Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
Burner Prime

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Burner Prime »

This forum is mostly dead, but just some final thoughts...

America is done. Finished, Toast. But like a cockroach whose head is chopped off, still scurries about for a while. It's momentum, that's all. Ray Dalio proves how the US is in decline, in favor of an emergent China, who will become the great global superpower and hold the world's reserve currency.

"Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail"

America's power relies on its "exorbitant privilege" as reserve currency, where it can print and spend to infinity and beyond, thereby funding the technology that backs its military power. This is coming to an end. In the absence of technology, America does not have the capacity to crank out huge numbers of tanks, planes and ships needed to win a slugfest, after all the nukes have been deployed. China does, and Russia might be better at it than the US; their doctrine has always been to crank out large numbers of cheap tanks. America has few facilities that can produce chips, planes, ships and tanks, all easily targeted by nukes. The US advantage lies in the high tech that will be in short supply during a full scale war. Unlike WWII, the US will not be out-of-reach from attack to any existing manufacturing or tech base.

America's armed forces are in a sorry state, falling victim to the woke generation. Woke generals command the branches and brain-dead millennials fill the ranks. Take a look at who will be fighting the next war. While the woke press likes to make fun of Russians fleeing the country and avoiding service, just wait until America gets into a serious fight. They will flee by the millions to Canada or Mexico, finding every excuse not to have to fight.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/penta ... r-AA126lzr

Just look at the photo of those recruits. America is toast.

So you all can play your board games and move your theoretical chess pieces around, pretending you know how the world works, but the time will come when reality bites. I hope you have a Plan B, and exit strategy. The macro picture is clear. America is toast.

Finally John likes to brag that his predictions around Generational Dynamics were "true or trending true". He hasn't talked about this for a while, and it's clear that statement is false, given Russia's alignment with BRICS, new currency regimes, cooperation with Saudis and China, and India. So John's alignments for the "coming clash of civilizations" are false or trending false. So GD is a dead-end theory, with limited value, hence why this forum is dead. Dalio's thesis does have generational components and that's probably how GD should be looked at - as a component, not as a thing that rules them all.

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Tom Mazanec
Posts: 3729
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Burner Prime:
1) This forum may not be fulminating, but I intend to twice daily post news links until this Crisis significantly recedes.
2) How long do you think it will take for China to have the Reserve Currency?
SHARKS (crossed out) MONGEESE (sic) WITH FRICKIN' LASER BEAMS ATTACHED TO THEIR HEADS

FullMoon
Posts: 405
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:55 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

Burner is like a paid troll coming to stir up trouble. Haha.
How about detailing the weakness of potential combatants? China's list will surely be long and damning. A winner in a full global thermonuclear exchange of 10,000 warheads?
Any survivors will count themselves lucky and vow "never again". Haha

Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

John wrote:
Tue Sep 20, 2022 6:45 pm
DaKardii wrote:
Tue Sep 20, 2022 12:09 am
Anyone here watched the Queen's state funeral?
as a computer programmer, this was incredible to me. if I wanted to write a program to simulate this, it would probably take me weeks. but the British authorities were able to choreograph the entire thing within just a few days after the death of the queen. it's no wonder that many analysts said that authorities had been planning for this event for decades.

My understanding is that plans for this had been in the works for several years. I think they just had to plug data into a few variables and make some updates. Still a lot of work, but much of the heavy lifting was already done.

Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

FullMoon wrote:
Thu Sep 22, 2022 11:30 am
Question:
How 'partial' is the Russian mobilization?
How much does Russia consider itself to be at war with NATO and what's the most probable trajectory of this conflict?
Apparently it's mixed. While accurate information is hard to find, it seems that many of the people being called up much older than you'd suppose. There are stories of men in their 40's getting notices. There are also stories of men detained in protests getting their notices while still in custody. There is also the story that there is no real limit on how many can be called up with one of the items in the announcement being redacted supposedly allowing Putin to call up whomever he wants in whatever numbers he wants.

For the second part you'd need to distinguish who you mean by "Russia". If you mean the general population, then no. If you mean Putin and his contingent, then sorta. If you mean the hard core nationalists, then yes.

Anyone called up, particularly those long out of service, will need a training and equipping period. That is estimated to be at least 90 days and that's probably being generous considering how poorly Russia trains and equips its personnel. That would be mid December at earliest which is the middle of Winter. It's more likely to be sometime in the Spring. So you have bitter cold or mud. It's likely that many of these will be deeply unhappy at this action leading to further morale problems. People were mostly accepting of Putin's war as long as it didn't touch them personally. Now it is.

There is the question of how they are to be equipped since the cupboard is running bare. There are recent reports of more ancient T-62s being brought out of storage. These were considered obsolete 40 years ago. Also the reports of Russia trying to buy artillery ammunition from North Korea leading to concerns that Russia's stockpiles are running low and it being unable to produce as much as it considers necessary.

I think it likely that there will be more pressure on Western countries to keep providing equipment to Ukraine so it's very hard to say what will happen. Will Putin continue trying to escalate to deescalate? The recent veiled nuclear threats might indicate so. Would the Russian military go along with an actual order to use nuclear weapons? I don't think anyone knows.

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Tom Mazanec
Posts: 3729
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

EU states thrust aside Kremlin’s warnings of nuclear war over Ukraine
Alex Lantier, Johannes Stern
3 hours ago
https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/0 ... a-s23.html

Zelensky: Putin troop mobilization ‘frank admission’ that Russian army has ‘crumbled’
BY CHLOE FOLMAR - 09/22/22 7:13 PM ET
https://thehill.com/policy/internationa ... -crumbled/

To confront Putin, Biden should study the Cuban missile crisis
Image without a caption
By David Ignatius
Columnist
September 22, 2022 at 2:00 p.m. EDT
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions ... le-crisis/

Nuclear War With Russia? No, Thanks
Rod Dreher
Sep 23, 2022
1:00 AM
https://www.theamericanconservative.com ... no-thanks/

Lavrov walks out of UN meeting as allies slam Russia over Ukraine war
By Jennifer Hansler, CNN
Updated 6:58 PM ET, Thu September 22, 2022
https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/22/politics ... index.html

West scrambles to broach North-South divide aggravated by Ukraine war
By Michelle Nichols and John Irish
September 23, 2022
1:15 AM EDT
Last Updated 3 hours ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/west-scra ... 022-09-23/

Russia-Ukraine War
Russia Is Denounced at U.N. Over Nuclear Threat and Alleged War Crimes
Published Sept. 22, 2022
Updated Sept. 23, 2022, 1:26 a.m. ET
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/09/22 ... putin-news

Ukraine war: Lavrov walks out of UN security council; Russians flee country to avoid military draft – as it happened
Maya Yang, Léonie Chao-Fong, Martin Belam and Michael Coulter
Thu 22 Sep 2022 16.02 EDT
Updated 13h ago
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/ ... ve-updates

Ukraine war: Russians flee to border after military call-up
By David Molloy & Phelan Chatterjee
BBC News
Published
3 hours ago
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62996212

Ukraine War Comes Home to Russians as Putin Imposes Draft
As Vladimir Putin’s “special military operation” enters a new chapter, Russians are being plucked from villages around the country for training and military service.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/22/worl ... e-war.html
SHARKS (crossed out) MONGEESE (sic) WITH FRICKIN' LASER BEAMS ATTACHED TO THEIR HEADS

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2003
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

Burner Prime wrote:
Thu Sep 22, 2022 1:38 pm
This forum is mostly dead, but just some final thoughts...

America is done. Finished, Toast. But like a cockroach whose head is chopped off, still scurries about for a while. It's momentum, that's all. Ray Dalio proves how the US is in decline, in favor of an emergent China, who will become the great global superpower and hold the world's reserve currency.

"Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail"

America's power relies on its "exorbitant privilege" as reserve currency, where it can print and spend to infinity and beyond, thereby funding the technology that backs its military power. This is coming to an end. In the absence of technology, America does not have the capacity to crank out huge numbers of tanks, planes and ships needed to win a slugfest, after all the nukes have been deployed. China does, and Russia might be better at it than the US; their doctrine has always been to crank out large numbers of cheap tanks. America has few facilities that can produce chips, planes, ships and tanks, all easily targeted by nukes. The US advantage lies in the high tech that will be in short supply during a full scale war. Unlike WWII, the US will not be out-of-reach from attack to any existing manufacturing or tech base.

America's armed forces are in a sorry state, falling victim to the woke generation. Woke generals command the branches and brain-dead millennials fill the ranks. Take a look at who will be fighting the next war. While the woke press likes to make fun of Russians fleeing the country and avoiding service, just wait until America gets into a serious fight. They will flee by the millions to Canada or Mexico, finding every excuse not to have to fight.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/penta ... r-AA126lzr

Just look at the photo of those recruits. America is toast.

So you all can play your board games and move your theoretical chess pieces around, pretending you know how the world works, but the time will come when reality bites. I hope you have a Plan B, and exit strategy. The macro picture is clear. America is toast.

Finally John likes to brag that his predictions around Generational Dynamics were "true or trending true". He hasn't talked about this for a while, and it's clear that statement is false, given Russia's alignment with BRICS, new currency regimes, cooperation with Saudis and China, and India. So John's alignments for the "coming clash of civilizations" are false or trending false. So GD is a dead-end theory, with limited value, hence why this forum is dead. Dalio's thesis does have generational components and that's probably how GD should be looked at - as a component, not as a thing that rules them all.
It's hard to argue with these points. We have, and Europe has how many women in the military or female "defense ministers"? Reality truly does bite for the sick civilization that lies to its people. But the powers that be actually want America destroyed, so it's no surprise. Mostly these are dual citizens and the Anglo-American globalist actors that employed guys like Brzezinski over the years who told us these things in their writings, over and over.

I wonder how John would respond to the legitimate Burner point about alliances and BRICS nations.

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2003
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

FullMoon wrote:
Thu Sep 22, 2022 2:21 pm
Burner is like a paid troll coming to stir up trouble. Haha.
How about detailing the weakness of potential combatants? China's list will surely be long and damning. A winner in a full global thermonuclear exchange of 10,000 warheads?
Any survivors will count themselves lucky and vow "never again". Haha
You are missing his point. The US relies on legacy and tech, and the dollar is going away soon. All others have to do is wait it out. I'm not sure exactly what your true counterpoint is (willing to hear), rather than just using emotional or pejorative response tactics.

User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 3729
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

WORLD AT WARRussia Prepares To ‘Ramp Up’ Stealth Jet Production Amid Rising Threat Of War With WestPublished 1 min ago on 23 September, 2022
https://summit.news/2022/09/23/russia-p ... with-west/

The Mobilization Begins - Scenes Around Russia: "What Are We Going For?"
BY TYLER DURDEN
THURSDAY, SEP 22, 2022 - 06:00 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... e-we-going

Azov Fighters For Pro-Kremlin Oligarch? Biggest Prisoner Swap Of War Has Outraged Some In Russia
BY TYLER DURDEN
THURSDAY, SEP 22, 2022 - 06:40 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... ome-russia

Former Los Alamos nuclear scientists aiding Chinese weapons project, study says
By Ben Whedon
Updated: September 22, 2022 - 7:47pm
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy ... study-says

China Blockade Would Be Act of War, Taiwan Would Not Surrender, Official Says
By Reuters
Sept. 23, 2022, at 4:26 a.m.
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/artic ... icial-says

World opinion shifts against Russia as Ukraine worries grow
By MATTHEW LEE
an hour ago
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukrai ... 967223787d

EUROPE POLITICS
Putin’s ‘incredibly dangerous’ nuclear threats raise the risk of an unprecedented disaster
PUBLISHED FRI, SEP 23 20223:49 AM EDTUPDATED 3 HOURS AGO
Sam Meredith
@SMEREDITH19
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/23/russia- ... aster.html

‘The Time Has Come’: Top Putin Official Admits Ugly Truth About War
Shannon Vavra - Wednesday
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/th ... r-AA125SMA

'I don't want to die': Russians flee abroad after Putin's call-up
Issued on: 22/09/2022 - 16:46
Modified: 22/09/2022 - 16:45
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/2 ... -s-call-up

Russian Military Registration and Enlistment Offices on Fire
By Kyiv Post. Published Sept. 22 at 12:50 pm
https://www.kyivpost.com/russia/russian ... -fire.html

Putin faces fury in Russia over military mobilization and prisoner swap
Robyn Dixon, Mary Ilyushina, David Stern - Yesterday 12:50 PM
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/pu ... r-AA128eNd

U.S. warns it will deploy ‘strategic assets’ to South Korea if Pyongyang conducts nuke test
WORLD
HAL TURNER
18 AUGUST 2022
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.ph ... -nuke-test
SHARKS (crossed out) MONGEESE (sic) WITH FRICKIN' LASER BEAMS ATTACHED TO THEIR HEADS

FullMoon
Posts: 405
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:55 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

Cool Breeze wrote:
Fri Sep 23, 2022 11:39 am
FullMoon wrote:
Thu Sep 22, 2022 2:21 pm
Burner is like a paid troll coming to stir up trouble. Haha.
How about detailing the weakness of potential combatants? China's list will surely be long and damning. A winner in a full global thermonuclear exchange of 10,000 warheads?
Any survivors will count themselves lucky and vow "never again". Haha
You are missing his point. The US relies on legacy and tech, and the dollar is going away soon. All others have to do is wait it out. I'm not sure exactly what your true counterpoint is (willing to hear), rather than just using emotional or pejorative response tactics.
The other suspected paid troll comes for backup. Haha
Every actor in this battle has weaknesses. And nobody knows who will win. We may be down but hardly out. And our adversaries are weaker by much. No need to air out the family grievances whilst stuck in an existential battle.
Worry not, if you show courage and valor, finding a wife and helping rebuild will be the work of a hero. Stop whining.

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