Guest wrote:
> The draft will never be reinstated. Remember first that the
> generation in power is the generation that was subject to the
> draft for Vietnam.
> But there is a second and more significant reason that the
> American populace will not tolerate the draft. This country has
> been de facto at war since 2001. That is 17 years now. That is
> more than double the next longest war in American history and
> counting). WWII with all of it's horrors was less that 4 years
> for the US.
> The point is that a draft at this point would not be considered a
> draft until the war is over. It would be seen as a draft (to send
> people to their deaths) with no end ever. I can't see the Voters,
> or for that matter the disobedient populace going along with
> that.
That's not what happens. Think what happened after 9/11/2001. We
were at war with Afghanistan a day later, and no one objected.
Now imagine if a nuclear missile from North Korea or China hit Los
Angeles. Do you suppose anyone would be opposed to a draft then?
The relevant concept in generational theory is "Regeneracy events,"
which refer to events that lead to the regeneracy of civic unity for
the first time since the end of the preceding generational crisis war.
In the case of World War II, there was just as much dissent and
political vitriol directed at FDR as there is today toward Trump. But
then there was the bombing of Pearl Harbor followed by the Bataan
Death March. These regeneracy events unified the country behind FDR
for the first time. The same thing would happen today for Trump, and
there would be no objection to reinstating the draft.