Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

We'll know in a couple weeks if this is a start of the Ukrainian front line breaking or merely a brief surge designed to send a message ahead of talks. Either way, it's still significant and I agree with Navigator that the cracks are beginning to show. Even with outside aid, Russia is still a lot ...

The latest news is that Russia's managed a breakthrough near Pokrovsk, surging almost twenty kilometers in a single day, moving more rapidly than anything we've seen since the start of the war. It's too early to say whether this means a collapse of the Ukrainian front, but this doesn't look good ...

We overestimated Russia's military strength, but underestimated the price they (or Putin) were willing to pay to accomplish these goals. Estimates are around 250,000 dead Russians over the past 3.5 years, and over 3,500 tanks destroyed, with independent verification. I've noticed over the last three ...

There's no feasible way to stop or even meaningfully slow down our debt problem, given how people screamed over a budget cut that amounted to 1/1000th of total federal spending. It's not just the United States. The rest of the world has the same problem. China's debt problem makes ours look small ...

When it comes to Russia and China being allies, it's important to remember that in the early days of the Second World War, Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union collaborated with one another. Until June 22, 1941, the USSR butchered just as many people and according to some estimates, more.

The Soviets ...

Adding to Navigator's point, Iran's nuclear program has been set back. Precisely how much, we don't know, but I suspect Iran knows their position is fragile. All the stories about their formidable defenses has proven to be a load of crap. Assad has fallen, Hezbollah has been defanged, Hamas is ...

The dominoes are falling, but they're falling in reverse order than what I imagined would happen a few years ago. Israel no longer cares about world opinion, as I mentioned before. Even if we forbade this strike, I think they'd have done it anyway, terrified of Iran with a nuclear bomb.

Iran's ...

One thing I've been convinced of for some time is that the Soviet Union suffered a "First Turning Reset" after the Great Patriotic War, thanks to the massive devastation. Bad as the Western Front was, the Eastern Front was a whole different level of brutality. At least 25 million and possibly as ...

It is a shame John's no longer with us. When he first predicted we'd be at war with China, all the way back in 2002, public opinion toward China was positive or at least neutral. Plenty believed that as they developed economically, they'd become freer, but if anything, the opposite has happened ...

From the beginning, Trump's wanted to focus on China. He thought he'd be able to get a peace deal and be worshipped as a great leader, but it hasn't worked out that way. He offered Putin 90% of what he wanted, only for him to change the terms and demand even more.

We've been slow to wake up to ...