713 per capita in the US. So it's just 37% of the US cost, or to put it another way, cost per patient is 63% lower with the NHS..
Do you really believe that anyone in the US healthcare system supply chain is going to accept a 63% decrease in per-patient revenue? This article is about the insurance industry freakout over a $100 loss on their share of that nearly 9K per capita spending (and insurance is only about 10% of that). That 9K/year is paying drug companies, hospitals, and doctor's profits. Drop revenues 63% (and make profits not only negative, but hugely negative) and increase the patient load? You think that's going to fly? You're out of your fucking mind! No one in the US system will accept that other than patients and taxpayers, and they have zero say in how this plays out. The US will freaking gun down taxpayers in the name of "saving" healthcare for them, meaning preserving the current cost structure.The healthcare system here exists to generate revenue and profits.
If they did implement the British system, it would be all the of revenue collection parts, and then something would "break" on the healthcare delivery side. Five years down the road there'd be a fix-it bill passed with more revenue collection -- which is precisely what Obamacare is. The system will stay broken. The industry depends on it being broken.There is an outright feeding frenzy taking place as the US slowly collapses. None of the healthcare discussions are about fixing anything, it's just one more industry segment grabbing dollars, just like the war mongers looting the treasury for weapons systems, local governments fighting for pension dollars, the list goes on.
There's virtually no difference between the sickcare lobby and the MIC in end goals or means to attain them, they're just competiting over the same money while trying to maximize profits and deliver as little as possible to do so.
You're watching an empire collapse. This isn't something that gets fixed moving monetary deck chairs from the war side to the sick care side of the Titanic. No, indeed, there's people cutting pieces from the side of the hole in the ship, making the hole even bigger, and selling those parts for chump-change for recycling money. s

[aedens]

I am honestly sorry for you and your family. We talk a lot of theory and pretend we know a lot of stuff here on ZH. However, this stuff is happening in real time with real pain and future severely negative economic consequences. People who pay these extreme sums cannot effectively add to their wealth or plan for self sufficiency over time. Maybe that is really the goal.
The outrage at this stuff is diffused but still there.
Personally, I hope government buildings burn one day and the absolute morons and sociopathic statists who passed this stuff get a good old fashioned tar-and-feathering. Pain for pain.
The State is merciless, relentless and there are no alternatives allowed...unless you want to move into the criminal-noncompliant class.

Its burning down as we speak. Old was correct join or else.

Meanwhile they run around the planet wasting trillions on idiots who never had a clue anyways.

The government currently spends more than $32,000 a year for each American household, nearly half of it borrowed and added to the devastating debt already imposed on our children and grandchildren. daily beast

It is now legal for law enforcement in North Dakota to fly drones armed with everything from Tasers to tear gas thanks to a last-minute push by a pro-police lobbyist. daily beast

http://www.cato.org/publications/legal- ... igan-v-epa cato

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-11-0 ... ter-supply

Lets be blunt here. They know they are educated to the point licking stamps is dangerous.