Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Trevor wrote:

[quote]The RAND study looks pretty interesting, but I think it's making a fundamental mistake. They're assuming that both sides want pace. In fact, there are plenty of people in China's government who would be willing, even eager, to go to war and are preparing.[/quote]

Yep, the rise of nationalism will lead to the human catastrophes that create future generational memory - GD. The Rand papers both highlight, first the Chinese rise in military power and potential weaknesses in what they (the Chinese) have thus far achieved. Secondly how the potential for circumstances leading to escalating unpremeditated conflict may arise, as they have in the past.

The RAND study looks pretty interesting, but I think it's making a fundamental mistake. They're assuming that both sides want pace. In fact, there are plenty of people in China's government who would be willing, even eager, to go to war and are preparing. Admittedly, far from all of them, but the individuals I mentioned are gaining more and more influence.

An additional Rand pub. of interest.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR768.html

FYI: Recent Congressional Report prepared by Rand Corp. regarding current Chinese military assessment.


Washington Freebeacon.com article dated 2/12/15 by Bill Gertz (short):
http://freebeacon.com/national-security/chinese-military-weaknesses-revealed/


Complete Congressional report prepared by Rand Corp. (200 pages):
http://origin.www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/Research/China%27s%20Incomplete%20Military%20Transformation_2.11.15.pdf

3-Feb-15 World View -- China builds more man-made islands in the South China Sea

Jordan returns its ambassador to Israel

[i][url=http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e150203.htm#e150203]** 3-Feb-15 World View -- China builds more man-made islands in the South China Sea[/url]
** [url]http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e150203.htm#e150203[/url][/i]



Contents:
China builds more man-made islands in the South China Sea
Pentagon would welcome Japan air patrols in the South China Sea
Jordan returns its ambassador to Israel


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, China, South China Sea,
Pentagon, State Department, Japan,
Jordan, Israel, Temple Mount, Al-Aqsa Mosque, Jerusalem,
Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas, Walid Obeidat