The demographics appeals are specious. I have noticed this for years and you can go back and nullify much of the "demographics is destiny" yet you still see people bring it up as the biggest point to this day. The Japanese have largely bucked all those horrible predictions, though they have had to do massive monetization - but recall this is a fiat world where everyone also is doing the same thing, and the west is also dying in terms of fertility. So what if it replaces itself with non europeans? No one ever asks that question, since it is the key question and is politically incorrect.thomasglee wrote: ↑Mon Aug 08, 2022 6:58 amGood point. Another reason why China needs a war.Guest wrote: ↑Mon Aug 08, 2022 2:15 amWhen it comes to China we all need to face the demographic realities. According to their own most recent census their population will fall 50% by 2050, and at that point in 2050 the OVERWHELMING majority of people will be over 60. China will never be the consumer market our corporations desire, and by the end of this decade it's production will virtually collapse.
As we speak there is not a single industrial product that cannot be made cheaper in the USA. Hence the massive re-shoring of industrial plant to the USA. An industrial build out is under way in the US that is larger than it's build out for World War Two, to give a clear measure.
The play for the UK to make is to close a free trade deal with the USA with all possible speed. When you consider demographics North America will be the only viable consumer market going forward. The UK and the USA are a natural fit given shared contract law, shared accounting practices, and a thousand other cultural linkages. The German economy and demographic is dying. Ditto Russia, China, and Japan. What is left of the EU will be a French satrap. There is only one way for the UK to go. Don't let pride carry the nation into economic suicide.
We were also supposed to starve 50 years ago with this "population" and ... we didn't. So many predictions are far more nuanced and dependent on multiple layers of culture, alliances with other countries, geopolitics, monetary scheme, etc. For example, who says the consumption economy lasts? Again, recency bias abounds.
Now, I think war is on the horizon but talking about 2050 as if it is a worry for the Chinese, and ignoring the cultural rot of the US and the west in general, is missing the point. Capiche?
