Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Martin Armstrong says that the market will continue up for one more year. The stock markets are now owned by the world's central banks, who are rotating out of sovereign debt as it is about to explode. I've never understood how the market keeps going up, but Armstrong has been spot on for most of th...

Time to think a few patterns out... I'm looking for a high on February 11. Pop and drop on excitement over Yellen's testimony. If we get that it would go back to setting a 10 month cycle on the 11th of the month which started on April 11, 2013. The first series was October 11, 2007 (all time high a...

Trevor, that is exactly the thinking behind John's principle of maximum ruin. Nobody can know whether any drop is the start of the big one. But since the market has rebounded on its steady upward climb time and again, the obvious conclusion is to buy the dip. At some point investors will be throwing...

Yes Higgy, I did read The Emergence of Lincoln (at your suggestion). I'm vacationing down under and spent the day snorkeling at the Great Barrier Reef. This has the feel of the onset of the storm. So many things are coming together in Sept. The Fed, The Congress vs. the President, the German electio...

All, I haven't posted for a while. My last post postulated that this fall seemed appropriate for the beginning of the crash. Everything seems calm and most of the talking heads are insisting that now is the time to jump in so as to not miss the inevitable next move upwards. It's just a vibe, but I t...

John, I don't think that this is the big one. The principle of maximum ruin will use this "correction" to sucker those on the sidelines into the maelstrom. I don't believe that it is knowable when the "big one" will happen. Nonetheless, my best bet is that this will follow the traditional model and ...

Obama is cutting the military and removing key generals in order to weaken it and prevent the military from taking over the country. Obama is using Bernanke to crush the middle class into poverty so it is unable to resist. Homeland Security will be Obama's personal Gestapo and KGB. Higgy, Obama has...

When is the question and the only thing I can say about that is it's already taken much longer than I ever could have imagined. In 2008, I gave it 3 years, tops. And I attribute the reason I was wrong to what you stated - these markets are much less free than I estimated. The government does in fac...

John, Was reading an interview with Nassim Taleb and noticed that Generational Dynamics came up. For all of your efforts, it's good to know that the world is listening. http://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/1aoi0s/iam_nassim_taleb_author_of_antifragile_ama/ [–]nntaleb[S] 85 points 2 days ago Rule: a...

Well, I am happy to say that I have met all 8 of Aedens preparedness list;--) John has said many times that Obamacare is mind numbingly complex and will never be fully implemented. Robert's "favorable" opinion makes it a certainty that it will collapse of its own weight. All of our complex systems a...