Generational Dynamics World View News

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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Iceman » Thu Apr 16, 2026 6:33 pm

Thanks for posting those betting odds, Dakardii. Seriously, it's good to know what we're up against. At this pathetic point though, I hope Secretariat runs and wins by a mile.

Otherwise...for the first time in my life, I saw a B-1B Lancer Bomber fly somewhat low-level over the house this afternoon while cutting the lawn. Couldn't get over how quite it was as it sailed away into the wild blue yonder. At least I wasn't on the bombs-away side. Then, I probably wouldn't have seen him.

Regards,
Iceman

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by DaKardii » Thu Apr 16, 2026 4:11 pm

DaKardii wrote: Thu Apr 16, 2026 4:02 pm It probably won't begin prior to the 2028 presidential election. If it does begin during Trump's term it will be during his lame duck period. Either way, his successor will be the one leading us during the war once it begins.
As of today, here are the top candidates for our wartime leader, by party. Source is Election Betting Odds.

REPUBLICANS
MAJOR CANDIDATES (9% chance of nomination or higher)
-JD Vance
-Marco Rubio

MAJOR CANDIDATES (9% chance of nomination or higher)
-Ron DeSantis
-Donald Trump, Jr.
-Donald Trump, Sr. (if they somehow repeal the 22nd Amendment in time)

DEMOCRATS
MAJOR CANDIDATES (9% chance of nomination or higher)
-Gavin Newsom
-Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

MAJOR CANDIDATES (9% chance of nomination or higher)
-Josh Shapiro
-Pete Buttigieg
-Kamala Harris
-Andy Beshear
-JB Pritzker

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by DaKardii » Thu Apr 16, 2026 4:02 pm

Phong Tran wrote: Mon Mar 30, 2026 11:09 am
tim wrote: Sun Mar 29, 2026 9:54 am
Ep 1: Neil Howe - The Fourth Turning Is Here - Preparing For National Crisis With Community
Interesting, I've always wondered why it felt like the fourth turning for this crisis period was taking forever to happen. Didn't think about the fact that part of the reason could be due to generations living longer, thus causing the period to extend further into the 100 year period versus a 80 year cycle.
Going by Neil Howe's latest book, the final countdown to the Fourth Turning began when Russia invaded Ukraine. The climax will occur in around 2033.

2026 in this saeculum is equivalent to 1939 in the last saeculum, and 1858 in the saeculum before that. This means we are about two, three years at most away from the next crisis war.

It probably won't begin prior to the 2028 presidential election. If it does begin during Trump's term it will be during his lame duck period. Either way, his successor will be the one leading us during the war once it begins.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Navigator » Sun Apr 05, 2026 11:07 pm

I agree completely Spotty.

I predicted that Iran would close off the Strait. It will take land intervention to fix this (the islands, and maybe some of the coastline). Yes, this would be an escalation, but how far has Iran escalated over the last 50 years? How have we sat by while our clearly self proclaimed enemies have created vast armament industries and used them against Israel, US installations, and Gulf allies.

Such ground involvement will cause a political firestorm here in the US, which is part of the political instability that I have always believed that will precede WW3. The closure of the straits has probably already insured the economic implosion that would also precede the global war.

Dems will gain control of congress through the elections, will probably vote to impeach Trump yet again. When WW3 starts, hopefully he will be replaced by Vance. I cannot imagine any current high-profile Democrat leading the US through WW3.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by FullMoon » Sun Apr 05, 2026 10:59 pm

spottybrowncow wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 4:06 pm I would like to express my joy on this Easter day that the second US airman was recovered. Trump is absolutely correct in calling this an “Easter miracle.” Setting aside for a moment the danger to the downed airman, it would’ve totally changed the dynamic of the war if Iran had him as a hostage. Thanks be to Almighty God.
My first impression without deep thought is why, oh why, could this be a game changer in a "war". Let's just do the math of total war, in which we've now engaged obviously and announced by our illustrious leadership, compared to the amount of people who will be impacted. If you really did go to union and you really did pass basic math, then certainly can understand the REALITY of the situation. No Duh used to be a common phrase... This is SO... No duh dude

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by spottybrowncow » Sun Apr 05, 2026 4:06 pm

I would like to express my joy on this Easter day that the second US airman was recovered. Trump is absolutely correct in calling this an “Easter miracle.” Setting aside for a moment the danger to the downed airman, it would’ve totally changed the dynamic of the war if Iran had him as a hostage. Thanks be to Almighty God.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by FullMoon » Wed Apr 01, 2026 11:04 am

Phong Tran wrote: Mon Mar 30, 2026 11:09 am
tim wrote: Sun Mar 29, 2026 9:54 am
Ep 1: Neil Howe - The Fourth Turning Is Here - Preparing For National Crisis With Community
Interesting, I've always wondered why it felt like the fourth turning for this crisis period was taking forever to happen. Didn't think about the fact that part of the reason could be due to generations living longer, thus causing the period to extend further into the 100 year period versus a 80 year cycle.
That's probably one aspect of the reason. Neil has been talking about this recently because his book is popular but it seems like we keep getting closer to something like a "crisis" but people don't actually acknowledge it overtly, although that's changing rapidly with the destruction we've seen for the past year.
We've got to figure in longer cycles such as end of Empire 250 years, end of financial empire 500 years BOE. Also the fact that not only are people living longer but rather taking longer to mature. The average age currently for mortgage loan origination is about 40 years old. The youth aren't having kids because it doesn't make sense to do so. And let's not relegate the fact that our lives are now dominated by technology that is making social control and centralized power much easier and therefore disruptive of natural flows such as generational cycles.
It seems odd that so many people don't realize how close we really are to epic life changing things happening, besides of course the evangelical Zionists and their ilk. Sadly the "end times" crowd seems ever more emboldened to try to kill everyone and destroy our " world" in order to bring about a Man who's very life was dedicated and sacrificed in order to preach against such demonic and Satanic things. May we live in interesting timea indeed.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Mon Mar 30, 2026 6:03 pm

18:35 - "Remember this David - we are no longer protected in the homeland"

Neil says that the mass drone sightings in late 2024 were Chinese drones that China was testing.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Unit ... _sightings
In late 2024, widespread reports of drones emerged across the United States. From November to December, thousands of witnesses described seeing drones—also known as unmanned aerial vehicles—flying at night. The sightings began in New Jersey and subsequently spread to neighboring states, including New York and Pennsylvania. Reports soon emerged across the Northeast and other parts of the country. While investigators determined the reports mainly consisted of authorized drones and misidentified objects, military officials confirmed a concurrent pattern of unauthorized incursions over sensitive defense installations.

Sightings were reported over military installations, such as Picatinny Arsenal and Naval Weapons Station Earle in New Jersey, as well as civilian infrastructure and residential areas. Prominent reports included drones preventing a medical evacuation, following a Coast Guard vessel, and spraying "gray mist". These specific incidents were found to be commercial aircraft or atmospheric phenomena. Other purported drones were debunked as the constellation Orion or the planet Venus.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Phong Tran » Mon Mar 30, 2026 11:09 am

tim wrote: Sun Mar 29, 2026 9:54 am
Ep 1: Neil Howe - The Fourth Turning Is Here - Preparing For National Crisis With Community
Interesting, I've always wondered why it felt like the fourth turning for this crisis period was taking forever to happen. Didn't think about the fact that part of the reason could be due to generations living longer, thus causing the period to extend further into the 100 year period versus a 80 year cycle.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Sun Mar 29, 2026 9:54 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WiIsQXl6-KY
Ep 1: Neil Howe - The Fourth Turning Is Here - Preparing For National Crisis With Community
History says we are in a crisis.

According to historian Neil Howe, societies move through recurring cycles every 80–100 years. The final stage — the Fourth Turning — is a period of crisis when institutions break down, trust erodes, and the old systems are forced to reset.

In this episode, Neil shows that we are undergoing a Fourth Turning. He argues what individuals, families, and business owners can do to prepare for this period of disruption — and how to rebuild the foundations for the next period of growth.

The question isn’t whether change is coming. It’s:
How prepared are you when it arrives?

Bio: Neil Howe is a historian, economist, and author best known for developing the generational theory described in _The Fourth Turning_, written with William Strauss. Howe is also a senior advisor at Hedgeye and co-manager of the Fourth Turning ETF, which focuses on long-term macro trends.

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