Tom Mazanec's Topic

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Higgenbotham
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Higgenbotham »

Cool Breeze wrote:
Fri May 21, 2021 3:45 pm
I'm buying at 33k and lower. I'm pretty exposed and have to deal with a lot of money movement, tax considerations, etc

It's more than I want to get into, so the short answer is yes, I'm buying and buying big if it goes to 20-anything.

Thanks, that answers my question. As for me, I won't buy big or hold, but I think any plunge under 31K will likely offer good short term trading opportunities.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Thinking it over, John. I will let the CPI decide if and when you are right... I will post it here each month and when it drops I will congratulate you.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

Cool Breeze
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Cool Breeze »

Tom Mazanec wrote:
Fri May 21, 2021 3:49 pm
Back to the issue that this thread was originally about:

As another Inflation Foreshock Rattles Markets Around the World, Fed not Fazed
https://thegreatrecession.info/blog/inf ... not-fazed/
The simple truth is, as I’ve been saying for months, this high inflation was predictable months ago and is happening because too much money is chasing too few goods. The money is not there because the economy is hot. The money is not there because employment is full. The money is not there because wages are rising.

The money is there because the Fed keeps printing it, and the Federal government keeps distributing it to the unemployed (and nearly everyone else). The other thing that is there in this badly broken economy is shortages — all over the world in all kinds of materials and products.
Yup, and the feds will change the CPI, as they always do, according to what they want to message the public with.

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Well, John hates Shadowstats and I don’t even subscribe to it so I will use his preferred source, Cool Breeze.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

John
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by John »

** 23-May-2021 World View: Homebound
Higgenbotham wrote:
Fri May 21, 2021 9:39 am
> How many people do you think read this forum on a regular basis
> and saw what John posted about suicide? But you were the only one
> who called the police. The only one. Why do you think that is?
> Is it because you are the only one who cared about John? How many
> people do you think have donated money to John's site? Do those
> people care about John? I would presume they do, but none of them
> called the police.
This is an important point, since you're talking about people who
actually did help me, and made an actual difference, without crazy
"soul-saving" nonsense. These include Navigator who set up the
GoFundme site, and DaKardii who set up the previous one. A number of
people have also provided donations through PayPal, and still do, and
I'm very grateful to all of these people, since they really made a
difference and are continuing to do so.

The calculus is still the same that if I run out of money then I'm
gone. But there has been an interesting development in the
last year. I've been declared officially "homebound," and I'm
receiving "Meals on Wheels." This means that I have to spend a lot
less for food, and it's making a huge difference.

Roxie, my mother, spent the last few years of her life in an apartment
just sitting in a chair watching tv. The only difference between her
and me is that I get to talk to people online. Then she had an
accident that gave her instant Alheimers, and she spent the next few
years just sitting in a chair watching tv in a nursing home. Roxie
was a devout Greek Orthodox Christian, and every Sunday she always
went to an Orthodox Church or a Catholic Church for the service. (She
preferred the Catholic service because it was still holy, but it was
shorter.) But even so, when she was in the nursing home she tried to
commit suicide by starving herself which, of course, the staff caught
onto immediately and prevented. She was miserable there, and I was so
happy for her when she finally died and was out of her misery. So I
just want to avoid that horror show for myself. The trick is to kill
myself while I still can, before someone else is in control of me.

So, every day I keep hoping for a heart attack or stroke that will
kill me instantly, or I keep hoping for a Chinese missile strike on
MIT that will kill me instantly.
Higgenbotham wrote:
Fri May 21, 2021 9:39 am
> I really am interested in getting estimates of the real numbers.
> I would guess around 2,000 people read John's comments about
> suicide, but I'm not very good at making these kinds of estimates
> of Internet traffic.
I would guess the number is closer to 10,000, but that was back in the
days when I was writing an article every day. It also spiked when
North Korea was launching missiles and testing nuclear weapons, so
there was a lot of traffic from Asia. I've saved all the web site log
files, so I could do a big analysis project to see exactly how many
people read those posts, but I don't care enough to do all that work.
Today I would guess it's more like 2-4K.

Cool Breeze
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Cool Breeze »

Are any other family able to visit to see how you're doing otherwise?

Did you ever study the eastern orthodox faith? Or was it just a cultural identity?

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

John I don't have a clue as to how to set up a "GoFundMe" site...if I did I would do it for you.
I could have wasted me time telling you to call Suicide Prevention Hotline, but since you declared you had not an intention of preserving your life once your money ran out I would have just been wasting electrons. I said people in your situation had survived using government resources and charity, and indeed billions of people throughout history have been in as bad or even worse situations without giving up.
My cousin and guardian goes over my credit card every month and has already threatened to cut off my credit card because of "frivolous expenses". He is not tolerant of people asking handouts either. So the books I bought from you were all I could do. If they were not a little help for you, frankly, I would not have bought them, but would have spent my limited budget on items of more interest to me that had to wait until the following month.
I am sorry that you do not like that I did what I could to save your life, if not your soul. From now on, as far as I am concerned, you may do as you please. I will continue to contribute CPI data to this thread and my comments on Generational Dynamics and World Geopolitics to the Weblog News Comments and Discussion thread until you either die a natural death or take your own life, at which point I expect the site to fizzle out; or until the Third World War features a Thermonuclear Spasm, at which point I expect the internet to fizzle out; or until my natural death (at which point I will obviously stop posting).
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

John
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by John »

** 25-May-2021 World View: Fizzling Out
Tom Mazanec wrote:
Mon May 24, 2021 1:10 pm
> John I don't have a clue as to how to set up a "GoFundMe"
> site...if I did I would do it for you.

> I could have wasted me time telling you to call Suicide Prevention
> Hotline, but since you declared you had not an intention of
> preserving your life once your money ran out I would have just
> been wasting electrons. I said people in your situation had
> survived using government resources and charity, and indeed
> billions of people throughout history have been in as bad or even
> worse situations without giving up.
I'm not sure what you're lecturing me about since I actually did do
what you're suggesting. I didn't give up, and "wheels on meals" is a
government resource. What I objected to is the insanity of
humiliating me by sending the police to my apartment in a big
apartment building. Here's something you should think about: If you
do something that crazy to a person who is really on the brink, then
he may say to himself, "Holy Cow! Someone like Mazanec is going to
get me locked up in a prison or a nuthouse, so I'd better kill myself
while I can, before I lose the opportunity!" In that case, you would
be directly responsible for causing that person to commit suicide, and
by your own criteria, your soul would be doomed to eternal hell. So
the moral of the story is that you should think twice before
inflicting your God complex on someone, since you have no control over
anyone's soul but your own.
Tom Mazanec wrote:
Mon May 24, 2021 1:10 pm
> My cousin and guardian goes over my credit card every month and
> has already threatened to cut off my credit card because of
> "frivolous expenses". He is not tolerant of people asking handouts
> either. So the books I bought from you were all I could do. If
> they were not a little help for you, frankly, I would not have
> bought them, but would have spent my limited budget on items of
> more interest to me that had to wait until the following
> month.
I've never asked you or anyone else for a handout or a donation, but
I'm eternally grateful to those who provided donations and still do
provide donations.

I would hope that you bought the books because you wanted to read
them. In my humble, humble opinion, those books are fantastically
good. If you're interested in the history of Iran, China or Vietnam,
or for any neighboring countries, or if you're interested in the
history and theology of Christianity, Islam, Hinduism, Buddhism,
Confucianism and Daoism, then there are no better books than the ones
that I've written.
Tom Mazanec wrote:
Mon May 24, 2021 1:10 pm
> I am sorry that you do not like that I did what I could to save
> your life, if not your soul. From now on, as far as I am
> concerned, you may do as you please. I will continue to contribute
> CPI data to this thread and my comments on Generational Dynamics
> and World Geopolitics to the Weblog News Comments and Discussion
> thread until you either die a natural death or take your own life,
> at which point I expect the site to fizzle out; or until the Third
> World War features a Thermonuclear Spasm, at which point I expect
> the internet to fizzle out; or until my natural death (at
> which point I will obviously stop posting).
Once again, you are not God, and you cannot save anyone's soul.
Calling the police would not save anyone's soul, but might doom your
own soul to eternal fire and brimstone, as I described above. So I'm
very happy that you've decided, in your infinite wisdom, that "I may
now do as I please," and that you've granted me your permission to do
so.

With regard to the Generational Dynamics web site and the Generational
Dynamics Forum, these web sites are truly unique. There is nothing
like them anywhere in the world.

This is a good time to remind people that I've arranged with the web
site hosting service that if I should "softly and suddenly vanish
away," then Higgenbotham will take over, and the sites will be up for
at least six additional months.

It's an interesting question how long these web sites could survive
without me, or if they'd just fizzle out as you say. It would be very
interesting to see what happens either way but, fortunately for me,
that's a question that I cannot possibly ever know the answer to.

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

OK, John.
The police (who are professionals) made their decision. They did not decide on my word, but on your words in a public forum.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Inflation Flying in Hotter than Ever!
https://thegreatrecession.info/blog/inf ... than-ever/
The chart shows U.S. inflation data surprises at their highest in the 20-year history of the series, said strategist Jim Reid, referring to a note by equity strategist Parag Thatte. The last 10 data points were “almost off the chart,” he noted.MarketWatch
So much for the high inflation print in April being due to “base effects.” The surprise index reveals whether inflationary data is higher or lower than economist expected. It’s hard to claim that the base effect from last year’s COVIDcrisis resulted in more surprises to economists, given those economists were all trying to claim inflation was going to rise due to a base effect before April’s hot print. How can you surprise experts who are expecting the base effect when every one of them knows exactly where the base was last year? If you’re going to claim an effect due to the base — the starting point — there is no surprise at what that starting point was … only at where you ended up.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

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