by DaKardii » Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:13 pm
John wrote:FishbellykanakaDude wrote:
> John,.. whatcha think of a "trade of crises", where China trades
> "containing Little Kimmie from playing with his toys" for the US
> "containing India to allow China to pass"?
> The Chinese HAD to know that that road would cause this kerfuffle!
> Could NK have been INSTRUCTED to get whacky by the Chinese simply
> to have a bargaining chip to "buy" the road permit through the
> Doklam?
Actually, I believe that the Chinese were completely surprised by what
happened. They expected to annex Doklam Plateau easily, by
overwhelming Bhutan's army. It should have been quick and easy, and a
great thing for Xi Jinping to brag about at the November Communist
People's Congress.
What China didn't expect was the intervention of India's army. Now Xi
Jinping is backed into a corner, and threatened with major humiliation
unless he starts a war with India, and he may be humiliated by that as
well.
Xi Jinping may well have committed the greatest foreign policy blunder in modern Chinese history with this crisis in Bhutan. Just one week before the crisis began, India and Pakistan became members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. This event was hailed a major victory by both China and Russia, who have been trying to sell the SCO as the organization that ensures peace in Eurasia and serves as a counterweight to the West for years. Now, that narrative is on life support. If the SCO isn't enough to prevent war among Eurasian nations, then Russia no longer has any reason to see China as an ally against the West. This could very well be the event that results in the Chinese Politburo arguing amongst themselves over "Who lost Russia." This may well be the turning point that pushes Russia back towards the United States for the upcoming Clash of Civilizations war.
[quote="John"][quote="FishbellykanakaDude"]
> John,.. whatcha think of a "trade of crises", where China trades
> "containing Little Kimmie from playing with his toys" for the US
> "containing India to allow China to pass"?
> The Chinese HAD to know that that road would cause this kerfuffle!
> Could NK have been INSTRUCTED to get whacky by the Chinese simply
> to have a bargaining chip to "buy" the road permit through the
> Doklam?[/quote]
Actually, I believe that the Chinese were completely surprised by what
happened. They expected to annex Doklam Plateau easily, by
overwhelming Bhutan's army. It should have been quick and easy, and a
great thing for Xi Jinping to brag about at the November Communist
People's Congress.
What China didn't expect was the intervention of India's army. Now Xi
Jinping is backed into a corner, and threatened with major humiliation
unless he starts a war with India, and he may be humiliated by that as
well.[/quote]
Xi Jinping may well have committed the greatest foreign policy blunder in modern Chinese history with this crisis in Bhutan. Just one week before the crisis began, India and Pakistan became members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. This event was hailed a major victory by both China and Russia, who have been trying to sell the SCO as the organization that ensures peace in Eurasia and serves as a counterweight to the West for years. Now, that narrative is on life support. If the SCO isn't enough to prevent war among Eurasian nations, then Russia no longer has any reason to see China as an ally against the West. This could very well be the event that results in the Chinese Politburo arguing amongst themselves over "Who lost Russia." This may well be the turning point that pushes Russia back towards the United States for the upcoming Clash of Civilizations war.