by tim » Tue Jan 13, 2026 10:39 am
Navigator wrote: Sun Jan 11, 2026 1:43 pm
FullMoon wrote: Sat Jan 10, 2026 8:25 pm
DaKardii wrote: Sat Jan 10, 2026 5:21 pm
Link to the monologue below. Keep in mind that it is over 40 minutes long.
https://tuckercarlson.com/tucker-mono-jan-7
During the monologue, Carlson implies that China will be our main adversary in this war. He also says Russia is
the key to determining who will win. Which is why Trump abandoning NATO/Ukraine and making nice with Russia should take top priority. If Trump fails to break Russia away from China, we
will lose. Only if he succeeds will we have a chance.
John's analysis as to the Russian side was correct. It depends on how much they and Europe can make amends. At current levels that will take a long time and certainly be in China's favor. The European/Russian rivalry would be best wound down. There is no existential conflict between Russia and Europe. Europe got themselves into a hole by doing similar but much worse than we did. We have lots of options but what have they. We cut their pipeline and they don't even have cheap energy now.
I think that Tucker Carlson is completely in the tank for Russia. The idea of making Russia into a US ally against China is ludicrous. Russia is an aggressor and a full on partner with China.
I have always disagreed with John's take on Russia, and after Putin's invasion of Ukraine I believe that John changed his mind.
European/Russian rivalry is not going to wind down. It is only going to get worse. After the Ukraine, Russia wants the Baltics. Then they want their influence in Eastern Europe back. Russian ambitions are all aimed westward. Russia may actually cede territory in the far east to China in return for assistance in getting more European lands. I believe we will see this when WW3 starts.
During the last fourth turning Russia was our enemy at first. During the Russian Revolution 5,000 American Army troops were deployed in Russia. Russia was allied with Germany while carving up Poland and Russia attacked Finland. On paper Russia and Germany were allies and Russia was our enemy. Germany was always planning on conquering Russia for "living space". Which is not that different from how China views Russia today.
Russia and China have historically been enemies and even if this war ends up with them being allies it will be temporary. The Sino-Soviet split during the cold war suggests how this will happen.
Its right here in the open for everyone to see. Once again, nothing new under the sun. Similiar to how Adolf Hitler wrote of taking Russian lands in his book before the war began even though he had an alliance with Russia on paper.
https://www.newsweek.com/china-is-slowl ... a-11180044
Is China Planning a Russian Land Grab? What to Know
DEC 10, 2025 AT 04:00 AM EST
Recent moves by China reveal it has not forgotten the territory lost to the Russian Far East during its "Century of Humiliation." This has raised speculation that the world’s longest border may be ripe for Chinese encroachment, even as "no limits partners" Beijing and Moscow appear increasingly aligned on the world stage.
Chinese Map Alterations and Border Disputes
The Chinese Ministry of the Environment in 2023 moved to dictate that new official maps must depict cities in this area, such as the Siberian city of Vladivostok, with their official names. Another change was to portray an island at the confluence of the Ussuri and Amur rivers, subject to a long-running dispute and a border agreement in 2008, as entirely Chinese. An uptick in Chinese purchases of farmland and decades-long leases across the border has also raised eyebrows.
Strategic Partnership and Power Imbalance
Meanwhile, Chinese nationalists openly call for the return of territory forcibly transferred to Tsarist Russia by a weakened Qing dynasty during the 19th century. These calls are not echoed by Beijing, which has downplayed the map changes while regularly touting the importance of ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin, who stood in the place of honor at Xi’s side during the June V-Day military parade in Tiananmen Square.
The alliance also shows cracks that will only be worsened by the coming war:
https://thediplomat.com/2023/03/cautiou ... ia-border/
Cautious Contact on the China-Russia Border
Amid great power competition, life in the China-Russia borderlands reveals the paradoxes underpinning the Beijing-Moscow friendship.
In eastern Russia there is no question over where borders lie: Several outstanding Sino-Russian territorial disputes were finally settled in 2008, and Putin is in no position to revisit this topic today. But this border also remains troublesome, despite signs in early 2023 of its reopening and a wider relaxation of China’s pandemic restrictions. The February 1 meeting between Suifenhe and Ussuriisk officials proposed increasing cross-border commercial traffic, but left unanswered questions over when Russians’ visa-free cross-border access to China would resume. At the time of writing in late February, no conclusive answer has yet been provided on this subject.
This slowness to reopen despite supposedly limitless China-Russia friendship can be read as a sign of a discomfort on each side with too much unregulated contact among people. Once the border does reopen fully, moreover, the current international situation could lead to further complications.
[quote=Navigator post_id=93178 time=1768153424 user_id=2754]
[quote=FullMoon post_id=93172 time=1768091147 user_id=3072]
[quote=DaKardii post_id=93171 time=1768080071 user_id=2550]
Link to the monologue below. Keep in mind that it is over 40 minutes long.
https://tuckercarlson.com/tucker-mono-jan-7
During the monologue, Carlson implies that China will be our main adversary in this war. He also says Russia is [i]the[/i] key to determining who will win. Which is why Trump abandoning NATO/Ukraine and making nice with Russia should take top priority. If Trump fails to break Russia away from China, we [i]will[/i] lose. Only if he succeeds will we have a chance.
[/quote]
John's analysis as to the Russian side was correct. It depends on how much they and Europe can make amends. At current levels that will take a long time and certainly be in China's favor. The European/Russian rivalry would be best wound down. There is no existential conflict between Russia and Europe. Europe got themselves into a hole by doing similar but much worse than we did. We have lots of options but what have they. We cut their pipeline and they don't even have cheap energy now.
[/quote]
I think that Tucker Carlson is completely in the tank for Russia. The idea of making Russia into a US ally against China is ludicrous. Russia is an aggressor and a full on partner with China.
I have always disagreed with John's take on Russia, and after Putin's invasion of Ukraine I believe that John changed his mind.
European/Russian rivalry is not going to wind down. It is only going to get worse. After the Ukraine, Russia wants the Baltics. Then they want their influence in Eastern Europe back. Russian ambitions are all aimed westward. Russia may actually cede territory in the far east to China in return for assistance in getting more European lands. I believe we will see this when WW3 starts.
[/quote]
During the last fourth turning Russia was our enemy at first. During the Russian Revolution 5,000 American Army troops were deployed in Russia. Russia was allied with Germany while carving up Poland and Russia attacked Finland. On paper Russia and Germany were allies and Russia was our enemy. Germany was always planning on conquering Russia for "living space". Which is not that different from how China views Russia today.
Russia and China have historically been enemies and even if this war ends up with them being allies it will be temporary. The Sino-Soviet split during the cold war suggests how this will happen.
Its right here in the open for everyone to see. Once again, nothing new under the sun. Similiar to how Adolf Hitler wrote of taking Russian lands in his book before the war began even though he had an alliance with Russia on paper.
[url]https://www.newsweek.com/china-is-slowly-taking-back-lost-territory-from-russia-11180044[/url]
[quote]Is China Planning a Russian Land Grab? What to Know
DEC 10, 2025 AT 04:00 AM EST[/quote]
[quote]Recent moves by China reveal it has not forgotten the territory lost to the Russian Far East during its "Century of Humiliation." This has raised speculation that the world’s longest border may be ripe for Chinese encroachment, even as "no limits partners" Beijing and Moscow appear increasingly aligned on the world stage.
Chinese Map Alterations and Border Disputes
The Chinese Ministry of the Environment in 2023 moved to dictate that new official maps must depict cities in this area, such as the Siberian city of Vladivostok, with their official names. Another change was to portray an island at the confluence of the Ussuri and Amur rivers, subject to a long-running dispute and a border agreement in 2008, as entirely Chinese. An uptick in Chinese purchases of farmland and decades-long leases across the border has also raised eyebrows.
Strategic Partnership and Power Imbalance
Meanwhile, Chinese nationalists openly call for the return of territory forcibly transferred to Tsarist Russia by a weakened Qing dynasty during the 19th century. These calls are not echoed by Beijing, which has downplayed the map changes while regularly touting the importance of ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin, who stood in the place of honor at Xi’s side during the June V-Day military parade in Tiananmen Square.[/quote]
The alliance also shows cracks that will only be worsened by the coming war:
[url]https://thediplomat.com/2023/03/cautious-contact-on-the-china-russia-border/[/url]
[quote]Cautious Contact on the China-Russia Border
Amid great power competition, life in the China-Russia borderlands reveals the paradoxes underpinning the Beijing-Moscow friendship.[/quote]
[quote]In eastern Russia there is no question over where borders lie: Several outstanding Sino-Russian territorial disputes were finally settled in 2008, and Putin is in no position to revisit this topic today. But this border also remains troublesome, despite signs in early 2023 of its reopening and a wider relaxation of China’s pandemic restrictions. The February 1 meeting between Suifenhe and Ussuriisk officials proposed increasing cross-border commercial traffic, but left unanswered questions over when Russians’ visa-free cross-border access to China would resume. At the time of writing in late February, no conclusive answer has yet been provided on this subject.
This slowness to reopen despite supposedly limitless China-Russia friendship can be read as a sign of a discomfort on each side with too much unregulated contact among people. Once the border does reopen fully, moreover, the current international situation could lead to further complications.[/quote]