Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

aedens wrote: Wed Jun 17, 2026 2:48 pm "The paper system being founded on public confidence and having of itself no intrinsic value, it is liable to great and sudden fluctuations, thereby rendering property insecure and the wages of labor unsteady and uncertain.

The corporations which create the paper money can not be relied upon to keep the circulating medium uniform in amount. In times of prosperity, when confidence is high, they are tempted by the prospect of gain or by the influence of those who hope to profit by it to extend their issues of paper beyond the bounds of discretion and the reasonable demands of business; and when these issues have been pushed on from day to day, until public confidence is at length shaken, then a reaction takes place, and they immediately withdraw the credits they have given, suddenly curtail their issues, and produce an unexpected and ruinous contraction of the circulating medium, which is felt by the whole community.

The banks by this means save themselves, and the mischievous consequences of their imprudence or cupidity are visited upon the public. Nor does the evil stop here. These ebbs and flows in the currency and these indiscreet extensions of credit naturally engender a spirit of speculation injurious to the habits and character of the people. We have already seen its effects in the wild spirit of speculation in the public lands and various kinds of stock which within the last year or two seized upon such a multitude of our citizens and threatened to pervade all classes of society and to withdraw their attention from the sober pursuits of honest industry.

It is not by encouraging this spirit that we shall best preserve public virtue and promote the true interests of our country; but if your currency continues as exclusively paper as it now is, it will foster this eager desire to amass wealth without labor; it will multiply the number of dependents on bank accommodations and bank favors; the temptation to obtain money at any sacrifice will become stronger and stronger, and inevitably lead to corruption, which will find its way into your public councils and destroy at no distant day the purity of your Government."

Andrew Jackson, Farewell Address, 1837

There is, perhaps, no one of the powers conferred on the Federal Government so liable to abuse as the taxing power. The most productive and convenient sources of revenue were necessarily given to it, that it might be able to perform the important duties imposed upon it; and the taxes which it lays upon commerce being concealed from the real payer in the price of the article, they do not so readily attract the attention of the people as smaller sums demanded from them directly by the taxgatherer. But the tax imposed on goods enhances by so much the price of the commodity to the consumer, and as many of these duties are imposed on articles of necessity which are daily used by the great body of the people, the money raised by these imposts is drawn from their pockets. Congress has no right under the Constitution to take money from the people unless it is required to execute some one of the specific powers intrusted to the Government; and if they raise more than is necessary for such purposes, it is an abuse of the power of taxation, and unjust and oppressive. It may indeed happen that the revenue will sometimes exceed the amount anticipated when the taxes were laid. When, however, this is ascertained, it is easy to reduce them, and in such a case it is unquestionably the duty of the Government to reduce them, for no circumstances can justify it in assuming a power not given to it by the Constitution nor in taking away the money of the people when it is not needed for the legitimate wants of the Government.

Plain as these principles appear to be, you will yet find there is a constant effort to induce the General Government to go beyond the limits of its taxing power and to impose unnecessary burdens upon the people. Many powerful interests are continually at work to procure heavy duties on commerce and to swell the revenue beyond the real necessities of the public service, and the country has already felt the injurious effects of their combined influence. They succeeded in obtaining a tariff of duties bearing most oppressively on the agricultural and laboring classes of society and producing a revenue that could not be usefully employed within the range of the powers conferred upon Congress, and in order to fasten upon the people this unjust and unequal system of taxation extravagant schemes of internal improvement were got up in various quarters to squander the money and to purchase support. Thus one unconstitutional measure was intended to be upheld by another, and the abuse of the power of taxation was to be maintained by usurping the power of expending the money in internal improvements. You can not have forgotten the severe and doubtful struggle through which we passed when the executive department of the Government by its veto endeavored to arrest this prodigal scheme of injustice and to bring back the legislation of Congress to the boundaries prescribed by the Constitution. The good sense and practical judgment of the people when the subject was brought before them sustained the course of the Executive, and this plan of unconstitutional expenditures for the purposes of corrupt influence is, I trust, finally overthrown.

The result of this decision has been felt in the rapid extinguishment of the public debt and the large accumulation of a surplus in the Treasury, notwithstanding the tariff was reduced and is now very far below the amount originally contemplated by its advocates. But, rely upon it, the design to collect an extravagant revenue and to burden you with taxes beyond the economical wants of the Government is not yet abandoned. The various interests which have combined together to impose a heavy tariff and to produce an overflowing Treasury are too strong and have too much at stake to surrender the contest. The corporations and wealthy individuals who are engaged in large manufacturing establishments desire a high tariff to increase their gains. Designing politicians will support it to conciliate their favor and to obtain the means of profuse expenditure for the purpose of purchasing influence in other quarters; and since the people have decided that the Federal Government can not be permitted to employ its income in internal improvements, efforts will be made to seduce and mislead the citizens of the several States by holding out to them the deceitful prospect of benefits to be derived from a surplus revenue collected by the General Government and annually divided among the States; and if, encouraged by these fallacious hopes, the States should disregard the principles of economy which ought to characterize every republican government, and should indulge in lavish expenditures exceeding their resources, they will before long find themselves oppressed with debts which they are unable to pay, and the temptation will become irresistible to support a high tariff in order to obtain a surplus for distribution. Do not allow yourselves, my fellow-citizens, to be misled on this subject. The Federal Government can not collect a surplus for such purposes without violating the principles of the Constitution and assuming powers which have not been granted. It is, moreover, a system of injustice, and if persisted in will inevitably lead to corruption, and must end in ruin. The surplus revenue will be drawn from the pockets of the people--from the farmer, the mechanic, and the laboring classes of society; but who will receive it when distributed among the States, where it is to be disposed of by leading State politicians, who have friends to favor and political partisans to gratify? It will certainly not be returned to those who paid it and who have most need of it and are honestly entitled to it. There is but one safe rule, and that is to confine the General Government rigidly within the sphere of its appropriate duties. It has no power to raise a revenue or impose taxes except for the purposes enumerated in the Constitution, and if its income is found to exceed these wants it should be forthwith reduced and the burden of the people so far lightened.

The Rape Gang Inquiry Report

At least 250,000 girls raped.

This is a survivor-led Rape Gang Inquiry report chaired by Rupert Lowe MP. It argues that Britain’s grooming-gang scandal was not a set of isolated local failures, but a national pattern of organised child sexual exploitation, overwhelmingly involving vulnerable white British girls and predominantly Pakistani Muslim male networks.

The report’s central claim is brutal: the state knew, recorded the signs, and still failed to act. It says police, social services, schools, the NHS, taxi licensing authorities, councils, and politicians repeatedly ignored reports, blamed or criminalised victims, protected “community cohesion,” feared racism accusations, and allowed known offenders to continue.

It relies heavily on survivor testimony, whistleblower accounts, previous inquiries, court records, press reports, and political evidence. The report says girls as young as 11 were groomed with gifts, alcohol, drugs, taxis, attention, and fake relationships, then raped, trafficked, filmed, blackmailed, impregnated, forced into abortions, or abandoned by authorities.

Its biggest numerical claim is that at least 250,000 young white girls may have been victims, using an extrapolation from Rotherham, Telford, Oxford and other cases. The report also says gangs operated or had operated in at least 149 local authority districts, with a map showing confirmed and suspected areas.

Higgenbotham wrote: Sat Jun 13, 2026 3:24 pm

Higgenbotham wrote: Fri Jun 12, 2026 4:14 pm In the new dark age, it will likely not be possible to achieve the scale of a standard insurgency but a large number of independent insurrections can mimic that without any coherent endpoint, as would be expected in a dark age environment.

Military analyst Michael Clarke has said he would be "surprised" to see Iran sign an agreement with the US on Sunday.

"It's not a peace deal," he explained, adding "it's a series of modalities to arrive at a peace deal".

"It would be unusual to me if the Iranians signed it tomorrow, because why would they play to Donald Trump's agenda?

"They want to humiliate him, and it would suit them to embarrass him and sign it next week when they're really happy with it."

Although everything is "unpredictable" with the US president, Clarke said he believes Iran will wait longer before signing any agreement.

"I think we're not going to see a neat end to this, it will just drift on for a long time," he said.

"The Strait of Hormuz will open again, but it will never go back to the way it was because the Iranians now know how easy it is for them to close it."

https://news.sky.com/story/iran-war-lat ... z-13509565

Similarly, this is a good encapsulation of what war will look like in the new dark age.

Sure, it would be to the Iranian's advantage at this time (in the current new dark age environment) to go ahead and open the Strait of Hormuz, then close it again when the US is unprepared and least expects it. Generally, it would be to their advantage to say, yeah, yeah, we'll go ahead with an agreement, then drag their feet over minor negotiating points, maybe sign an agreement, then renege on it when it's convenient for them to do so...as the new dark age tightens its grip.

Higgenbotham wrote: Fri Jun 12, 2026 4:14 pm In the new dark age, it will likely not be possible to achieve the scale of a standard insurgency but a large number of independent insurrections can mimic that without any coherent endpoint, as would be expected in a dark age environment.

Military analyst Michael Clarke has said he would be "surprised" to see Iran sign an agreement with the US on Sunday.

"It's not a peace deal," he explained, adding "it's a series of modalities to arrive at a peace deal".

"It would be unusual to me if the Iranians signed it tomorrow, because why would they play to Donald Trump's agenda?

"They want to humiliate him, and it would suit them to embarrass him and sign it next week when they're really happy with it."

Although everything is "unpredictable" with the US president, Clarke said he believes Iran will wait longer before signing any agreement.

"I think we're not going to see a neat end to this, it will just drift on for a long time," he said.

"The Strait of Hormuz will open again, but it will never go back to the way it was because the Iranians now know how easy it is for them to close it."

Higgenbotham wrote: Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:49 pm My more specific predictions would be:

• There will be a major global financial panic and crisis. Supply chains will break, resulting in unavailability of critical raw materials and components. Global trade will begin to shut down. As it begins to become apparent that the supply chain linkages are permanently broken, the global interlinked financial markets will shut down and cease to exist. This will all happen very quickly. It will not take years from the initial panic.
• The focus of governments will turn to controlling their panicked and hungry populations. Due to lack of availability of imported goods and adequate storage "sufficient to reconstitute" a system consistent with nation state government, this will prove to be too little too late and most government will devolve to the local level as populations lose faith in their national governments and the national governments lose the resources and ability to control their populations.
• There will be no large scale nuclear war. Instead, the population will be culled through starvation, local strife (including settling of long-standing scores) and disease. Wave after wave of pandemics will sweep the world.
• Similar to national economies and governments, centralized utilities will fail or become so decrepit as to be unsafe and unusable. All centralized utilities including the power grid will shut down permanently.
• The initial worldwide kill rate during the first couple decades following the financial panic will exceed 90%. The global population will be in the range of a few tens of millions when the bottom is hit in two or three centuries. Similar to the last dark age, the world's largest cities will have a population on the order of 25,000 and a large town will be 1,000.
• Life during the coming dark age will be similar to the last dark age but worse due to environmental damage and pollution.

Could a large number of independent insurrections that operate under leaderless resistance have the same effect as a large organized insurgency?

AI Overview

Yes, a massive number of independent, leaderless cells can achieve the disruptive, psychological, and systemic effects of an organized insurgency. However, while they can inflict significant damage, they generally struggle to achieve the decisive, political end-goals of a unified insurgency.

Why Leaderless Resistance Can Equal an Organized Insurgency

Operational Security: Without a central command or communication networks, these cells are highly resistant to traditional intelligence gathering, infiltration, and the "leadership decapitation" that often cripples organized insurgencies.

Overwhelming Saturation: Even small-scale actions, when executed concurrently by thousands of independent actors across wide geographies, can completely overwhelm state security, policing, and economic resources.

Asymmetric Persistence: Without the structural vulnerabilities of a standing military force, these movements are notoriously difficult for established authorities to root out completely.

The Limits of Leaderless Resistance

Lack of a Political Endgame: Organized insurgencies often have overt political wings, provide social services, and offer a viable alternative government. Decentralized cells are usually limited to violence, mayhem, or protests without a clear path to taking or transitioning into power.

Tactical Incoherence: Independent actors may contradict each other's actions, target the wrong assets, or alienate the broader population through uncoordinated violence.

Vulnerability to Countermeasures: Because these cells operate without central command, they rely heavily on broad, ideological narratives to stay aligned. This means authorities can sometimes neutralize them by disrupting information pipelines, deploying algorithmic censorship, or initiating targeted counter-messaging campaigns.

How likely is a localized domestic insurrection composed of small cells numbering under 300 total individuals within the United States in the next 12 months?

Federal intelligence assessments indicate that while the likelihood of a massive, organized uprising is very low, the threat of localized violence or targeted attacks by small, decentralized cells (numbering well under 300 individuals) is a persistent and escalating concern.

Security experts and threat analysts track this localized risk through several key frameworks:

Tactical Approach: Domestic violent extremists and anti-government groups increasingly favor "leaderless resistance" and compartmentalized, decentralized cells rather than large, centralized paramilitary formations.

Target Selection: Small cells typically avoid heavily fortified government installations, focusing instead on "soft targets", critical infrastructure, law enforcement personnel, or local civic and political events.

Federal Disruption: The FBI and the Department of Homeland Security heavily prioritize tracking and disrupting domestic terrorism. Because of sophisticated surveillance and undercover operations, large-scale coordinated plots are frequently detected and dismantled in the early planning phases.Tracking domestic extremism requires an understanding of both the ideology and the tactical methods of these actors. For more details on how threat levels are monitored nationwide, you can review the 2026 Homeland Threat Assessment provided by the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency.

Higgenbotham wrote: Thu Jun 11, 2026 3:50 pmWithout doing a full blown analysis of the population in that area, I would venture to say that choosing Frisco as a location for replacement of the native population is problematic because it can easily be a target for a domestic insurgency, as it is on the far north edge of the Dallas Metroplex and butts up against rural areas full of ex military, hunters, preppers, etc.

viewtopic.php?p=94397#p94397

Is the area directly north of Frisco Texas home to a lot of ex military, gun owners, and preppers?

Yes, the areas directly north of Frisco (such as Prosper, Celina, and McKinney) attract a demographic that highly values independence, security, and conservative principles. While Frisco itself has become a high-tech corporate hub, its immediate northern neighbors offer the larger acreage, self-reliance, and gun-friendly environments many of these communities seek.

Key regional characteristics for the area directly north of Frisco include:

Gun Ownership & The 2A Culture: Because of Texas’s broad protections and the conservative nature of the North Central region, these northern suburbs see very high rates of gun ownership and thriving shooting sports/tactical training communities.

Military Veterans: North Texas is a primary hub for transitioning servicemembers. Neighboring cities like McKinney feature strong VFW posts and veteran support networks, and dedicated organizations like the Veterans Out Post are based right in Celina.

Prepper Community: These ex-urban and rural-adjacent towns are well-suited for homesteading and emergency preparedness. Communities in the northern fringes of the DFW exurbs lean heavily toward self-sufficiency and disaster readiness.