Financial topics

[aeden]

data fragility guys

No big deal just is and ought to thought map disconnects.

It is constituted by unexpected and often illegible mechanisms of extraction, commodification, and control that effectively exile persons from their own behavior while producing new markets of behavioral prediction and modification.

Also as we have seen since the onset the river was lowered to fair trade efficiency's.

N caught it also. Just smart business as Easter island B retains capital flow from bureaucratie transfer costs it appears
as TDS increases from that zone.

https://www.smbc.co.jp/news_e/e600520_01.html

Sogo shosha groups are sufficiently diversified to withstand periodic downturns. Mon Jul 07, 2014 5:20 pm

We will start the query for DCF flows since the river was lowered. The sun came up and fair trade will serve.

Those behind the great firewall we will pray for you.

[aeden]

https://www.redstate.com/diary/mikepara ... overnment/

https://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2019/04 ... talks.html

The media, of course, took the bait

'You can ignore reality but you cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality' Ayn Rand

https://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2019/03 ... at-to.html
GE was packaged to be crucified. Thanks Chalky.

[Higgenbotham]

From 2012.

Flutter is a self-feeding and potentially destructive vibration where aerodynamic forces on an object couple with a structure's natural mode of vibration to produce rapid periodic motion. Flutter can occur in any object within a strong fluid flow, under the conditions that a positive feedback occurs between the structure's natural vibration and the aerodynamic forces. That is, the vibrational movement of the object increases an aerodynamic load, which in turn drives the object to move further. If the energy input by the aerodynamic excitation in a cycle is larger than that dissipated by the damping in the system, the amplitude of vibration will increase, resulting in self-exciting oscillation. The amplitude can thus build up and is only limited when the energy dissipated by aerodynamic and mechanical damping matches the energy input, which can result in large amplitude vibration and potentially lead to rapid failure. Because of this, structures exposed to aerodynamic forces — including wings and aerofoils, but also chimneys and bridges — are designed carefully within known parameters to avoid flutter. In complex structures where both the aerodynamics and the mechanical properties of the structure are not fully understood, flutter can only be discounted through detailed testing. Even changing the mass distribution of an aircraft or the stiffness of one component can induce flutter in an apparently unrelated aerodynamic component. At its mildest this can appear as a "buzz" in the aircraft structure, but at its most violent it can develop uncontrollably with great speed and cause serious damage to or lead to the destruction of the aircraft,[1] as in Braniff Flight 542.

In some cases, automatic control systems have been demonstrated to help prevent or limit flutter-related structural vibration.[citation needed]

Flutter can also occur on structures other than aircraft. One famous example of flutter phenomena is the collapse of the original Tacoma Narrows Bridge. Another is a particular playground swing in Firmat which "swings itself" with such force that it leads many to believe it is haunted.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aeroelasticity#Flutter

a growing commitment to steady inflation = aerodynamic forces on an object

failure of soft central planning = result in large amplitude vibration and potentially lead to rapid failure

how do you like being a guinea pig = in complex structures where both the aerodynamics and the mechanical properties of the structure are not fully understood, flutter can only be discounted through detailed testing

The stock market, in addition to the 3 megaphone patterns discussed a few months ago is, since then, "fluttering" between 2820 and 2940 on the S&P. According to my analysis, this could "potentially lead to rapid failure".

[Higgenbotham]

This weekend we read on the boards that sentiment has gotten very negative very quickly and therefore the stock market will rally to work off that bearish sentiment. Or something like that.

Is that right? Not necessarily, but it can be right and it has been generally right in the past, though maybe not entirely precise.

Why has it been right? Well, the primary reason in my opinion is because stocks have been in a bull market for, oh, about the last 500 years. Therefore, since stocks have always continued higher at some point after sentiment turns more negative, it seems right to think that will continue. But it won't if stocks have indeed made a 500 year high and are heading much lower for many years, if not forever. In that case, the sentiment figures are accurate at best and overly optimistic at worst.

So sentiment really means nothing. What matters is how accurately the sentiment figures reflect reality.

Your flutter theory covers more than a few concrete points H.

That's another thing that crossed my mind as I was typing. This is a time when sentiment is likely to swing wildly day to day or even hour to hour. So quoting sentiment figures as if they mean something in relation to future stock market prices is most likely bogus anyway. Probably the better indicator is the herd thinking these sentiment indicators they are quoting actually mean something.

This is from last weekend. Strangely, the herd on the boards are no longer this weekend quoting negative sentiment figures and pointing to those as a reason to be positive on the market. I am only reading that the herd is now negative. That means that even though the market is in a position to crash, it could actually rally from here. For me, that is too hard to call at this point because the Fed officials stated on Friday that they will now cut rates versus what we heard before that the July rate cut was mid cycle. The market didn't respond to that, but it might respond positively on Monday.

From Saturday. At that time, the herd was super bearish at the 2820 low of the flutter pattern.

From there, the market has been able to rise to near the top of the flutter pattern at 2940 (currently 2926 or so).

[Higgenbotham]

This is a good link to get a long term perspective (5 years) on the rapid flutter currently taking place in the S&P:

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advcha ... e&state=11

[Higgenbotham]

** 21-Jul-2019 Harry Dent and Robert Prechter

> One week ago every bear I read was calling for higher prices. That
> is always the sign the top is near. Always. And it goes without
> saying that every bull was calling for MUCH higher prices. And
> that is always a sign the top is near. Good grief, I saw bulls
> throwing out numbers like S&P 8800. Remember the 2000 top and Dow
> 100,000?

> For the most part, I won't name names, but these bears are people
> who heavily advertise subscriber services. One call from a
> self-described "permabear" was for 3095 because "that's what the
> charts say." No, they don't. The charts never say anything. How
> stupid are these people? Another heavily subscribed astrologer was
> "eyeing 3030" from what I was told. It never got there. McHugh,
> whose article I posted a few days ago, said 3050-3100 in the
> article because some "phi mate" dates were coming up. And there
> were many, many others ALL calling for higher prices. Then there
> are the most famous bears of all, Harry Dent and Robert
> Prechter. I don't need to say what happened there.

What happened to Harry Dent and Robert Prechter? I haven't been paying
attention.

Remember the great bear Harry Dent who was bearish due to demographics?

Well, I now have proof that he is now BULLISH (until 2020, then bearish). See the graph at the link.

https://economyandmarkets.com/economy/t ... -2020/amp/

Make of it what you will.

[Higgenbotham]

https://youtu.be/3WclYu5l4G0?t=974

[John]

** 02-Sep-2019 Shenzhen dystopia

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ydPqKhgh9Mg

Inside China's High-Tech Dystopia

Bloomberg

Premiered Jan 24, 2019

In part three of Hello World Shenzhen, Bloomberg Businessweek’s Ashlee
Vance heads out into a city where you can't use cash or credit cards,
only your smartphone, where AI facial-recognition software instantly
spots and tickets jaywalkers, and where at least one factory barely
needs people. This is the society that China's government and leading
tech companies are racing to make a reality, with little time to
question which advancements are net positives for the rest of us.

Part One - Inside China's Future Factory
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eLmaIbb13GM

Part Two - China's High Stakes Robot Wars
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qrhvZhPaxQ4

[aeden]

Gotterdammerung definition, the destruction of the gods.

https://www.amazon.com/Historys-Greates ... B009O31C2E

They never learn.

[Tom Mazanec]

How the Next Global Financial Collapse Will Unfold
https://www.nestmann.com/how-the-next-g ... 3e68310bb1