Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Sharing a link from Professor Jiang in relations to his Game Theory of the US/Israel - Iran War. I enjoy watching his 'theories' because they're probably about as neutral as one can be, and he makes connections that haven't been made apparent in other places.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jIS2eB-rGv0

Starting around the 30mins mark, he makes a couple connections that I found interesting.

1. The US-Israel attacking Iran and the Middle East creates an energy catalyst for Europe that will force them to side with the US to ensure their future energy supply, whether they want to or not (ie. securing US interests).
2. The term Blue Gold, which has been floating around conspiracy theorists forums for a while as a dystopian future world could actually be the US' game plan in the Middle East, as the ME countries utilize more water then their environments can produce (which is why Iran is attacking water desalination stations of puppet ME countries)
3. Iran's possible geopolitical strategy of galvanizing Shia population in other countries to protest and cause an uprising with Israel and US as their enemies, eventually escalating towards a Shia/Sunni Muslim Jihad with Iran as the center of the Islamic Caliphate (which could coincide with John's prediction of the Clash of Civilizations). This could cause massive internal civic issues in many European and western countries due to immigration of Muslims who may answer the call to Jihad.

However, I remember that John mentioned that Iran's generation was an awakening one and that they would be on the side of US against China in the Clash of Civilizations war and maybe they will be, but maybe they aren't initially just like the USSR wasn't on the side of the allies in WWII.

In regards to the belief that the US will come out on top, I'm not sure that will be the case. I believe it ends because humanity is pushed to the point where if country A goes any further against country B that Nuclear War would be the only answer, and at that point, both sides agree to just end the war. The US will be like how Great Britain was, starting their decline, while China, having suffered as well, but not having as many immigration issues, thus having a more cohesive population, will accelerate faster to becoming the next century superpower.

Another important question. How do we keep our humanity once the war starts?

Navigator wrote: Sat Feb 28, 2026 5:24 pm My basic outline for the future can be summed up as follows:

US entangled in foreign war
Political infighting in the US not seen since US Civil War
Violent anti-establishment demonstrations/actions
Economic downturn to Stock Market Crash
China/Russia and minor allies attack the West, starting WW3
A world war that lasts years, starting with major US and western reverses
A depleted and greatly weakened US comes out on top, only after China reaches the internal breaking point due to starvation

How can we win this war when a large percentage of our population sees our government as irredeemable, and not worth defending? The short answer is, we can't. So how should our government respond?

The right thing to do would be to apologize for its past sins, and atone for them by dismantling the system they have built over the remains of what was once the Republic. But of course that won't happen, because our government is going to war precisely to defend that system. So again, how should our government respond?

Fullmoonn wrote: Sun Mar 01, 2026 12:47 pm This is definitely very much true. It's ironic that the more freedom and luxury the society gained, the less cohesion and happiness it had. Pursuit of materialism and selfish aggrandizement go against the way of the Lord. God bless you all and please take care.

This is very true.

It's a subset of:
"Hard times make strong men.
Strong men make good times.
Good times make weak men.
Weak men make hard times."

Or:

Generational Dynamics 80 year cycle

Navigator wrote: Sat Feb 28, 2026 10:58 pm War can happen anytime. I don't want to take the bait and say "war will happen on this date". I have thought it imminent in the past, and it hasn't happened just yet, but it WILL. And soon.

I would take the precautions outlined in the book I wrote for people who visit this site. The book provides the details of what can be expected, and how to prepare. (BTW, if you got the book and acted just on the financial advice, you would have already quadrupled your money)

In the future many will look back on the days right now as "the good old days".

You have given some good advice and I remember being shell-shocked by it at the time... Sadly I've become much more cynical after realizing the amount of deception and evil in the world. Many people are saying that we're already in a global war but it's not yet to the point at which we have martial law, conscription and rationing. We could say that the ICE events especially centering around Minnesota were probably preparations for what will be necessary when we have an "official" war declaration. It will be necessary because many people will be unhappy about it and we also have tons of enemy affiliated groups as stated on this forum.

In the future many will look back on the days right now as "the good old days

This is definitely very much true. It's ironic that the more freedom and luxury the society gained, the less cohesion and happiness it had. Pursuit of materialism and selfish aggrandizement go against the way of the Lord. God bless you all and please take care.

War can happen anytime. I don't want to take the bait and say "war will happen on this date". I have thought it imminent in the past, and it hasn't happened just yet, but it WILL. And soon.

I would take the precautions outlined in the book I wrote for people who visit this site. The book provides the details of what can be expected, and how to prepare. (BTW, if you got the book and acted just on the financial advice, you would have already quadrupled your money)

In the future many will look back on the days right now as "the good old days".

My basic outline for the future can be summed up as follows:

US entangled in foreign war
Political infighting in the US not seen since US Civil War
Violent anti-establishment demonstrations/actions
Economic downturn to Stock Market Crash
China/Russia and minor allies attack the West, starting WW3
A world war that lasts years, starting with major US and western reverses
A depleted and greatly weakened US comes out on top, only after China reaches the internal breaking point due to starvation

How long before we're "officially" at war, martial law and all the severe changes required during such a war? What's the average person to expect happening and what rough outline of timetable? As interesting as it is to consider the bigger picture, we also have to consider our personal and family conditions. Some readers will be going off to fight, some will be used in other capacities and most will suffer hardship and shock at the big life challenges.

The attacks on Iran needed to happen. The Iranian regime was never going to back down from its pursuit of nuclear weapons and intercontinental ballistic missiles. We should have gone to war with them back in 1979 over the hostage thing, and, if not then, when they started a nuclear program. This has been inevitable (so long as we are not OK with these fanatical nut jobs having nuclear and thermonuclear weapons).

At this point, unfortunately, the regime is thoroughly entrenched. As I have written previously, there is not going to be some quick turnover of the Iranian leadership and form of government. The optimistic case is a civil war that drags out for years. Even then, democracy is not going to happen. None of the Muslim countries in the middle east, with the exception of Pakistan, have any kind of democratic tradition (and Pakistan's is pretty weak at best). Culture change in Iran would have to happen first, and I don't see it happening to the point that even religious tolerance becomes a reality.

What the war will do here in the US is further ramp up the political discord. Trump's MAGA base, which is rather isolationist, will view the Iran war as a betrayal. The Dems think that anything Trump does is awful, so this will give them plenty of ammo. We will even see the Iranians activate their sleeper cells here in the US, and they will carry out terrorist style attacks.

DaKardi is right about the Russians and their worry about their southern flank. China will also view this as a major threat, as most of their oil was coming from Iran. They may even enter the "countdown" phase to their own plans, just like Japan did when we cut off their oil imports in 1941.

It could also start an economic meltdown, as, presumably, shipping out of the Persian Gulf is now not happening, for understandable insurance reasons.

My basic outline for the future can be summed up as follows:

US entangled in foreign war
Political infighting in the US not seen since US Civil War
Violent anti-establishment demonstrations/actions
Economic downturn to Stock Market Crash
China/Russia and minor allies attack the West, starting WW3
A world war that lasts years, starting with major US and western reverses
A depleted and greatly weakened US comes out on top, only after China reaches the internal breaking point due to starvation

Unless Russia has a friendly regime in charge of either Germany, Iran, or Japan, war with the West is basically inevitable.

Good analysis Dak except it depends on how you define "war". It seems we're already at war with Russia and that Iran is the next step for getting closer to them as well as stymieing the Chinese, or more like flushing the Chinese out into action. We're going to be cutting of too much of their energy supply as well as destroying their massive Iranian investments and their critical Belt and Road node. But yes, it's not just about Iran but rather a piece of a bigger puzzle.

Russia is going to go absolutely apeshit if the Islamic Republic falls.

Going by the words of Russian geopolitical experts such as Aleksandr Dugin, Iran is just as if not even more strategically important (to Russia) than Ukraine.

Since the end of the Cold War, the Islamic Republic has been the only thing standing in the way of Russia being surrounded on all fronts by its traditional Western enemy.

Russia's eastern flank fell to the West in 1945 after Imperial Japan was defeated in WWII, and Russia's western flank fell to the West in 1990 after East Germany collapsed and was reunited with West Germany.

And while some current regimes like the CCP and Erdogan's Turkey tend to play both sides, the best they can do for Russia is buy it time.

Unless Russia has a friendly regime in charge of either Germany, Iran, or Japan, war with the West is basically inevitable.