Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

This is one of the 8 I regularly follow. He has a new substack with weekly review. First weekly review published today.

https://macrocharts.substack.com/p/glob ... y-review-1

Regarding the economic outlook 40:25 There will be a recession starting in May that will last 4 years. It will be very diverse. Much worse in some parts of the US (for example, New York and California) than in others. It will not be a depression. Near the end of the interview, somewhere around 1:06:...

Regarding the breakup of the United States At 28:04 in the link above, the interviewer asks Armstrong, "Do you think this is soon or will it take 10 years?" Armstrong; "No, I don't think we have that much time." Nobody is going to accept the 2024 election and the 2028 election may not take place. Hi...

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/arms ... armstrong/

This is one of the largest strawberry growers in the nation. His field harvesters in Florida are on H-2A visas. "It's the only means of getting workers at the farm right now", says Wishnatzki. "But it's totally outdated." Even for a company as large as them, the cost has become crushing, he says. T...

7-Year Cycles That Crush The Uninformed 14 years ago, the high was on April 26 and the flash crash was 10 days later. The lower high at the 50% retrace today is compelling. The 50 percent retrace is 5109.21. Today the S&P poked a little bit above that level several times, then retreated, closing at...

In the comments section a few weeks ago you remarked that a key moment for you was when you realized that “collapse” wasn’t going to happen to our society, but rather that we face a long and uneven “decline.” Your argument was put forth in at least one of your books “The Long Descent,” which sits o...

Poorhouses Were Designed to Punish People for Their Poverty In a time before social services, society’s most vulnerable people were hidden away in brutal institutions. BY: ERIN BLAKEMORE UPDATED: SEPTEMBER 14, 2023 | ORIGINAL: JANUARY 30, 2018 When Anne Sullivan came to Tewksbury, she wasn’t yet th...

7-Year Cycles That Crush The Uninformed 7 years back followed by 14 years back. 14 years ago, the high was on April 26 and the flash crash was 10 days later. The lower high at the 50% retrace today is compelling. https://i.postimg.cc/63gTwpJ9/Screenshot-2024-04-26-113032.png https://i.postimg.cc/kX...

Senffner is part of a cohort known as "peak boomers," or boomers born between 1959 and 1964 who will start turning 65 this year. According to a recent report from the Alliance for Lifetime Income's Retirement Income Institute, this group encompasses over 30 million boomers, marking the "largest and...