Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Trevor wrote: Sun Aug 03, 2025 5:23 pm There's no feasible way to stop or even meaningfully slow down our debt problem, given how people screamed over a budget cut that amounted to 1/1000th of total federal spending. It's not just the United States. The rest of the world has the same problem. China's debt problem makes ours look small and those are their public numbers; I'd hate to see the actual ones.

Trevor wrote: Sun Aug 03, 2025 5:23 pm I'm not sure how much Russia, China, and Iran are truly coordinating with one another. The idea of draining our missile stockpiles sounds good in theory, but that's also led to rapidly expanding production. Even if not at WWII levels, we still have a significant manufacturing base and produce more high-end products than the Chinese do. What we're doing now might not be sufficient, but it's at least a beginning. It'd have been a lot worse if war with China broke out before Ukraine and we were forced to grapple with these issues under attack.

Trevor wrote: Sun Aug 03, 2025 5:23 pm I also question whether NATO would truly support us in the event of a conflict. Now that Trump's passing his own aid bills for Ukraine, realizing Putin's not going to stop his conquest, Europe's falling back into its usual pattern of letting us do the heavy lifting. I'm sure Trump would like to see them stand up to Russia on their own, because there's no reason why they can't. Even without the U.S., NATO is far stronger, and China is far more dangerous.

Trevor wrote: Sun Aug 03, 2025 5:23 pm Only they can't, whatever their rhetoric might be about self-reliance. Europe likes the idea in the abstract, but when it comes to the serious commitment they'd have to make, including small cuts to their social programs, it's mostly: "Hell, no!" Most countries that have begun a military buildup, even an insufficient one, are in Eastern Europe. Except for Poland, Finland, and the Baltics, their buildup has been moderate at best. For Western Europe, they're barely doing anything at all. Britain and France have about the same level of spending they did in 2021, and it wasn't until last year that Germany began gearing up. 35 years of atrophy won't be easily overcome, and for most, Russia is a distant threat.

Trevor wrote: Sun Aug 03, 2025 5:23 pm Ukraine's slowly falling under the Russian barrage. Russia's losses are at least 50% higher, based off the number of deaths we can confirm by name, but they can afford the losses and Ukraine can't. My heart goes out to them, but I don't think this is a fight they're going to win.

Trump orders deployment of nuclear submarines after Medvedev’s ‘Dead Hand’ remark

In this episode of Inconvenient Truths, Jennifer Jung analyzes a stunning statement by China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi, who publicly admitted that China “cannot afford” a Russian defeat in the Ukraine war. This admission broke with China’s claimed neutrality and revealed its deeper geopolitical motives. The comment, rather than being a diplomatic error, was likely a calculated message to reassure Vladimir Putin following a defection by a CCP official who leaked secret Chinese plans for what to do if the Putin regime collapses.

The defector, fleeing to Russia after internal conflicts, handed over a CCP contingency plan detailing two responses: 1) supporting a communist-led Russian government to rebuild a pan-European communist alliance, or 2) backing the creation of an “Eastern Russian Federation” under Chinese influence east of the Urals, while using Siberia as a military and energy buffer in preparation for war over Taiwan.

Russia responded by returning the defector and issuing a chilling diplomatic message emphasizing that it remains a “strong existence” protected by nuclear weapons capable of annihilating any enemy. This was a clear signal to both allies and adversaries that any interference in Russia’s sovereignty or regime stability would come with the threat of nuclear consequences. Additionally, part of China’s developing strategic agreement with Russia reportedly includes cooperation in the Arctic, where Russia would help China establish nuclear submarine launch positions—giving the CCP new reach to threaten Western targets and strengthen deterrence ahead of a potential Taiwan conflict.

A key driver behind China’s continued support for Russia is fear that Putin, if abandoned, might pivot toward the United States—potentially even forging an alliance with a future Trump administration. This geopolitical shift would isolate China and undermine its strategic plans in both Europe and Asia.

The overarching message is clear: all of China’s recent geopolitical maneuvers—including its support for Russia—are ultimately aimed at preparing for a potential invasion of Taiwan. Whether by drawing U.S. attention to Europe, securing Siberian territory, or coordinating nuclear deterrence strategy with Moscow, Beijing’s long-term strategy centers on dominating Taiwan and shifting global power in its favor. The fate of Taiwan, according to Jung, represents a pivotal struggle between democracy and authoritarianism that could define the future of the 21st century.

Navigator wrote: Tue Jul 15, 2025 11:05 pm I am perfectly fine with us doing everything possible to help the Israelis and everything possible to hurt the Iranians.

Israel exists because everyone hates the jews, the area is where they are from (pre-dating Arabs), and the US has always and should always be their friend and protector.