Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

[quote="Thucydides"]
> It appears to me that Vietnam is behaving rather odd for a country
> in a generational awakening era. The governing officials that are
> provoking China are from the older generation that remembers the
> Vietnam war. Does generational dynamics predict that they will
> back down rather than risk an unwinnable war? Or is it possible
> that a country in a generational awakening era can allow things to
> escalate into a war that it is predestined to loose?[/quote]



Keep in mind that the U.S. didn't back down from the Korean, Vietnam
and Iraq wars. The justifications for these wars came out of WW II --
act as policeman of the world to prevent another world war.

Vietnam is in a generational Awakening era. Vietnam beat the U.S.,
then beat China in a brief war, and my guess is that they're thinking
that they can beat the Chinese again in some way. It would be
interesting to understand exactly what thought process the Vietnamese
leaders are going through these days. They may believe that even if
China can beat them, they'll still inflict enough damage on the
Chinese that it won't be worth it to them. That would be consistent
with the likely view of the victories over the U.S. and China.

It appears to me that Vietnam is behaving rather add for a country in a generational awakening era. The governing officials that are provoking China are from the older generation that remembers the Vietnam war. Does generational dynamics predict that they will back down rather than risk an unwinnable war? Or is it possible that a country in a generational awakening era can allow things to escalate into a war that it is predestined to loose?

4-Jun-14 World View -- Vietnam develops increasingly dangerous strategy to counter China

Saudi Arabia reports significantly more deaths from MERS virus

[i][url=http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e140604.htm#e140604]** 4-Jun-14 World View -- Vietnam develops increasingly dangerous strategy to counter China[/url]
** [url]http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e140604.htm#e140604[/url][/i]



Contents:
'Homegrown jihadists are France's gravest threat'
Vietnam develops increasingly dangerous strategy to counter China
Saudi Arabia reports significantly more deaths from MERS virus


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Brussels, Jewish Museum,
Mehdi Nemmouche, Syria, Manuel Valls,
Vietnam, China, South China Sea, Japan, Philippines,
Islamic Emirate in Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, ISIS, ISIL,
Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus, MERS-CoV,
Saudi Arabia, Hajj, Mecca