Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
aeden
Posts: 12495
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

https://freedomrockradio.co/news/fbi-ag ... -prisoner/

depends on 2s and 10s as spx triggers
recency bias and perception management

Yesterday, the lead FBI Agent in his case plead guilty to destroying exculpatory evidence that could have proven Woods’ innocence.
“In a plea deal filed Wednesday, a former FBI agent pleaded guilty to paying a business to “wipe” his computer to make the hard drive unavailable for forensic examination.
Everything you thought you know is a rootkit as the barking seals deal with the muppets.
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/201 ... ack-scheme
No clue what really what the spin reports are as it is.

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inli ... k=SJEBksb7
For those under 10 PE as we bought we will just watch who fights the tape. No date needed here.
To all the Tyler's who mock the beach bum bastard. May you be blessed from the owner of the Garden
as His will unfolds.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/squee ... und-shorts

vincecate
Posts: 2371
Joined: Mon May 10, 2010 7:11 am
Location: Anguilla
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by vincecate »

German PPI 37.2%
People are going to notice this eventually, one way or another.

Image

aeden
Posts: 12495
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

vincecate wrote:
Fri Aug 19, 2022 2:39 pm
German PPI 37.2%
People are going to notice this eventually, one way or another.

Image
Good catch since they put themselves is a poor position.

In the end the rootkit blackcrack cult will see justice at two places only.
SDShack: This raid didn't just happen overnight, but was launched immediately after Trump filed his amended RICO lawsuit against Hitlery & Co (Crimson Rhino) and the Big Players at the FBI (Crossfire Hurricane), and that suit was just allowed to proceed. They really really really don't want the inner workings of the swamp exposed, as that means the whole Uniparty is threatened. This raid was just the attempt of the Deep State to delay this suit by confiscating all documents that plaintiff Trump could use against them, with the lame excuse of...'this suit can't proceed because Trump is under investigation'.

President Trump unclassified documents related to Russiagate, the Deep State’s attempted coup of the Trump Administration before he left office. AG Merrick Garland has so far refused to release these documents to the public. Then President Trump filed a RICO lawsuit against Hillary Clinton and several Crossfire Hurricane affiliated officials. This outraged and terrified the bad actors in the Deep State.
Five judges have participated in President Trump’s RICO case so far.

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/0 ... -mar-lago/

Indeed they will drag this out since on the taxpayers back. The agency issues ferals for hire are the cancer.

aeden
Posts: 12495
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

The fact that Zelensky's military is shelling a nuclear power plant, and his puppet master in the west has not stopped him, is to say the least, beyond insane. This should tell everyone that all the talk about 'climate change,' is all complete BS.
Captain Oatmeal awol over 150 days as it is.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7487
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Higgenbotham wrote:
Sun Jun 26, 2022 1:54 pm
I follow 8 traders who have a good record of calling intermediate term trends in the market.
Higgenbotham wrote:
Sun Aug 07, 2022 7:16 pm
Update below:

1. Long from a lower level (than where the market presently is). The S&P is going to 5000.
2. There will be a pullback from the 4150 area. It's not clear whether his long term position has changed.
3. No position. The medium term trend has turned up. The long term trend is still down. Waiting for a pullback to go long. No shorts until the medium term trend turns down.
4. Long from 3950. The medium term trend has turned up. The long term trend is still down.
5. Long from lower levels. The sentiment is still bearish enough to favor a swing to new all time highs.
6. 35% long. The bear market is probably over. The Fed is talking tough on interest rates but printing huge amounts of money.
7. No position. The main trend is down. The medium term trend has turned up. The short term trend is down. The downtrend will resume from here. Confirmation is required before taking a short position.
8. Still long from near the low. The S&P will get to 4200+ but not 4400 (as originally stated). There will be a big, fast reversal (down) in August.

1, 2, 5 and 6 have a bullish bias. 8 has a bearish bias. 3, 4 and 7 are unbiased, aligning their trades with their rules based trend systems.

Based on these positions, I think at least a pullback is likely this month. There should a bounce in the market on a first move down to about 3950 or 3900. Selling could accelerate below about 3850 on the S&P.
Update below:

1. Sold all longs near SPX 4250 this morning (August 19) which were established at lower levels and went partially short (all posted in real time). Will put on more shorts if the market bounces on Monday. There will be a horrible decline into November 8.
2. Every signal is a sell as of August 17. Max FOMO is evident.
3. No position. The medium term trend is up. The long term trend is still down. Waiting for a pullback to go long. SPX 4220 may be a good place to go long. No shorts until the medium term trend turns down on a break of SPX 4000.
4. Sold longs from SPX 3950 at 4250 this morning (August 19, posted the evening of August 19). No position.
5. SPX 4225 will end the first leg down of a larger drop (the 4225 target was posted the morning of August 17).
6. The market will be lower than SPX 4270 in mid October.
7. Partially short from SPX 4230 at the close on August 19. The medium and short term trends have turned down.
8. There will be a buyable correction from the low SPX 4300 area (posted before today's drop) and one more high after that toward SPX 4400 before a big, fast reversal in August.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

richard5za
Posts: 894
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 10:29 am
Location: South Africa

Re: Financial topics

Post by richard5za »

Thank you so much for this traders view update, Higg. Much appreciated. interesting how views change in the short term!!!

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7487
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Quantitative Easing and Corporate Profits

Image

Image

QE was not for you.
Higgenbotham wrote:
Fri Jul 20, 2012 7:10 pm
The US GDP is about $15 trillion and if we assume for simplicity (in order to get a maximum number) that all of the GDP is created by corporations, then corporate profits are about $1 trillion per year.

The US federal deficit is about $1.5 trillion per year. How ever you slice it or dice it, that excess gets spent into the economy and in general there a two main beneficiaries - large corporations by way of government contracts, bailouts and subsidies and poor people who can't save money. When poor people spend a government handout, of course the corporations only take their cut because they also have to provide something in exchange. Let's say a poor person goes to Wal-Mart with a food stamp card to buy a hunk of Kraft cheese. Kraft gets their 7.5% of wholesale (probably higher), Wal-Mart gets their 7.5% of retail (probably not that high), the media conglomerate that Kraft pays to advertise gets their cut and so on down the line. The poor person gets very little value of cheese and as that money gets circulated around in the economy virtually all of it that is not consumed ends up back in corporate coffers as profit with the exception of the little that wage earners can save out of their cut. To be specific, someone who is employed by one of these corporations will in all likelihood be able to save some of their wage, which then doesn't circulate back into the economy so the corporations can siphon it off.

Bottom line, a very high percentage of excess government spending in the form of government contracts, bailouts, subsidies, and aid for the poor winds up as corporate profits. I don't know what the percentage would be. My gut says it would be at least 1/3 of the $1.5 trillion. That's over $500 billion, or over half of all corporate profits using my simple assumption that maximizes an estimate for total corporate profits.

So now let's say the goverment balances the budget. Now we can see where this is going. We can see how the academic "expert" Village Idiots and assholes will stand behind the corporate Village Idiots and assholes who are part of this scam and pay their wages and consulting contracts, and declare, according to their phony expertise of which they have none, that deficit spending is absolutely necessary.

Balancing the federal budget would force gigantic, overstretched, money siphoning, unprofitable dinosaurs to get profitable without lobbying and sucking at the goverment teat when their idiot managements have NO IDEA how to get profitable, NOT A CLUE, without doing just that. And that's where the vicious spiral of deflation can begin to take hold.

So what I'm positing is that without government deficit spending there would be very little profit in this economy, on average. I believe from looking at the numbers that if the government were to balance the budget or already had, that perhaps 1/3 to 2/3 of the corporations in America would not be able to operate at a profit and would go bankrupt.
Higgenbotham wrote:
Fri Jul 20, 2012 8:28 pm
This week, the financial media is asking if the new Yahoo CEO will be able to turn Yahoo around when the others have failed.

To answer this question, first, we know that the tech companies that are very clever like Google and Apple have a knack for siphoning the excess money that is in the economy off into their coffers. Apple has an enormous amount of accumulated cash.

We can see how this happens. Consumer X may have a mortgage that they are not paying. No worries, the zombie who occupies the White House makes sure that the bank who holds the mortgage gets their bailout, their cut of the $1.5 trillion deficit, and we can add one more house to the shadow inventory. Consumer X can then go out and buy their favorite Apple devices with the money they save by not paying their mortgage and the zombie hopes this scam can go on until the election (to be clear, I'm not voting for Romney either - he's another farce and the Pub party should be absolutely ashamed to put that caiber of candidate in front of the public).

Assuming that the new Yahoo CEO, who comes from Google and is one of their 20 original employees and supposedly a major contributor to their success, can maintain that level of performance, then I do believe Yahoo can be turned around under the condition that the $1.5 trillion in deficit spending continues. If it does, those clever folks at Google, Apple, and now Yahoo will be able to find a way to continue to siphon a good share of that $1.5 trillion into their coffers.

On the other hand, if the budget is balanced next year and the excess $1.5 trillion disappears, then my assumption would be that no matter how good Yahoo's CEO is, there will be no possible way to turn Yahoo around. And I don't think even Apple will have an easy time of it if that were to happen.
Higgenbotham wrote:
Fri Jul 20, 2012 8:43 pm
Now onto Ben Bernanke who is my favorite subject of discussion.

Ben said that he could turn lead into gold with his helicopter, or what he really said is that a fiat electronic currency can be created in unlimited amounts, just like dropping regular paper currency out of helicopters, and therefore deflation can always be stopped.

One thing Ben forgot about is profit and the fact that corporations can become reliant on Ben's helicopter to the point that they can't be profitable without it. It would also be apt to say at this point that profit is a measure of wealth, but money is not.

Looking at the stock market, we now have two possible scenarios.

Ben can keep running the helicopter and channel free money to corporations so they can claim profits. Say a corporation operates at a $1 billion dollar loss without the helicopter drop. He can channel $2 billion to them so they can claim a profit while they continue losing money in their operations. They can keep their excess reserves on deposit at the Fed and earn 0.25% interest but have no other use for the money. in many cases, for the corporation to use the money to expand, make loans, and so on, they would only end up compounding their losses and needing even bigger bailouts.

The other option is that Ben can stop running the helicopter. If that happens, investors will soon realize that they bought Tulip Bulbs in many cases instead of stock in profitable corporations.

But in either case, I think it's too late because he ran the helicopter too long. The least painful option would be to stop running it but he's been running it for so long that the damage will likely be very severe if he stops. Under the wrong conditions, slowing the helicopter down or even not increasing the rate at which it runs could have the same effect as shutting it down.

The above 3 posts are all way oversimplified.

When the helicopter was slowed down in 2018, the stock market started to crash. We'll see if less slowing results in a faster crash or not.
Last edited by Higgenbotham on Sat Aug 20, 2022 5:33 pm, edited 4 times in total.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

aeden
Posts: 12495
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

http://www.carrollquigley.net/
As you noted correctly the clerks had no interest in change.

In addition Antony Cyril Sutton told us the intent and what they truly are.

Speaking as taxpayer the Agency issue proves the intent they worship evil.
Last edited by aeden on Sun Aug 21, 2022 8:28 am, edited 1 time in total.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7487
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

aeden wrote:
Sat Aug 20, 2022 9:52 pm
http://www.carrollquigley.net/
As you noted correctly the clerks had no interest in chage.

In addition Antony Cyril Sutton told us the intent and what they truly are.

Speaking as taxpayer the Agency issue proves the intent they worship evil.

I'd never heard of Sutton even though I've been sounding a lot like him:
Sutton concluded that it was all part of the economic power elites' “long-range program of nurturing collectivism” and fostering “corporate socialism” in order to ensure “monopoly acquisition of wealth” because it “would fade away if it were exposed to the activity of a free market.”

In his view, the only solution to prevent such abuse in the future was that “a majority of individuals declares or acts as if it wants nothing from government, declares it will look after its own welfare and interests” or, specifically, if “a majority finds the moral courage and the internal fortitude to reject the something-for-nothing con game and replace it by voluntary associations, voluntary communes, or local rule and decentralized societies.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antony_C._Sutton

In my view, local rule by elders is the only way to prevent a civilization from turning into a con.
Higgenbotham wrote:
Sun Jul 14, 2013 9:34 pm
The reason civilizations consisting of towns with immobile populations of 2,000 or fewer people work is everyone knows who the con artists are. And they are marginalized, or killed, or nobody lets their daughters marry them. Get a mobile population any larger than somewhere around 2,000 in an area, then deceit begins to spread out of control. Deceit is the core reason a civilization collapses. Nothing can save a civilization when deceit runs out of control.
Speaking of which,

https://www.ecosophia.net/the-great-reh ... effective/

I've said something like this before - in a properly run civilization with elder control at the local level, Anthony Fauci would be a bag boy in the local grocery store and no more than that.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

aeden
Posts: 12495
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Alexander Dugin's daughter Darya has reportedly been killed in a car explosion.
Her Land Cruiser Prado exploded near the village of Bolshiye Vyazyomy.

As you forwarded H from the essay.

Raised to believe that the world is progressing and that the past therefore has nothing to teach them,
they inevitably fall into one overfamiliar mistake after another because they think they’re too wise to bother
learning the obvious lessons of history.

They send billions as the wasting is a feature. We even have the math to assert that fact.
The Senate and entanglement issue focuses what they worship.

https://reformation.org/wall-st-hitler.html
As we are aware of here they conflate racism as crayon chewers as
we read... https://www.survivorshandbook.com/wp-co ... rology.pdf

https://www.politicalislam.com/
As we noted clearly masks go back in accurate facts before the Bantu.

thread: https://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?k ... sf=msgonly
October Surprise (sabotage of Carter’s peace talks), and a great many other things still classified to this day.
The results of Project Paperclip were devastating, and very far reaching.
I guess that is what you would expect from collaborating with Nazis.
Fri, 08 Aug 1997 Dossier
thread: waffen, AA-1025

As we see in real time doubt what they did again.
They murdered my Aunts in WW2 also. I can understand a few issues.

1980.
As before too many powerful interests do not want the American people to accept even the possibility that U.S. intelligence operatives and a longtime ally could intervene to oust a president who had impinged on what those two groups considered their vital interests.

Decades of root kits do that. And yes the internet is being wiped clean. Burn loot murder lie cheat steal should suggest no funding as we remove consent of these monsters as in decades.

https://i.imgur.com/ZEA30N2.jpg <----------------- you are here.

Program blocked Facebook in tracking you when the page loaded.

They own the power behind the US, we only get a chance to watch them ride us over the cliff.

Unrestricted Warfare against WEF Oligarchs has now begun.
There won't be an announcement.

Duel passport morons will and are running the USA into the ground.

The plan is to fail to reset the monetary system.

We're all fun loving good guys, exceptionally so, who've lost control of our own gov past corupted,
which is now hell bent on trying to destroy the US also.

NATO is trying to escalate the war. Ukraine is losing badly. No winners in this issue but beach bums planning committees.

Some have seen the images today of the US made shells fired into the nuke plant by the Ukinazi.
The links are out there Scully.

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