by Trevor » Mon Apr 16, 2012 11:20 pm
It does indeed look like Spain will be the 2012 Greece. Unlike Greece, though, their collapse will be too much to contain. Numerous countries in Europe are in recession and Spain falling apart will push more.
When it comes to Iran's nuclear program, there doesn't seem to be any good solution. If Israel decides time is running out and makes a strike, Iran will increase aid to Hezbollah and have them strike Israel, possibly encouraging a repeat of 2006. That's not including the Syrian situation.
If they don't and Iran gets a nuclear weapon, other countries will soon follow, like Turkey and Saudi Arabia, both of whom are deep into a crisis era. I would add Iraq to that list as well. Their current government isn't as bad as Saddam, but the memories of the Iran-Iraq are still fresh and they could make the same calculation that Iran has, that they need a nuclear weapon for their own protection.
As for the Palestinians, if Israel goes to war against any of their other neighbors, they could decide that it's too tempting an opportunity and jump in. It's why the entire world is trying to seek a peaceful solution, in a way they didn't for Sudan, Sri Lanka, and others. Whatever their personal opinions might be, whether they consider the Palestinians innocent victims or genocidal maniacs, we keep trying to contain the problem. If we didn't, the two sides would likely already have gone to war.
It does indeed look like Spain will be the 2012 Greece. Unlike Greece, though, their collapse will be too much to contain. Numerous countries in Europe are in recession and Spain falling apart will push more.
When it comes to Iran's nuclear program, there doesn't seem to be any good solution. If Israel decides time is running out and makes a strike, Iran will increase aid to Hezbollah and have them strike Israel, possibly encouraging a repeat of 2006. That's not including the Syrian situation.
If they don't and Iran gets a nuclear weapon, other countries will soon follow, like Turkey and Saudi Arabia, both of whom are deep into a crisis era. I would add Iraq to that list as well. Their current government isn't as bad as Saddam, but the memories of the Iran-Iraq are still fresh and they could make the same calculation that Iran has, that they need a nuclear weapon for their own protection.
As for the Palestinians, if Israel goes to war against any of their other neighbors, they could decide that it's too tempting an opportunity and jump in. It's why the entire world is trying to seek a peaceful solution, in a way they didn't for Sudan, Sri Lanka, and others. Whatever their personal opinions might be, whether they consider the Palestinians innocent victims or genocidal maniacs, we keep trying to contain the problem. If we didn't, the two sides would likely already have gone to war.