Re: 6-Sep-17 World View -- North Korea and Russia continue to incite a new Korean War
Posted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:59 pm
Here's an excerpt from a piece that was on war on the rocks last week.
I'd be surprised if it went this well.It is 2020. North Korea crosses the Rubicon. With intelligence estimates indicating the imminent launch of missiles against South Korea, Japan, and possibly the United States, Korean and allied officials opt to launch a limited spoiling attack. Special operations forces attack high-value targets and sabotage critical lines of communication, using a network of quadcopters for intelligence, attack missions, and secure communication. Manned-unmanned teams of Apache attack helicopters and Gray Eagle drones attack artillery, command and control, and air defenses on the forward edge of the battlefield, freeing up artillery units, including long-range missiles, and fifth-generation aircraft for deep interdiction missions. An artificial intelligence-enabled command network helps staff prioritize missions and anticipate resupply issues. Missile defense and cyber protection teams protect assembly areas. Civil Affairs teams use biometric kits and big data platforms to register refugees, coordinate humanitarian relief, and map the human terrain.
Initial operations disable North Korean nuclear weapons. However, savage North Korean conventional strikes against civilian populations in South Korea galvanize the U.S. and South Korean publics — the mission becomes regime change. Rugged North Korean units tie into complex terrain and create a defense-in-depth that stalls allied advances. China mobilizes along the border but remains neutral. Russia declares the United States has manufactured a false pretext for unification by force. Kremlin leaders refuse to intervene directly but openly lend the North Koreans weapons and war materials. The campaign descends into a protracted struggle.
The U.S.-led coalition also faces critical supply shortages. Ammunition expenditure rates turn out to be much higher than anticipated. Unattributed cyber-attacks against the U.S. industrial base slow production of critical replacements. The coalition runs low on missile defense assets and precision missiles, limiting military options. A 21st century trench line forms on the Korean peninsula.
https://warontherocks.com/2017/08/a-bus ... ing-model/