Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
John
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Higgenbotham wrote:Today was a good day for me to stay out of the market.

I looked around noon, near the high with the S&P up 44, and thought all that brainpower got it right. Pokemon Go analog, here we come.

At the end of the day with most of those 44 points lost, I thought who would have predicted that, looks terrible.

I don't believe I would have sold that high.

Hmmmmmm. So if you'd gone short at noon, and got out at end of day,
you would have made a ton of money. Tsk, tsk.
Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

John wrote:
Higgenbotham wrote:Today was a good day for me to stay out of the market.

I looked around noon, near the high with the S&P up 44, and thought all that brainpower got it right. Pokemon Go analog, here we come.

At the end of the day with most of those 44 points lost, I thought who would have predicted that, looks terrible.

I don't believe I would have sold that high.

Hmmmmmm. So if you'd gone short at noon, and got out at end of day,
you would have made a ton of money. Tsk, tsk.
Think if you'd gone long the triple inverse Nasdaq ETF on March 6, 2009.

This is what aeden calls the sheep shear pens.

Image
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

aedens in 2011 wrote: Higgy I agree on the etf short sheep pens for now are shear zones.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
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Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Typical resting place of trader who is levered up short in a bull market. It will be one of the small stones because that's all the family could afford. However, no suicide kit will be needed.

Image
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7999
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Next come the levered longs.

1929 Wall Street suicide after the stock market crash on October 1929 (Black Thursday).

Image
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
John
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Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Yikes. What a way to go.
Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Is there a lot of leverage in the stock market today?
The $650 billion of margin debt overhanging the markets is a concern.
Just the tip of the iceberg.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
John
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Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Higgenbotham wrote:Is there a lot of leverage in the stock market today?
The $650 billion of margin debt overhanging the markets is a concern.
Just the tip of the iceberg.
I'm not sure why, but I thought it was in the tens of trillions.
Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

That's just for stock shares in margined brokerage accounts.

Unintended consequences are brought up a lot in different situations. There are a lot of margin accounts just because that is the best way to avoid getting hit with an SEC violation. But then the ability to lever up long is sitting there with the mouse on the desk and you're one mouse click away...
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

What's the SEC violation?
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