Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

There will be a new set of winners who can be identified later. Kind of like how Joe Granville was the man in the 1970s.

I don't think the world any longer correctly understands Joe Granville. This article perhaps comes the closest but it's still off the mark.

What Happened: On this day in ...

Every five percent down one percent sell...

That's about right. Yesterday I sold 4 percent and bought back 3 percent this morning. I intend to sit until the next big shift. Although maybe with another 5 percent down I may target a sell of a net 2 percent. And a little more at the next 5 percent ...

I did the last 7% last week and am 100% in triple inverse. The 10 year has been up to multi year highs the past 2 days, climbing more today, but not over 5.3%. Meantime, some are explaining why that is not a problem. If the stock market collapses, then some will explain why it is a problem after ...

The algos will do what they do also which is to mimic the irrational emotional actions of traders, just in a more convoluted way.

Again, some of what I write sounds a little off the wall and it's useful to feed the sentence to AI to see what it finds.


Do algos mimic the irrational emotional ...

If the sixty years seemed full of brilliance and adventure to a few at the top, to most they were a succession of wayward dangers; of the three galloping evils, pillage, plague, and taxes; of fierce and tragic conflicts, bizarre fates, capricious money, sorcery, betrayals, insurrections, murder ...

My mother grew up in a small town in one of the red counties of the upper midwest. edit: Actually, her county is orange. When I was a boy, she told me it takes 2 generations for a newcomer to town to be fully accepted by the people in the town. For anyone making a move to one of these areas, you ...

If this is the start of the financial crisis, and I have no idea whether it is or not, there's nothing to get excited about with the S&P at 7400 and down 300 points today. Anything over about 1000 on the S&P is all fantasy froth. That will all evaporate with time. The evaporation will be uneven as ...

Descent

The descent will be characterised by economic
false dawns. The United States budget and trade
deficits, for example, may occasionally improve,
but they will soon worsen again. These deficits are
intimately connected with other features of the
current order, such as drugs trafficking ...

As the world accelerates into the new dark age, the financial crisis should be the first card that comes up. It will be hard to know how things shake out until we are well into that. Right now we can guess which local municipalities and their debts will fare worst but even that is unlikely to tell ...

Higgy did you ever consider leaving Texas?

Do you think it’s a good location to survive the fourth turning?

Texas is going to have a fault line between the hispanics and whites that will resurface every 80 years.

I talked about that in the early pages of this Dark Age Hovel. What I said at the ...