Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
FullMoon
Posts: 972
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:55 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

Cool Breeze wrote:
Mon Nov 25, 2024 11:08 am
Are you all still maintaining the same predictions?

By the way, what does John (or anyone else) think of this Peter Turchin guy? I saw that David Lin had him on a recent podcast. Some of his ideas make sense (elite overproduction) but it's funny that he's part of the University system that basically just captured all this money, and he talks about it as a member.
https://youtu.be/oIo1xQ3ugYA?si=TVxwZvBoWdexEmkJ
"Why are we playing Russian roulette with nuclear weapons?"
The interview ended with that question.
Angry losers because of wealth inequality and elite( those with money or political power) overprotection. The poor can't keep up while the best feel sidelined and without a voice. Turchin keeps to the data and uses historical precedent. He predicted this crisis based on data without necessarily using generational theory. Regardless, we're in the middle of a terrible shit storm and it's getting rapidly worse with almost no signs of the end. You couldn't be faulted to think that this crisis is unlike anything seen before and will lead to changes unimaginable at this time.

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2996
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

FullMoon wrote:
Mon Nov 25, 2024 11:49 am
Cool Breeze wrote:
Mon Nov 25, 2024 11:08 am
Are you all still maintaining the same predictions?

By the way, what does John (or anyone else) think of this Peter Turchin guy? I saw that David Lin had him on a recent podcast. Some of his ideas make sense (elite overproduction) but it's funny that he's part of the University system that basically just captured all this money, and he talks about it as a member.
David Lin had a good interview with Howe about the current crisis. I'll try to watch this new Turchin talk.
What predictions are you referencing?
It seems you all still think some nukes are going off (Middle East?), China is collapsing, etc. I just want to know if anything has changed.

I am bombastic and people didn't like me for a long time to get points across. I think now, at least it seems so, that John has seen the light and that censoring my posts was wrong. What's more important is that given my predictions having been spot on on so many issues, how can you afford to?

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2996
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

FullMoon wrote:
Mon Nov 25, 2024 12:46 pm
You couldn't be faulted to think that this crisis is unlike anything seen before and will lead to changes unimaginable at this time.
This is what I'm asking you to flush out.

All I've seen is what I told you all would happen, remember when the inflation thing happened, and I was right on that too? John was wrong.

The crisis currently is that we sold our country out to big time multinational and central banking interests, which also means endless wars. The middle class was destroyed in the covid scam. The jab has maimed and killed millions. I called ALL of those things as well.

I see the trajectory that we are on to just continue and the oligarchies that are already here will continue until some dramatic change. Yes, that could be war. It could also be some type of end times or technocrat world, with the Great Reset an obvious desire in 2030 by those annoying WEF types.

richard5za
Posts: 898
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 10:29 am
Location: South Africa

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by richard5za »

Cool Breeze wrote:
Mon Nov 25, 2024 4:19 pm
FullMoon wrote:
Mon Nov 25, 2024 12:46 pm
You couldn't be faulted to think that this crisis is unlike anything seen before and will lead to changes unimaginable at this time.
This is what I'm asking you to flush out.

All I've seen is what I told you all would happen, remember when the inflation thing happened, and I was right on that too? John was wrong.

The crisis currently is that we sold our country out to big time multinational and central banking interests, which also means endless wars. The middle class was destroyed in the covid scam. The jab has maimed and killed millions. I called ALL of those things as well.

I see the trajectory that we are on to just continue and the oligarchies that are already here will continue until some dramatic change. Yes, that could be war. It could also be some type of end times or technocrat world, with the Great Reset an obvious desire in 2030 by those annoying WEF types.
The problem with reading the signs of the times, including generational dynamics, is that the timimg is not precise. I strongly suspect that John is right about the future global deflation which will be upon us sooner or later. That inflation was not high enough to be serious and I suspect just a blip in the longer scheme of matters.

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2996
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

richard5za wrote:
Wed Nov 27, 2024 3:12 am
Cool Breeze wrote:
Mon Nov 25, 2024 4:19 pm
FullMoon wrote:
Mon Nov 25, 2024 12:46 pm
You couldn't be faulted to think that this crisis is unlike anything seen before and will lead to changes unimaginable at this time.
This is what I'm asking you to flush out.

All I've seen is what I told you all would happen, remember when the inflation thing happened, and I was right on that too? John was wrong.

The crisis currently is that we sold our country out to big time multinational and central banking interests, which also means endless wars. The middle class was destroyed in the covid scam. The jab has maimed and killed millions. I called ALL of those things as well.

I see the trajectory that we are on to just continue and the oligarchies that are already here will continue until some dramatic change. Yes, that could be war. It could also be some type of end times or technocrat world, with the Great Reset an obvious desire in 2030 by those annoying WEF types.
The problem with reading the signs of the times, including generational dynamics, is that the timimg is not precise. I strongly suspect that John is right about the future global deflation which will be upon us sooner or later. That inflation was not high enough to be serious and I suspect just a blip in the longer scheme of matters.
As I just quoted in my "topic thread", I mentioned all the topics on which I've been prescient, which are all major and all huge.

Until you can tell me that you know something better, shorter or longer term, why would you ignore me?

I've been spot on. Period.

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2996
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

By the way, Happy Thanksgiving!

richard5za
Posts: 898
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 10:29 am
Location: South Africa

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by richard5za »

Cool Breeze wrote:
Wed Nov 27, 2024 12:17 pm
richard5za wrote:
Wed Nov 27, 2024 3:12 am
Cool Breeze wrote:
Mon Nov 25, 2024 4:19 pm


This is what I'm asking you to flush out.

All I've seen is what I told you all would happen, remember when the inflation thing happened, and I was right on that too? John was wrong.

The crisis currently is that we sold our country out to big time multinational and central banking interests, which also means endless wars. The middle class was destroyed in the covid scam. The jab has maimed and killed millions. I called ALL of those things as well.

I see the trajectory that we are on to just continue and the oligarchies that are already here will continue until some dramatic change. Yes, that could be war. It could also be some type of end times or technocrat world, with the Great Reset an obvious desire in 2030 by those annoying WEF types.
The problem with reading the signs of the times, including generational dynamics, is that the timimg is not precise. I strongly suspect that John is right about the future global deflation which will be upon us sooner or later. That inflation was not high enough to be serious and I suspect just a blip in the longer scheme of matters.
As I just quoted in my "topic thread", I mentioned all the topics on which I've been prescient, which are all major and all huge.

Until you can tell me that you know something better, shorter or longer term, why would you ignore me?

I've been spot on. Period.
I didn't ignore you. I responded to the stuff you wrote; ignoring you would mean not responding.

I reciprocate with wishing you a Happy Thanksgiving. But thank you for the good wishes. This is an American festival not celebrated everywhere else, albeit that Black Friday seems to be becoming a global retail promotion

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2996
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

richard5za wrote:
Thu Nov 28, 2024 12:56 pm
Cool Breeze wrote:
Wed Nov 27, 2024 12:17 pm
richard5za wrote:
Wed Nov 27, 2024 3:12 am


The problem with reading the signs of the times, including generational dynamics, is that the timimg is not precise. I strongly suspect that John is right about the future global deflation which will be upon us sooner or later. That inflation was not high enough to be serious and I suspect just a blip in the longer scheme of matters.
As I just quoted in my "topic thread", I mentioned all the topics on which I've been prescient, which are all major and all huge.

Until you can tell me that you know something better, shorter or longer term, why would you ignore me?

I've been spot on. Period.
I didn't ignore you. I responded to the stuff you wrote; ignoring you would mean not responding.

I reciprocate with wishing you a Happy Thanksgiving. But thank you for the good wishes. This is an American festival not celebrated everywhere else, albeit that Black Friday seems to be becoming a global retail promotion
Yes, consumerism is still part of the sad replacement of real virtue and godliness in America, which are the smaller components of why thinking the US is some great country is funny, and mostly mythology given what we see in DC, all of the sick complexes of mammon worship and industrial warfare, government ops against US citizens and those abroad. Big superpower? No doubt.

John
Posts: 11500
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 03-Dec-2024 World View: Some recent news stories

In the last couple of days, there have
been news stories that indicate that
we're on the road to World War III.

**** Korea

Earlier today, South Korea's government
declared a state of emergency because of
anti-government protests related to the
opposition political party being
sympathetic to North Korea.

It's worth noting that North and South
Korea are still officially at war, since
the 1954 armistice did not include a
peace agrfeement to actually end the
Korean War.

**** Russia-Ukraine war

Ukraine's president Zelenskyy made an
interesting about-face this weekend. He
has always said that he would not agree
to a negotiated settlement with Russia
unless it meant that Russian troops
would withdraw from all Ukrainian
territory, something that Putin would
never agree to. So Zelenskyy is now
proposing that (a) fighting would
stop, (b) Russia would retain all the
territory it has already captured, (c)
whatever is left of the country of
Ukraine would be allowed to join NATO,
(d) at some time in the future, Russia's
Ukraine territory would be returned, and
would become part of Ukraine in NATO.

Zelenskyy is using as a model what
happened to Germany after WW II. In
that case, the Soviet Union kept East
Germany while West Germany joined NATO.
After 36 years, Germany was reunited,
and the united Germany was a memher of
NATO.

**** Hezbollah - Israel war

On Friday, Hezbollah and Israel agreed
to a ceasefire. However, as of today,
both sides are still exchanging
missiles.

**** Gaza - Israel war

Trump has promised that "there will be
hell to pay" unless Hamas releases the
hostages by January 20, when he takeks
office.

**** Syria and al-Qaeda

Everyone is surprised with how fast
rebels from Idlib have recaptured Aleppo
for the first time in almost ten years.
Bashir al-Assad is sending in the army.
The rebels, who are linked to al-Qaeda,
were able to move quickly because
al-Assad's allies (Russia, Iran,
Hezbollah) are all tied up in Ukraine.


I've written the above story summaries
based on watching CNN and Fox News.
I hope that I've made no errors.
Anyone who would like to provide links
to online news stories is invited to do
so and post them.

spottybrowncow
Posts: 378
Joined: Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:06 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by spottybrowncow »

Duly noted, and great to hear from you, John.

If you can, we'd love to hear what you think about the impact of Trump's return on the topics you mentioned.
Many (most?) of us never thought we'd be given a potential reprieve from our slide to communism.

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 14 guests