Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 09-Jun-2021 World View: Blaming blacks
Guest wrote:
Wed Jun 09, 2021 9:44 am
> So blacks should not be held accountable for violent crime. It's
> someone else's fault. Got it.

> Now I see how these people think.
Oh gimme a break.

Blacks who commit crimes should be arrested, jailed, and tried in
court, just like whites who commit crimes.

The problem today is that the Democrats are refusing to arrest
criminals, like the antifa-blm fascists who are committing violent
acts across the country -- and most of the antifa-blm fascists are
White Democrats. And the Democrats are also releasing violent
criminals from jails, and most of them are black.

But you can't blame honest, hard-working blacks for the crimes of a
few, when the real criminals are the White Democrats.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

"...when the real criminals are the White Democrats."

The people who victimized my family were not White Democrats. They were black.

I see your point, but I think you are letting blacks off too easily. Every single black person I know supports BLM. They have also always been the least qualified of any of my co-workers. I think American blacks are whinny and grossly hypocritical. I have worked with a lot of openly racist blacks in the past. I have quit jobs to escape them. (Which always turned out to be a wise move for me.) I have seen small businesses bankrupted by them. I don't see them as contributing to America in a postive way.

I can't speak for the other guests, but I will simply agree to disagee with you on this point.

guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by guest »

Guest wrote:
Tue Jun 08, 2021 9:46 pm
Gone wrote:
Tue Jun 08, 2021 8:13 pm
Like blacks who left the south in the 1920s and moved to Detroit, Chicago, and Philadelphia.
All of which they destroyed.
I've lived in two out of three of those cities, and that's exactly what happened. I no longer live in those cities and I will never return. Not even for a visit.

Each city was the same:

City#1
1) living in the city was really dangerous, but I had good job so I stayed.

2) A violent crime against a family member drove me to the suburbs, but I continued to commute.

3) Violent crime in and around the workplace, and I left city #1.

City#2
Rinse and repeat.

I left city#2.

All of my friends from city#1 left at least a decade ago, if not two. City#2, all but one friend has left and he know lives in the suburbs. He would like to leave, but the neighborhood is now a abad neighborhood and if he sold he couldn't afford to buy a house in Florida where almost everyone I used to know there now lives. He could have sold ten years ago, but he didn't. Now he hates himself for it. But at least he accepts responsibilty for blowing it and doesn't blame white democrats for that. He does hate Democrats of any race. And he was once a registered Democrat (who voted for Bill Clinton twice!)

DaKardii
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DaKardii »

Deutsche Bank has issued a report warning that America is heading toward the worst inflationary crisis in the past 75 years.

https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/557 ... or-america

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 10-Jun-2021 World View: German inflation
DaKardii wrote:
Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:13 pm
> Deutsche Bank has issued a report warning that America is heading
> toward the worst inflationary crisis in the past 75 years.

> https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/557 ... or-america
The Germans are seeing ghosts, still reliving the days of the Weimar
Republic. The saying, "If you're a hammer, everything looks like a
nail" applies to the Germans.

Jack Edwards
Posts: 91
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2009 1:47 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Jack Edwards »

DaKardii wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 2:13 pm
> Deutsche Bank has issued a report warning that America is heading
> toward the worst inflationary crisis in the past 75 years.

> https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/557 ... or-america
John wrote: The Germans are seeing ghosts, still reliving the days of the Weimar
Republic. The saying, "If you're a hammer, everything looks like a
nail" applies to the Germans.
John, one of your theories I'll think we'll get to see in action soon is the principle of maximum ruin. I see and hear of so many people paying ridiculous amounts of money for houses and cars, I fully expect those prices to come back down hard leaving people with owing more money than their assets are worth.

Anyway, if the principle of maximum ruin theory is true - it makes a lot of sense for their to be a big run up in speculation, right before a big fall.

And - I hope you're feeling better.
Regards
Jack

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 10-Jun-2021 World View: Victimization
Guest wrote:
Wed Jun 09, 2021 8:18 pm
> "...when the real criminals are the White Democrats."

> The people who victimized my family were not White Democrats. They
> were black.

> I see your point, but I think you are letting blacks off too
> easily. Every single black person I know supports BLM. They have
> also always been the least qualified of any of my co-workers. I
> think American blacks are whinny and grossly hypocritical. I have
> worked with a lot of openly racist blacks in the past. I have quit
> jobs to escape them. (Which always turned out to be a wise move
> for me.) I have seen small businesses bankrupted by them. I don't
> see them as contributing to America in a positive way.

> I can't speak for the other guests, but I will simply agree to
> disagree with you on this point.
I'm sorry that your family was the victim of violence by blacks.

However, there are a couple of issues here.

One is that you can't assume that all blacks are violent, just
because a small number are.

A second issue is that BLM is a fraudulent organization, which
is why almost all Democrats support it, and so it's not surprising
that almost all blacks support BLM.

The third issue is that you say that "American blacks are whinny and
grossly hypocritical [and openly racist]." If this is true, then my
point is that the way they got this way is because the White Democrats
have purposely destroyed their families.

In the 1960s, 25% of black children were born without a father
in the home. Today, the figure is 75% and growing, thanks to
Democrat policies.

A black girl growing up will have no father in the home except a
string of men in her mother's bed. Some of her mother's "friends" may
abuse her, or even rape her. She'll be attracted to any male who
serves as some sort of father figure. It's not surprising that black
girls are far more likely than white girls to be raped, to become
prostitutes, or to become pregnant. In fact, Democrat policies
specifically target her and encourage her to become a pregnant teen,
so that the fatherless families will continue.

A black boy growing up will have no father in the home except a string
of men in his mother's bed. He will have no reliable male role
models, and in many ways won't know how to live his life. He may want
to get a job, get married, have children, and lead a responsible life.
Instead, thanks to Democrat policies, he knows that if he ever does
get married and have children, if he ever loses his job or has some
other difficulty, then his wife will be forced to throw him out of the
house, away from his family, so that she can collect welfare according
to Democrat party rules. A black teenage boy in this situation, with
no father and no future, will turn to gangs and start killing other
black boys, which is what the Democrats want. Not surprisingly, if he
survives long enough to grow up, he'll be bitter and angry and whiny
and hypocritical and racist.

So you say that we have to agree to disagree, but I don't disagree
with what you've said. You're perfectly entitled to feel the way you
do, in view of your experience.

You say your family was victimized by blacks. But your family was
ALSO victimized by White Democrats who caused blacks to be the way
they are, by purposely destroying their families. My point is that
the you should not let White Democrats off the hook.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

From the Financial Forum:
vincecate wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 12:20 pm
Higgenbotham wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 10:38 am
High inflation was "sort of OK" for stocks in the 1970s and 1980s (they at least held their nominal prices for the most part during those decades and traders could make money). I think the reason for that is the 1970s US economy was full of high book value businesses with lots of assets on their balance sheet. That's not true today at all.
If you have 15% inflation, then after the stocks get down to P/E ratios of 5 they will go up with inflation.

If we get 15% inflation now, the first move is P/E down to 5 (so factor of 8 down) then we go up 15% per year.

If we get higher and higher inflation over the next year, the market has to go down a lot over the next year.

I don't think people are understanding that you have different reasonable P/E ratios when there is inflation. This is a huge miss.

After the end of the month, if the market stays up, I will buy more puts again.

I think your estimate is reasonable. Whereas stocks fell by about a factor of 2 in the 1970s (nominally) when high inflation hit, they may fall by a factor of about 8 this time.
Woah!

Qhat would stocks falling by a factor of eight mean to the man in the street?

DaKardii
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Joined: Tue Jan 17, 2017 9:17 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DaKardii »

John, speaking of racist Democrats:

https://www.montgomeryadvertiser.com/st ... 490582002/

User avatar
Tom Mazanec
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Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Woah!

Qhat would stocks falling by a factor of eight mean to the man in the street?
John has long been predicting a stock market crash of this magnitude.
SHARKS (crossed out) MONGEESE (sic) WITH FRICKIN' LASER BEAMS ATTACHED TO THEIR HEADS

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