Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

[quote=Fullmoonn post_id=93502 time=1770952410]
[quote=DaKardii post_id=93472 time=1770788608 user_id=2550]
[quote=DaKardii post_id=93391 time=1769904453 user_id=2550]


And once they do hear of it, they will buy that off too?
[/quote]

Why should we presume that every anti-establishment movement in the US is aligned with the enemy?
[/quote]
The origination of the nation was by anti-establishment people, was it not? But we also have to be aware that stirring up internal division and causing internal conflict is absolutely going on for us and by us abroad.
[/quote]

I actually have a little sympathy for Karl Marx. If you are revolting against kings or dictators, yes, you need an armed revolution. The American and French Revolutions were well before Marx, but the Marxist principles are there. The problem is that Communism results in dictatorships, Yes, you force out kings and dictators, but you replace them with dictators. If your revolutionary government doesn't include enlightenment values, the result of the revolution is not productive.

You need a form of government which benefits the people not the elites. Democracy does that in principle. You cannot forget entirely a loyalty to the voters. Still, it is tempting for the politicians to want to become part of the elite, to take favors and privilege.

I think Trump, MAGA and the GoP have become too obviously pro elite. Lately, they have not been serving their rural base well at all. The too few intermediate elections have been going Democratic. I can't help but think how heavy the vote swung in the last high. Congress went heavily Democratic for decades. It might happen again if the GoP stays loyal to the elites.

I think one should keep in mind whether political organizations act in the interests of the typical voter or the elites. The Trump variation of the GoP held while they really acted in the interests of MAGA. This unfortunately included a racist element, against blacks and latinos. That has faded somewhat in the second Trump term, but so has the loyalty to the rural voters. They are losing their base. They may lose Congress. The result may be similar to the shift in the last high.

[quote=DaKardii post_id=93472 time=1770788608 user_id=2550]
[quote=DaKardii post_id=93391 time=1769904453 user_id=2550]
[quote=Navigator post_id=93390 time=1769889218 user_id=2754]
Probably some one or two person outfit that they haven't (and I haven't) heard of yet.
[/quote]

And once they do hear of it, they will buy that off too?
[/quote]

Why should we presume that every anti-establishment movement in the US is aligned with the enemy?
[/quote]
The origination of the nation was by anti-establishment people, was it not? But we also have to be aware that stirring up internal division and causing internal conflict is absolutely going on for us and by us abroad.

[quote=DaKardii post_id=93391 time=1769904453 user_id=2550]
[quote=Navigator post_id=93390 time=1769889218 user_id=2754]
Probably some one or two person outfit that they haven't (and I haven't) heard of yet.
[/quote]

And once they do hear of it, they will buy that off too?
[/quote]

Why should we presume that every anti-establishment movement in the US is aligned with the enemy?

Best times to cross over to Taiwan from China are April and October.

The CCP missed their big chance in October 2024. Biden was still president then. They could have counted on zero decisive action by the USA then.

When is the weather optimal for a Taiwan invasion?

I saw some drawings and some photos of CCP landing attack vessels designed for shallow Taiwan west coast beaches. Scary.

The first vessel has an offloading ramp system.
The following vessels butt up to a preceding vessel.
War machines roll forward towards the beach.
I trust that defenses plan to target the forward vessels.

Off topic:
Years ago, I was worried that the main device of a system produced by my employer was manufactured in Taiwan. When a major redesign was launched, I lobbied for us to use a reputable German company (before German government destroyed the country). I was mortified when I found out the Germans were going to have the device made in Taiwan. There was a schedule in place to deal with Iranians messing with oil flow from the ME so my protests were rejected.

I was aware then that the CCP honchos were being replaced by younger people who had not experience the horrors of war and were cocky.

I saw that Pooh has dumped many of his staff in recent times. Maybe had them deleted?

I rarely make it to this web site and mostly read, not comment. Hoping this has not been covered before.

Hello John. I still have a pulse.

[url]https://nataliegwinters.substack.com/p/exclusive-anti-ice-minnesota-mayor[/url]

[quote]EXCLUSIVE: Anti-ICE Minnesota Mayor Took Free China Trip From Communist Influence Group, Signed Collaboration Deal Expanding Beijing’s Reach

The delegation even visited historic Mao sites…[/quote]

[quote]Several American mayors, including local leaders from Minnesota who have publicly opposed funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), traveled to China last fall on an all-expenses-paid delegation organized by a communist, pro-China influence group.

The benefactor - the United States Heartland China Association (USHCA) - is a group that belongs to the Chinese Communist Party’s United Front influence apparatus, which seeks to influence overseas politics in favor of China.[/quote]

I'm figuring on something like the normal crisis - high boundary. While Putin is trying a war of expansion, Israel is practicing racism, Iran is short on water and dealing with a secular revolution against religious rule, and Trump is active in Venezuela and maybe Greenland and Canada, we'll have something almost approximating crisis conflicts. Not a big one like last time. A bunch of more local things. Come the high, people get tired of it. Russia is in economic trouble and running out of tanks. China is in economic trouble. The Democrats are doing very well in the few special elections. The local troubles are nothing to ignore, but seem to be moving towards climax and decent resolution.

So I'm mildly content waiting for the High. China could get desperate. Trump isn't predictable. Still the Democrats will likely want to return to something like the old status quo after the next election cycle or two.

[quote][b]A Perfect Storm for Taiwan in 2026?
How a Convergence of Factors Could Tempt Beijing to Act[/b][/quote]
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/perfect-storm-taiwan-2026

Now is Beijing's final chance on Taiwan.
https://youtu.be/ToSpY7j2MUY?si=Xwd2qCGSWKp0t9GU

There's plenty of secret plans, bluffs and fake outs currently being carried out but should we get bogged down in the ME, it would be a very tempting situation for them to break the first island chain.
Maybe we're just going to withdraw to our own hemisphere and install a digital surveillance theocratic state while torching critical areas like the ME and W Pacific, and hampering/disabling their ability to compete with us. Who had seen such a thing coming, idk, but it does seem to have arisen without widespread knowledge beforehand.

[quote=DaKardii post_id=93375 time=1769720234 user_id=2550]
Navigator, what do you believe are the chances this war will cause America to collapse, rather than (or perhaps in addition to) China?
[/quote]

It's pretty easy to see that any imagined and presumed danger from Iran is much less than starting and getting involved with a religious war in such a volatile region. The fact that it will precipitate the end of most of everything that we've become accustomed to and most importantly, that it was started by US is certainly a tragedy. Anyone who opposes the establishment based upon these simple truths is a defender of the Constitution and American experience. Those who advocate for never ending wars, especially dubious religious fanatical wars.... How can they be reasoned with? We can only hope that Trump somehow breaks himself from the Satanic cult of death that's apparently got a grip on him. Talk such as this is being openly advocated for censorship by those who would usurp the Constitution and American experience. There's other, perhaps more insidious dangerous elements already well established within our nation and would like to use discredited terminology to silence legitimate criticism of their patently absurd ME religious cult of death.