28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to plunge

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Expand view Topic review: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to plunge

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by vincecate » Mon Mar 07, 2011 4:48 pm

jdcpapa wrote: I live in a hurricane zone. [...] Roads are blocked with debris. It can be like a war zone.
[...] We are talking about a different kind of hurricane in this forum. You do not want to be caught without basic necessities. Preparedness is essential.
I also live in a hurricane zone and have been in several. It does seem like the hurricane experience gives you a better appreciation for the importance of preparedness.

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by jdcpapa » Mon Mar 07, 2011 11:32 am

John, thank you for all your wisdom and insight.

jdcpapa

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by jdcpapa » Mon Mar 07, 2011 11:30 am

Frank Baynes wrote: John, I take what you are saying very seriously.
John wrote: It's not too late for you to prepare yourself and your family as well as you can to survive.
And what to do in order to prepare? I see people talk about stocking up food, weapons, and ammunition, and buying gold and silver. I don't see how these thinks will be very helpful if in the case of a war or breakdown.

Or do I have this wrong?

Any comments and suggestions would be greatly appreciated. I very much appreciate your perspective and insight
Frank,

I live in a hurricane zone. When a hurricane approaches my community, a pattern develops. Since we have not had one in almost 5 years, rest assured that most people are unprepared. This is what happens: 1-2 days before the hurricane is scheduled to hit, people are emptying the shelves at the grocery store and hardware store. People are in long lines for gas. Gas stations have run out of gas. It is utter chaos. If it is a category 3 or higher, services including food supplies can be knocked out for weeks. Roads are blocked with debris. It can be like a war zone.

My experience has taught me to have sufficient provisions to last several weeks (including medical supplies, cash in small denominations, a generator, a portable a/c, etc.). This is a catastrophic event to a community. We are talking about a different kind of hurricane in this forum. You do not want to be caught without basic necessities. Preparedness is essential.

Regards,

jdcpapa

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by Frank Baynes » Sun Mar 06, 2011 10:07 pm

John wrote: Too late for what? It's already too late to prevent a financial collapse and world war.
John, I take what you are saying very seriously.

You say world war is inevitable. But what form will a world war take in our age, with so many nuclear powers? Wouldn't it more likely be a world trade war or some other kind of conflict? What is different in our age is that the deterrents are such that conventional warfare would equal quasi-automatic self-annihilation, thereby defeating the purpose of war itself.

What type of war/conflict do you see? I have read you "clash of civilizations" references, but am not sure what you mean? I do not think that Egyptian and American facebook users will wage war against each other. Or will they?

So what kind of conflict will it be?
John wrote: It's not too late for you to prepare yourself and your family as well as you can to survive.
And what to do in order to prepare? I see people talk about stocking up food, weapons, and ammunition, and buying gold and silver. I don't see how these thinks will be very helpful if in the case of a war or breakdown.

Or do I have this wrong?

Any comments and suggestions would be greatly appreciated. I very much appreciate your perspective and insights.

Frank

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by John » Sun Mar 06, 2011 8:23 am

Frank Baynes wrote:How can we positively influence the path of history before it is too late?
Too late for what? It's already too late to prevent a financial collapse and world war.

It's not too late for you to prepare yourself and your family as well as you
can to survive.

John

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by Frank Baynes » Sun Mar 06, 2011 1:22 am

John,

I see your point, although I confess I am having trouble with the generalizations.

I have read (in some cases re-read) the articles cited in your previous response. Thank you!

As I said previously, I think your blog is great and I am a grateful and regular reader.

The big question for me remains: How will this play and what does it mean for America? Are we condemned with no way out? Worse, will we fight the inevitable and become the villains of the 21st century, like the Germans became for the 20th century? The parallels are already astounding and, above all, shocking?

How can we positively influence the path of history before it is too late?

Frank

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by John » Sat Mar 05, 2011 5:25 pm

Dear Frank,
Frank Baynes wrote: > I do not think that this is a valid hypothesis, as many engineers
> behind these products were/are baby boomers. Actually, many, if
> not most, of the engineers behind this giant ponzi fraud that we
> are still witnessing are baby boomers.

> Examples:
> Joseph Cassano of AIG
> Ira Wagner of Bear Stearns
That's not true. Both of these people are managers, not engineers. I
know from personal experience as a software engineer that engineering
managers don't know shit about how to do the technical stuff that
their employees are doing.

Furthermore, both of these people are on the Boomer/Gen-X cusp, which
could well mean that they have the same hatred and contempt for
Boomers that younger people have.
Frank Baynes wrote: > Are the Generation Xers with their flaws largely a product of the
> tone that we set, when we were dominant.
Gen-Xers have lived in the shadow of Boomers their whole lives. Their
hatred of Boomers was well documented by Strauss and Howe. If this
subject interests you, then you should read their book, "Generations."

Also, you should read some of the articles I previously linked to.
Start with this one:

** Reader comments on the Nihilism of Generation-X
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 29#e080129


Here's another one you should read:

** Barack Obama to Boomers: Drop dead!
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 23#e070123



John

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by jdcpapa » Sat Mar 05, 2011 12:47 pm

Frank Baynes wrote:This is a great discussion and I am happy to participate.

jdcpapa,

Again, we agree on most but you leave me puzzled when you say:
jdcpapa wrote:Debt is not a by-product of spending more than you earn.
What else is it? You say:
jdcpapa wrote:Debt is a result of borrowing money to fund your lifestyle.
Well yes, exactly. More precisely, only the part of the lifestyle that is not financed by earnings. Or in other words, when someone spends more than he earns.
The Lending institution is the manufacturer. Debt is the product. Toxic debt (toxic asset on the books of the lender) is the by-product. Toxic debt is the result of "self indulgence" and spending more than they earn by those bad, bad, baby boomers!

Frank, you indict the baby boomers on a charge of gross negligence. I prefer to look at it this way: The greatest generation populated this Country with baby boomers. Baby boomers were at peak 3 times (I guess) the size of the greatest generation. The greatest generation essentially produced a source of funds (those “self indulgent” baby boomers) for the government. The “by-product” to the greatest generation was the guarantee of financial security. The joke is on us.

I dusted off my sociology book and found the following definition of the “Relativity of Truth”:

“Whenever human action is concerned, all truth is relative.”

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by Frank Baynes » Fri Mar 04, 2011 9:43 pm

This is a great discussion and I am happy to participate.

jdcpapa,

Again, we agree on most but you leave me puzzled when you say:
jdcpapa wrote:Debt is not a by-product of spending more than you earn.
What else is it? You say:
jdcpapa wrote:Debt is a result of borrowing money to fund your lifestyle.
Well yes, exactly. More precisely, only the part of the lifestyle that is not financed by earnings. Or in other words, when someone spends more than he earns.


John,

I love your blog, but I have noticed, over the years, your sometimes seemingly rosy and apologetic description of the Baby Boomers and a vilifying tone when you talk about Generation Xers. That's why I initially responded.

But you got me intrigued when you said:
John wrote:If it were just up to the Gen-Xers, then it wouldn't have happened, because an ethical Boomer generation would have stopped their Gen-Xer employees from committing fraud.
So you are saying the Baby Boomers are an unethical generation, allowing (as their bosses) the Generation Xers to go ahead and commit fraud.

Instead, of calling the baby boomers outright unethical, I would characterize our generation more as self-indulgent with a sense of entitlement. And then the cause (i.e. self-indulgence) justifies the means (any, I guess). Baby boomers seem to think they have the right to take the resources of the generation before and after them, just as happened with the roaring twenties generation.

It is true, the Generation Xers have maybe contributed to the prolongation of creation period the debt mountain (or, "debt heap", as I like to call it), mainly with their ruthless move towards complexification (which makes it much easier to lie to others and to oneself).

But when you say:
John wrote:If it were just up to the Boomers, then it wouldn't have happened, since hardly any Boomer could create a residential mortgage backed collateralized debt obligation if his life depended on it.
I do not think that this is a valid hypothesis, as many engineers behind these products were/are baby boomers. Actually, many, if not most, of the engineers behind this giant ponzi fraud that we are still witnessing are baby boomers.

Examples:
Joseph Cassano of AIG
Ira Wagner of Bear Sterns

Just to name a few.

And yes, I could not agree more, when you say:
John wrote:And incidentally, it doesn't just depend on the particular securities of our time.
Yes, for example, CDOs existed in the 1920s, they just carried other names.

But I would like to point to the following:

Are the Generation Xers with their flaws largely a product of the tone that we set, when we were dominant. I just want to say:
Gordon Gekko, Wall Street wrote:Greed is good.
John, as an expert, what went wrong in the handover between post-war generation and the baby boomers?

Also, I suggest the following read:
http://ilene.typepad.com/ourfavorites/2 ... kind-.html

Re: 28-Feb-11 News - Peripheral stock markets continue to pl

by John » Thu Mar 03, 2011 6:40 pm

The financial crisis was possible only because of the unique features
of both the Boomer Generation (Prophet archetype) and Generation-X
(Nomad archetype).

The synthetic securities were created by Gen-Xers who graduated in the
1990s with masters degrees from "financial engineering" programs.
There may have been some generational crossover, but basically the
bulk of the financial crisis was based on Gen-X "financial engineers"
colluding with their Boomer bosses to create fraudulent synthetic
securities. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_engineering

If it were just up to the Boomers, then it wouldn't have happened,
since hardly any Boomer could create a residential mortgage backed
collateralized debt obligation if his life depended on it.

If it were just up to the Gen-Xers, then it wouldn't have happened,
because an ethical Boomer generation would have stopped their Gen-Xer
employees from committing fraud.

Unless you understand the generational dynamics of the situation, and
the relationship between the Gen-X "financial engineers" and their
Boomer bosses, then you'll never understand what caused the financial
crisis.

And incidentally, it doesn't just depend on the particular securities
of our time. This kind of thing has happened repeatedly throughout
history, through collusion between the Prophet and Nomad generations,
using whatever techniques were available at the time. For example, in
Tulipomania, you could obtain a certificate that entitled you to a
particular tulip bulb the following spring.

** The bubble that broke the world
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... rett071009


He's a list of just a few of the many, many articles where I've
written on relationship between Boomers and Gen-Xers over the years:

** Stories of massive generational fraud and corruption continue to pour out
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 14#e090414



** The 'culture of complicity' continues with Tim Geithner's new toxic asset plan
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 26#e090326



** BlogWatch: Yves Smith at 'Naked Capitalism' adopts generational model of financial crisis
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... b#e090607b



** A generational view of China's growing melamine food disaster
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 17#e081117



** Brilliant Nobel Prize winners in Economics blame credit bubble on 'the news'
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... b#e080427b



** Software development projects for Moody's, Digimarc, Y2K, DEC further illuminate Gen-X nihilism
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... b#e080523b



** Reader comments on the Nihilism of Generation-X
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 29#e080129



** The nihilism and self-destructiveness of Generation X
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... c#e080121c



** Subprime mortgage executive kills wife and jumps off bridge to his death
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... b#e080121b



** Markets fall as investors are increasingly unsettled by bad economic news
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 21#e071121



** Bond insurer 'bailout' appears near crisis point
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 08#e080208



John

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