7-Apr-13 World View -- Egyptian protesters demand end to ties with Iran and 'Shia Islam'
Cuba's Fidel Castro warns North Korea not to start a war
** 7-Apr-13 World View -- Egyptian protesters demand end to ties with Iran and 'Shia Islam'
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e130407
Contents:
Egyptian protesters demand end to ties with Iran and 'Shia Islam'
Cuba's Fidel Castro warns North Korea not to start a war
Labor participation rate continues to fall
Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Egypt, Salafists, al-Nour,
Sunni, Shia, Iran, Muslim Brotherhood, Mohamed Morsi,
Cuba, Fidel Castro, North Korea, Kim Jong-un,
unemployment, labor participation rate
7-Apr-13 WV-Egyptian protesters demand end to Shia ties
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9_eU4oMpoNP
- Posts: 13
- Joined: Mon Oct 27, 2008 6:09 pm
Re: 7-Apr-13 WV-Egyptian protesters demand end to Shia ties
Perhaps the rise in labor participation rate from the mid-1960s to early-1990s was caused by women entering the workforce.
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NoOneImportant
Re: 7-Apr-13 WV-Egyptian protesters demand end to Shia ties
Having lived through these periods there are other reasons that may be factored in to account for the brief periods of leveling off of employment, and the steep increases in employment.
The factors that might be considered are: economic recessions, the Vietnam War, the technical revolution, and women entering the labor force also account for the wiggles on the labor force graph through the year 2000.
Recessions: '72-73, 76-80, 89-92
Vietnam War: Government spending without corresponding tax increases to pay for the extreme lose of treasure caused by the grinder of war. War causes a false sense of economic security in that lots of "stuff" - war material - is required, thus war provides an artificial sense of economic "prosperity." The government's conduct of the war without taxes to pay for that which was consumed by the war caused a large increase in inflation - as democracies don't like the pain of any war that isn't existential, but politicians do, so they rolled the presses at Treasury. So the "fight without pain" pursuit of the Vietnam war gave rise to great economic distortions that became manifest as the "stagflation" of the Carter Presidency. Very high interest rates, very high inflation rates, ever increasing labor costs, and economic uncertainty - as high interest rates, labor costs, and inflation cause enormous economic uncertainty as the real cost of any manufactured good becomes masked and uncertain. So in the context of ever increasing labor costs, high inflation and ever increasing interest rates every thing is a guess, and if you're running a company you err on the side of safety - a human trait that exacerbated an already bad economic cycle by causing ever increasing prices on virtually everything, with no corresponding idea of what anything cost to make.
The technical revolution: The entire world went through a technical revolution so dramatic from 1965-2000 that nothing like it has ever happened before in all of human history. The "magic" of Shockley's transistor, developed in 1949, became commercialized and spread it's tentacles into every part of the globe - everything was revolutionized, entertainment, communications, computing, transportation, materials - virtually everything was remade with the smarts of semiconductor innovation. Computing alone made the transition from an esoteric endeavor practiced by a few nerdy propeller heads to a practice that became everyday, and as common place and as necessary as reading. Because we were so close to it we often miss the significance of the magnitude of the change it brought to our world - revolutionary innovation became expected and common place. The entire world was remade, as everything made the transition from mechanical devices of all varieties into the wonder of semiconductor smarts and intellectual property. There were so many changes that they are difficult to list - the minicomputer, the personal computer, disk storage, car engine control, printing, Teflon, ceramics, and the list might go on almost without end - it was a time of innovation heaped upon innovation, almost as if by magic. And not to be remiss the greatest achievement in all of human history, an innovation that almost rivals the written word - the Internet. The device that has brought the knowledge of the world into veritably every home, and into the hands of virtually everyone.
Women entering the work force: For the first time in all of human history women could count on a physical security that permitted them to do virtually whatever they choose with physical safety in large swaths of globe. No longer did women have to fear being victimized if they happened to find themselves outside of an immediate urban area. They were free, and economic opportunity abounded, almost wherever they looked. The rule of law provided an environment that permitted them to compete without fear - relatively speaking - of physical intimidation. And compete they did, they entered the work force by the millions, almost unnoticed.
All of the above are not intended to undermine John's concept of generational influences - for generational influence are born of personal human memory. The above are given as an adjunct to John's generational influences; they are given to illustrate that man is complex, and that there is no "silver bullet" that explains all. I would make note of one more innovation that is almost never mentioned: the completion of the Eisenhower Interstate Highway System in the late '50s/early '60s, an innovation\ that effectively tied, non-stop, every part of America to every other.
The downward employment slide since 2000 is easily explained by the increasing belief, and practice of socialism in American society. Mao had a wonderful quote:"Socialism is born out of the end of a barrel of a gun." Essentially, socialism is never voluntary, socialist take control of an existent society by vote, or by revolution, and seize the existent assets of an in place society through force of arms. They then dissipate those assets, and they are then surprised when personal initiative does not replace those assets to be stolen and dissipated again. The first victim of socialism is always personal initiative, and thus innovation. Few will work for extended periods of time to realize innovation simply to have the assets of their innovation and hard work administratively stolen. After they see how things work they either leave, or cease to work - the downward employment trend may be expected to continue, with perhaps a few minor exceptions, so long as this socialist philosophy prevails in America. Recall if you are able the pictures of Soviet era dominated stores in the Communist block. The pictures showed row upon row of empty shop shelves. The message was then, and is now, clear: there are zero occasions of any society stealing its way into prosperity.
The factors that might be considered are: economic recessions, the Vietnam War, the technical revolution, and women entering the labor force also account for the wiggles on the labor force graph through the year 2000.
Recessions: '72-73, 76-80, 89-92
Vietnam War: Government spending without corresponding tax increases to pay for the extreme lose of treasure caused by the grinder of war. War causes a false sense of economic security in that lots of "stuff" - war material - is required, thus war provides an artificial sense of economic "prosperity." The government's conduct of the war without taxes to pay for that which was consumed by the war caused a large increase in inflation - as democracies don't like the pain of any war that isn't existential, but politicians do, so they rolled the presses at Treasury. So the "fight without pain" pursuit of the Vietnam war gave rise to great economic distortions that became manifest as the "stagflation" of the Carter Presidency. Very high interest rates, very high inflation rates, ever increasing labor costs, and economic uncertainty - as high interest rates, labor costs, and inflation cause enormous economic uncertainty as the real cost of any manufactured good becomes masked and uncertain. So in the context of ever increasing labor costs, high inflation and ever increasing interest rates every thing is a guess, and if you're running a company you err on the side of safety - a human trait that exacerbated an already bad economic cycle by causing ever increasing prices on virtually everything, with no corresponding idea of what anything cost to make.
The technical revolution: The entire world went through a technical revolution so dramatic from 1965-2000 that nothing like it has ever happened before in all of human history. The "magic" of Shockley's transistor, developed in 1949, became commercialized and spread it's tentacles into every part of the globe - everything was revolutionized, entertainment, communications, computing, transportation, materials - virtually everything was remade with the smarts of semiconductor innovation. Computing alone made the transition from an esoteric endeavor practiced by a few nerdy propeller heads to a practice that became everyday, and as common place and as necessary as reading. Because we were so close to it we often miss the significance of the magnitude of the change it brought to our world - revolutionary innovation became expected and common place. The entire world was remade, as everything made the transition from mechanical devices of all varieties into the wonder of semiconductor smarts and intellectual property. There were so many changes that they are difficult to list - the minicomputer, the personal computer, disk storage, car engine control, printing, Teflon, ceramics, and the list might go on almost without end - it was a time of innovation heaped upon innovation, almost as if by magic. And not to be remiss the greatest achievement in all of human history, an innovation that almost rivals the written word - the Internet. The device that has brought the knowledge of the world into veritably every home, and into the hands of virtually everyone.
Women entering the work force: For the first time in all of human history women could count on a physical security that permitted them to do virtually whatever they choose with physical safety in large swaths of globe. No longer did women have to fear being victimized if they happened to find themselves outside of an immediate urban area. They were free, and economic opportunity abounded, almost wherever they looked. The rule of law provided an environment that permitted them to compete without fear - relatively speaking - of physical intimidation. And compete they did, they entered the work force by the millions, almost unnoticed.
All of the above are not intended to undermine John's concept of generational influences - for generational influence are born of personal human memory. The above are given as an adjunct to John's generational influences; they are given to illustrate that man is complex, and that there is no "silver bullet" that explains all. I would make note of one more innovation that is almost never mentioned: the completion of the Eisenhower Interstate Highway System in the late '50s/early '60s, an innovation\ that effectively tied, non-stop, every part of America to every other.
The downward employment slide since 2000 is easily explained by the increasing belief, and practice of socialism in American society. Mao had a wonderful quote:"Socialism is born out of the end of a barrel of a gun." Essentially, socialism is never voluntary, socialist take control of an existent society by vote, or by revolution, and seize the existent assets of an in place society through force of arms. They then dissipate those assets, and they are then surprised when personal initiative does not replace those assets to be stolen and dissipated again. The first victim of socialism is always personal initiative, and thus innovation. Few will work for extended periods of time to realize innovation simply to have the assets of their innovation and hard work administratively stolen. After they see how things work they either leave, or cease to work - the downward employment trend may be expected to continue, with perhaps a few minor exceptions, so long as this socialist philosophy prevails in America. Recall if you are able the pictures of Soviet era dominated stores in the Communist block. The pictures showed row upon row of empty shop shelves. The message was then, and is now, clear: there are zero occasions of any society stealing its way into prosperity.
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